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Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-88
22-23 6-23 20-21 27-21
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 5· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna
03 Jan 2027
NAP v VIR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NAP71
VIR90
16 Mar 2025
NAP93
VIR88
21 Sep 2024
NAP87
VIR96
30 Oct 2023
NAP75
VIR88
02 Oct 2022
NAP77
VIR89
24 Oct 2021
NAP92
VIR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 71
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 71
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
70avg 71
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 71
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 71
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
90-71
90
71
+19
86avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
20-20
28-15
20-32
27-24
21-32
14-14
29-23
17-24
18-20
14-25
27-19
16-24
19-9
27-20
20-16
30-27
22-23
21-23
25-14
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
23-13
12-22
23-12
19-21
22-23
16-18
19-18
14-21
21-14
26-15
25-16
18-26
168.2Avg total
87.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.277.2164.5+10.075%
Season at home (2)83.569.5153.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)87.380.9168.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)87.478.2165.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.584.7164.2-5.231%
vs Similar (13)80.582.2162.7-1.654%
vs Weaker (1)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
97-60
97
60
+37
105avg 81
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 81
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 81
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
113avg 81
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 81
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 81
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
87avg 81
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-25
28-8
21-17
25-15
23-21
13-19
20-20
23-15
19-22
23-21
14-24
33-22
25-17
23-28
34-17
23-15
25-18
22-15
13-11
25-17
16-23
28-19
21-16
27-11
17-15
23-25
20-25
26-15
18-18
18-22
23-24
18-20
27-15
19-15
16-16
21-18
18-24
26-21
22-21
162.4Avg total
88.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.575.0166.5+16.5100%
Season at home (2)97.575.0172.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.474.0162.4+14.490%
Last 5 (5)85.876.0161.8+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.059.0142.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (11)79.378.4157.6+0.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.877.4171.2+16.494%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Basket NapoliVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H16/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/10
Lega A
84.2Avg total
43.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.579.6-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.440.181.5+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.977.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.984.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.482.8+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.241.681.8-1.344%-
vs Similar (13)37.040.277.2-3.231%-
vs Weaker (1)47.029.076.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
45.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.282.3+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.436.082.4+10.488%-
Last 30 away (13)41.241.182.2+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)45.735.681.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.277.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (11)39.337.877.1+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.639.186.8+8.576%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.1
39.8%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
76.3%16.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
53.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.0
41.0%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.6
79.7%
76.3%12.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WLWWWWWLLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#2
+7.8
Net rating
+16.0
116.2
Offensive rating
119.3
108.4
Defensive rating
103.3
56.7%
Effective FG%
59.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.8%
3-point %
41.0%
54.9%
Assist %
69.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 119.3Defence108.4 · 103.3Shooting56.7% · 59.3%3-point %39.8% · 41.0%Ball care13.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds22.6% · 31.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HBrindisi90-71
15/10/23ABrescia71-80
08/10/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82
29/04/23HPesaro98-87
23/04/23HTortona82-69
19/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-88
16/04/23HVenezia91-93
08/04/23AVirtus Bologna89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-84
22/10/23HSassari80-66
20/10/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
18/10/23HAlba Berlin87-76
15/10/23ATrento90-75
13/10/23AMonaco83-59
08/10/23HVarese115-84
05/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-82
01/10/23AScafati81-75
24/09/23HBrescia97-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.283.591.0
Allowed / game77.269.585.0
Point differential+10.0+14.0+6.0
Avg total164.5153.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.597.585.5
Allowed / game75.075.075.0
Point differential+16.5+22.5+10.5
Avg total166.5172.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%91.575.0+16.5
2 Venezia550100%83.073.0+10.0
3 Brescia54180%85.276.6+8.6
4 Reggiana54180%85.078.6+6.4
5 Trento54180%83.882.6+1.2
6 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
7 Olimpia Milano53260%78.878.0+0.8
8 Tortona53260%75.675.0+0.6
9 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
10 Pesaro52340%83.482.8+0.6
11 Scafati52340%91.293.6-2.4
12 Pistoia51420%76.480.4-4.0
13 Varese51420%83.492.8-9.4
14 Sassari51420%76.889.4-12.6
15 Treviso5050%77.487.4-10.0
16 Brindisi5050%68.481.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli226202775
Virtus Bologna2323212188
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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