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Pistoia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-82
29-24 27-19 10-20 22-19
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#14
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· Lanzarini S.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Basket Napoli
29 Sep 2024
PIS88
NAP82
02 Dec 2023
PIS81
NAP76
28 May 2021
PIS74
NAP85
24 Feb 2021
PIS51
NAP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 69
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 69
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-19
22-15
23-26
14-26
27-29
27-28
32-10
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
173.7Avg total
84.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.389.4173.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)81.090.0171.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.785.3165.0-5.650%
vs Similar (15)82.384.3166.5-2.053%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
72-97
72
97
-25
56avg 78
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 78
A24/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
75avg 78
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
79-113
79
113
-34
66avg 78
A07/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 78
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
93-103
93
103
-10
90avg 78
H21/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
62avg 78
A28/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
102-92
102
92
+10
99avg 78
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
69avg 78
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
22-23
17-34
22-19
18-21
23-17
20-21
18-20
22-28
20-15
26-21
16-22
14-24
28-30
20-25
28-18
26-27
17-27
20-21
16-38
25-21
17-22
24-18
22-18
23-23
30-27
24-25
16-28
15-16
23-24
15-23
21-25
25-25
31-21
29-26
17-20
16-29
18-23
36-18
17-26
180.8Avg total
86.2Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.294.6180.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)88.891.6180.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.690.2171.8-8.620%
vs Similar (19)86.289.3175.4-3.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.276.8166.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
PistoiaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
88.9Avg total
39.7Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.983.5-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.043.281.2-5.229%-
Last 30 away (16)39.246.485.6-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.749.288.9-9.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.849.887.6-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.945.382.1-8.436%-
vs Similar (15)40.645.185.7-4.527%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A07/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H21/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
88.8Avg total
42.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.1-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.044.684.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.083.6-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.488.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.290.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (19)41.144.485.5-3.332%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.038.281.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.0
54.5%
52.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.0
75.3%
76.8%14.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.3
32.0%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.317.7
79.4%
76.8%17.7
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLWLLWWL
Basket Napoli
LWLLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-10.0
113.5
Offensive rating
108.7
119.3
Defensive rating
118.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
18.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.3%
3-point %
32.0%
47.7%
Assist %
63.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 108.7Defence119.3 · 118.7Shooting55.6% · 50.3%3-point %38.3% · 32.0%Ball care12.4% · 14.0%Off. rebounds18.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Pistoia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
5
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Basket Napoli v Pistoia93-95 OT
02/12/23Pistoia v Basket Napoli81-76
28/05/21Pistoia v Basket Napoli74-85
25/05/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia80-70
23/05/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia92-78
24/02/21Pistoia v Basket Napoli51-65
10/02/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia79-64
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
07/04/24HReggiana83-82
01/04/24AVirtus Bologna100-93
23/03/24HTreviso83-84
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24HVirtus Bologna87-96
05/05/24HScafati102-92
28/04/24AReggiana74-88
21/04/24HTrento93-103
14/04/24HSassari88-79
07/04/24AVarese79-113
30/03/24HVenezia90-97
24/03/24AOlimpia Milano84-86
16/03/24HPistoia93-95 OT
10/03/24ATortona72-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia110100%118.094.0+24.0
2 Trento110100%92.076.0+16.0
3 Tortona110100%80.068.0+12.0
4 Scafati110100%97.086.0+11.0
5 Trieste110100%84.078.0+6.0
6 Treviso110100%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
8 Trapani1010%88.089.0-1.0
9 Venezia1010%75.078.0-3.0
10 Olimpia Milano1010%78.084.0-6.0
11 Sassari1010%86.097.0-11.0
12 Cremona1010%68.080.0-12.0
13 Reggiana1010%76.092.0-16.0
14 Varese1010%94.0118.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2927102288
Basket Napoli2419201982
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