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Virtus Bologna vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-75
26-13 18-22 30-21 12-19
Position#1
Record10-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#14
Record2-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game89.1
ItalyLega ARound 15· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Basket Napoli
11 Apr 2027
VIR v NAP
upcoming
06 Oct 2025
VIR105
NAP88
12 Jan 2025
VIR86
NAP75
28 Jan 2024
VIR101
NAP89
08 Apr 2023
VIR81
NAP89
06 Mar 2022
VIR86
NAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 79
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
97-71
97
71
+26
104avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
85avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-57
69
57
+12
66avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 79
H10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-17
18-19
26-24
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
23-15
12-19
30-31
21-16
23-20
29-21
5-25
22-21
17-7
29-22
20-16
17-24
21-14
22-22
31-16
23-19
23-30
19-24
24-25
24-32
18-13
16-15
14-16
21-13
14-20
23-18
22-16
17-20
160.5Avg total
80.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.480.3165.7+5.171%
Season at home (6)89.280.0169.2+9.283%
Season away (8)82.680.5163.1+2.162%
Last 10 (10)80.979.6160.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)83.076.4159.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
vs Similar (10)82.581.6164.1+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.380.0165.3+5.370%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 75
A26/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 75
H03/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
85-95
85
95
-10
85avg 75
A10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
69avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 75
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
69avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
84avg 75
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
22-19
26-27
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-15
15-30
22-24
23-31
20-8
20-32
15-15
22-22
16-18
16-29
14-22
19-16
26-23
24-29
17-18
11-23
23-17
25-26
21-31
23-19
24-29
16-18
22-19
24-19
18-19
18-25
12-22
27-27
29-19
18-21
20-17
23-22
26-18
23-26
171.9Avg total
83.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.589.1171.6-6.614%
Season at home (7)82.486.4168.9-4.029%
Season away (7)82.691.7174.3-9.10%
Last 10 (10)83.388.6171.9-5.320%
Last 5 (5)86.889.4176.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.688.5171.1-5.818%
vs Similar (15)85.192.2177.3-7.127%
vs Weaker (2)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.3-6.3
Virtus BolognaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
40.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.582.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.779.8-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.384.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.178.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
vs Similar (10)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.540.680.1-1.140%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.384.5-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.543.885.3-2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.044.783.7-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.281.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.443.082.4-3.636%-
vs Similar (15)41.745.186.7-3.433%-
vs Weaker (2)41.048.589.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.5
55.9%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.8
36.4%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.7
77.4%
76.8%14.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.3
52.1%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
76.8%15.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWLWLLW
Basket Napoli
WLWLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#14
+2.1
Net rating
-7.0
114.1
Offensive rating
108.1
112.0
Defensive rating
115.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
33.7%
73.9%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 108.1Defence112.0 · 115.1Shooting55.3% · 51.4%3-point %36.4% · 33.7%Ball care17.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 25.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Basket Napoli wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HBaskonia76-74
05/01/25AReggiana69-57
03/01/25APanathinaikos90-111
29/12/24HScafati97-71
27/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne83-69
22/12/24ATrento79-87
20/12/24HBarcelona86-81
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
15/12/24HTrieste70-78
12/12/24ABaskonia82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HTortona92-83
28/12/24AVarese86-89
22/12/24HScafati96-94 OT
15/12/24ABrescia84-97
08/12/24HReggiana76-84
01/12/24ATrento83-90
17/11/24HTreviso69-84
10/11/24ATrapani85-95
03/11/24HVenezia80-81
26/10/24AOlimpia Milano82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%83%62%
Points / game85.489.282.6
Allowed / game80.380.080.5
Point differential+5.1+9.2+2.1
Avg total165.7169.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW14%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game82.582.482.6
Allowed / game89.186.491.7
Point differential-6.6-4.0-9.1
Avg total171.6168.9174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1512380%89.584.9+4.6
2 Trapani1511473%93.385.3+8.0
3 Trento1511473%88.783.3+5.5
4 Virtus Bologna1410471%85.480.3+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano1510567%89.785.8+3.9
6 Tortona159660%87.184.9+2.2
7 Reggiana159660%80.778.7+2.0
8 Trieste159660%86.384.5+1.7
9 Venezia157847%78.177.3+0.7
10 Treviso157847%86.086.9-0.9
11 Sassari156940%82.184.5-2.4
12 Varese156940%89.395.9-6.6
13 Scafati1541127%87.994.6-6.7
14 Cremona1531220%76.981.1-4.3
15 Pistoia1531220%81.687.9-6.3
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2618301286
Basket Napoli1322211975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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