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Basket Napoli vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 70-74
21-18 22-18 13-18 14-20
Position#14
Record5-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#16
Record4-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game89.5
ItalyLega ARound 20· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Pistoia
02 Mar 2025
NAP70
PIS74
16 Mar 2024
NAP93
PIS95
25 May 2021
NAP80
PIS70
23 May 2021
NAP92
PIS78
10 Feb 2021
NAP79
PIS64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
69avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
84avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 75
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 75
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
11-23
23-17
25-26
21-31
23-19
24-29
16-18
22-19
24-19
18-19
18-25
12-22
27-27
29-19
18-21
20-17
23-22
26-18
23-26
13-26
22-18
21-30
19-12
27-11
24-21
17-15
19-23
17-25
24-17
26-19
23-17
27-23
17-21
19-19
27-22
16-18
12-22
17-35
23-16
170.1Avg total
84.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.487.2169.6-4.826%
Season at home (9)83.884.4168.2-0.744%
Season away (10)81.189.7170.8-8.610%
Last 10 (10)84.485.7170.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.082.0164.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.888.2170.1-6.417%
vs Similar (16)85.790.1175.8-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.088.0170.0-6.00%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 74
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 74
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 74
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 74
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 74
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 74
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 74
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 74
H08/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
13-29
25-19
28-25
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
21-22
15-25
18-17
21-16
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
182.3Avg total
86.3Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.589.5172.0-6.921%
Season at home (10)85.690.0175.6-4.430%
Season away (9)79.188.9168.0-9.811%
Last 10 (10)86.396.0182.3-9.710%
Last 5 (5)83.892.2176.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.687.9166.5-9.421%
vs Similar (11)92.192.4184.5-0.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Basket NapoliPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H19/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/02
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.185.0-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.485.6+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)38.446.084.4-7.60%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.981.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.142.681.7-3.525%-
vs Similar (16)42.644.086.6-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
91.8Avg total
42.1Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.086.8-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.890.1-5.520%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.283.5-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.149.791.8-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.093.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.345.683.9-7.326%-
vs Similar (11)45.146.791.8-1.636%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.9
52.2%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.3%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.414.8
69.2%
76.8%14.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.6
50.9%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.2%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.116.1
80.1%
76.8%16.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWWWLWLWLL
Pistoia
LLLWLLLLLL
#14
League position
#16
-1.7
Net rating
-11.8
110.6
Offensive rating
108.7
112.3
Defensive rating
120.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
36.2%
63.4%
Assist %
51.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 108.7Defence112.3 · 120.5Shooting51.3% · 52.2%3-point %33.3% · 36.2%Ball care11.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 24.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Basket Napoli wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AVenezia68-91
02/02/25HBrescia90-85
25/01/25ATreviso90-78
19/01/25HSassari87-70
12/01/25AVirtus Bologna75-86
04/01/25HTortona92-83
28/12/24AVarese86-89
22/12/24HScafati96-94 OT
15/12/24ABrescia84-97
08/12/24HReggiana76-84
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96
12/01/25ATrieste75-80
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
29/12/24ABrescia83-90
22/12/24HTortona89-93
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
07/12/24HTrapani88-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL26%
HomeLWWWW44%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%44%10%
Points / game82.483.881.1
Allowed / game87.284.489.7
Point differential-4.8-0.7-8.6
Avg total169.6168.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game82.585.679.1
Allowed / game89.590.088.9
Point differential-6.9-4.4-9.8
Avg total172.0175.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%84.977.8+7.2
3 Brescia1914574%91.486.1+5.3
4 Trapani1913668%91.982.8+9.1
5 Olimpia Milano1913668%89.584.7+4.8
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste1911858%86.384.3+2.1
8 Tortona2011955%85.385.5-0.1
9 Venezia1991047%78.576.8+1.7
10 Treviso1981142%86.088.1-2.1
11 Sassari2071335%79.584.2-4.7
12 Scafati1961332%87.392.7-5.4
13 Varese1961332%88.698.8-10.3
14 Basket Napoli1951426%82.487.2-4.8
15 Cremona1951426%75.881.1-5.3
16 Pistoia1941521%82.589.5-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2122131470
Pistoia1818182074
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