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Basket Napoli vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-82
22-25 13-24 18-14 21-19
Position#13
Record8-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game84.5
Basket Napoli
Italy
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record9-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Varese
20 Dec 2026
NAP v VAR
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
NAP104
VAR75
12 Apr 2025
NAP87
VAR97
11 Nov 2023
NAP97
VAR96
05 Mar 2023
NAP93
VAR101
14 Mar 2022
NAP74
VAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
no box
A12/12
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 74
H19/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 74
A05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 74
H16/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
62avg 74
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 74
A23/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 74
H31/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 74
H19/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
28-18
20-21
7-21
20-30
15-16
17-13
20-22
20-14
22-22
13-18
20-25
19-20
15-23
19-20
33-26
20-17
7-27
17-21
31-24
20-22
12-26
23-18
17-19
28-17
28-31
12-23
21-11
21-24
18-23
16-18
21-16
17-27
15-20
22-25
21-14
11-25
19-18
34-23
22-20
166.8Avg total
81.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.584.5166.9-2.040%
Season at home (9)81.481.3162.8+0.156%
Season away (11)83.387.1170.4-3.827%
Last 10 (10)81.185.7166.8-4.620%
Last 5 (5)81.086.0167.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.684.0162.6-5.440%
vs Similar (18)80.682.7163.3-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.970.0145.9+5.986%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 72
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 72
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 72
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 72
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
75avg 72
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 72
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 72
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 72
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 72
H06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-28
21-20
21-7
27-28
23-20
27-21
22-35
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
24-23
18-19
22-22
26-20
28-18
10-23
29-24
23-24
16-25
32-16
12-28
20-12
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
175.2Avg total
88.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.886.9168.7-5.245%
Season at home (10)80.283.4163.6-3.250%
Season away (10)83.390.4173.7-7.140%
Last 10 (10)88.586.7175.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)87.482.4169.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.886.3165.1-7.535%
vs Similar (13)83.887.1170.9-3.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Basket NapoliVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A12/12
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A23/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H31/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A09/03
Lega A
82.6Avg total
38.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.078.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.476.8+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.480.4-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.382.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.684.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
vs Similar (18)38.941.980.8-3.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.634.473.0+4.157%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
88.7Avg total
44.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.584.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.841.981.7-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.987.2-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.688.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.887.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.043.884.8-2.847%-
vs Similar (13)41.243.284.5-2.031%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
51.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.2
28.9%
35.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
74.7%15.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
74.7%14.8
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LLLWLLLLLW
Varese
WWWLWWWLLL
#13
League position
#12
-5.2
Net rating
+0.0
102.1
Offensive rating
112.5
107.3
Defensive rating
112.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.9%
3-point %
34.2%
50.7%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 112.5Defence107.3 · 112.5Shooting48.7% · 50.7%3-point %28.9% · 34.2%Ball care18.6% · 12.8%Off. rebounds29.8% · 29.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Napoli wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21Varese v Basket Napoli89-98 OT
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/22ACremona93-96 OT
06/03/22AVirtus Bologna75-86
19/02/22HVenezia76-81
31/01/22HTrieste89-82
23/01/22ATrento72-85
19/01/22ABrindisi75-89
16/01/22HFortitudo Bologna86-89
05/01/22AVenezia75-79
19/12/21HTrento72-81
12/12/21AVarese98-89 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
06/02/22HVirtus Bologna80-81
30/01/22HTrento90-89
28/01/22ATrento90-84
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101
19/12/21ASassari99-104
12/12/21HBasket Napoli89-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%56%27%
Points / game82.581.483.3
Allowed / game84.581.387.1
Point differential-2.0+0.1-3.8
Avg total166.9162.8170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%11%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW45%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game81.880.283.3
Allowed / game86.983.490.4
Point differential-5.2-3.2-7.1
Avg total168.7163.6173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2018290%83.769.7+14.0
2 Virtus Bologna2017385%88.879.1+9.7
3 Brescia2114767%84.778.7+6.0
4 Reggiana21111052%80.878.8+2.0
5 Tortona21111052%80.179.9+0.3
6 Sassari20101050%83.082.5+0.4
7 Venezia21101148%78.378.4-0.1
8 Brindisi21101148%81.082.4-1.4
9 Trieste21101148%77.581.0-3.5
10 Varese2091145%81.886.9-5.2
11 Trento2191243%77.479.8-2.3
12 Basket Napoli2081240%82.584.5-2.0
13 Treviso2081240%79.183.6-4.5
14 Pesaro2181338%79.584.6-5.1
15 Fortitudo Bologna2161529%81.384.6-3.3
16 Cremona2161529%80.484.6-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2213182174
Varese2524141982
← all games of the day
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