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Bilbao vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 83-79
22-18 24-16 14-25 23-20
Position#15
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.5
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game90.5
SpainACBRound 3· Pizarro E. P.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bilbao v Real Madrid
02 May 2027
BIL v MAD
upcoming
14 May 2026
BIL88
MAD82
13 Oct 2024
BIL83
MAD79
12 Nov 2023
BIL84
MAD87
27 Dec 2022
BIL80
MAD85
13 Apr 2022
BIL79
MAD67
04 Nov 2020
BIL83
MAD85
05 Oct 2017
BIL80
MAD87
11 Dec 2016
BIL77
MAD85
29 Nov 2015
BIL92
MAD99
14 Dec 2014
BIL89
MAD79
23 Mar 2014
BIL73
MAD87
03 Feb 2013
BIL74
MAD94
08 Feb 2012
BIL93
MAD69
13 Oct 2011
BIL86
MAD82
02 Jun 2011
BIL80
MAD72
31 May 2011
BIL68
MAD51
16 Oct 2010
BIL73
MAD75
31 Oct 2009
BIL70
MAD96
28 Feb 2009
BIL88
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 77
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 77
A27/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
80-97
80
97
-17
67avg 77
H04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 77
A09/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
45avg 77
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
74-66
74
66
+8
74avg 77
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
95-59
95
59
+36
91avg 77
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 77
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
77avg 77
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
95-55
95
55
+40
96avg 77
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-19
19-22
13-15
15-14
12-22
21-23
20-22
17-24
20-27
21-22
22-24
17-24
20-26
21-13
23-27
19-24
18-14
10-18
21-16
21-19
16-12
16-15
21-20
18-24
29-12
26-15
22-8
22-17
20-22
22-22
26-11
16-22
22-20
23-13
16-22
27-16
17-13
18-17
33-9
156.2Avg total
80.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.580.5167.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)80.675.6156.2+5.040%
Last 5 (5)87.468.2155.6+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.187.2167.3-7.133%
vs Similar (12)78.878.9157.8-0.142%
vs Weaker (9)87.671.3158.9+16.278%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
95-92
95
92
+3
101avg 85
A02/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 85
H08/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 85
H10/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
84-73
84
73
+11
85avg 85
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
70avg 85
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 85
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 85
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
86avg 85
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 85
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 85
H10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
21-25
23-31
23-16
18-13
19-20
27-15
20-28
18-15
22-15
17-22
22-11
17-19
15-21
34-16
18-17
20-18
21-24
26-19
22-22
19-32
26-17
18-19
17-22
22-16
22-21
19-23
22-26
29-26
22-26
22-12
16-33
23-20
24-26
28-23
26-26
24-24
26-23
18-17
25-22
172.0Avg total
87.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)101.095.0196.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)85.086.0171.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)87.984.1172.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)89.690.8180.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (4)87.288.5175.8-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.783.0172.8+6.779%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
BilbaoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A27/04
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A09/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/05
ACB
Neptunas
#42
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/09
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/10
ACB
Balkan
#41
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
77.6Avg total
38.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.279.1+0.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.479.5+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.178.7-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.077.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.077.8-0.258%-
vs Weaker (9)40.437.878.2+2.767%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A02/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
43.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.085.3+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (20)45.341.286.5+4.075%-
Last 30 away (10)42.140.682.7+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.185.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.293.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (4)52.846.299.0+6.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.939.882.7+3.175%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
54.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
35.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
76.4%17.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.3
56.2%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.620.1
78.5%
76.4%20.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWWWLLLLL
Real Madrid
WWLLLWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+6.9
Net rating
+4.8
105.8
Offensive rating
115.9
98.9
Defensive rating
111.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.4%
3-point %
35.2%
60.2%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 115.9Defence98.9 · 111.1Shooting50.5% · 54.8%3-point %29.4% · 35.2%Ball care17.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bilbao   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Real Madrid v Bilbao95-80
12/11/23Bilbao v Real Madrid84-87
12/03/23Real Madrid v Bilbao86-65
27/12/22Bilbao v Real Madrid80-85
13/04/22Bilbao v Real Madrid79-67
07/11/21Real Madrid v Bilbao95-61
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HBalkan95-55
05/10/24AMurcia83-89 OT
29/09/24HBreogan90-72
27/09/24HNeptunas95-59
24/09/24ANeptunas74-66
12/05/24HBarcelona68-72
09/05/24AManresa81-90
04/05/24HPalencia80-97
27/04/24ABasquet Girona68-81
21/04/24HObradoiro CAB72-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24HPartizan93-86
06/10/24HBasket Zaragoza101-95
03/10/24ABayern89-97
29/09/24ALeyma Coruna85-86
22/09/24HUnicaja80-90
21/09/24HBarcelona89-83
12/06/24AMurcia84-73
10/06/24HMurcia79-63
08/06/24HMurcia84-76
02/06/24ABarcelona95-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.590.083.0
Allowed / game80.572.089.0
Point differential+6.0+18.0-6.0
Avg total167.0162.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.0101.085.0
Allowed / game90.595.086.0
Point differential+2.5+6.0-1.0
Avg total183.5196.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%91.768.0+23.7
2 Barcelona220100%84.569.5+15.0
3 Gran Canaria220100%85.571.5+14.0
4 Tenerife110100%88.080.0+8.0
5 MoraBanc Andorra32167%92.789.7+3.0
6 Valencia21150%78.568.5+10.0
7 Bilbao21150%86.580.5+6.0
8 Real Madrid21150%93.090.5+2.5
9 Basket Zaragoza21150%98.096.0+2.0
10 Manresa21150%78.578.5+0.0
11 Joventut Badalona21150%75.580.0-4.5
12 Baskonia31233%88.791.7-3.0
13 Granada31233%71.775.7-4.0
14 Murcia31233%85.789.7-4.0
15 Leyma Coruna31233%81.792.3-10.7
16 Basquet Girona31233%69.784.0-14.3
17 Forca Lleida3030%76.093.3-17.3
18 Breogan1010%72.090.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2224142383
Real Madrid1816252079
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