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Baskonia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-92
23-24 32-20 17-25 24-23
Position#5
Record21-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#18
Record9-20
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 31
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Baskonia v Estudiantes
15 Apr 2021
BAS96
EST92
31 Mar 2019
BAS104
EST67
05 Oct 2017
BAS94
EST76
11 Dec 2016
BAS82
EST77
28 Feb 2016
BAS107
EST77
04 Jan 2015
BAS94
EST59
27 Oct 2013
BAS79
EST66
12 May 2013
BAS80
EST90
25 Mar 2012
BAS89
EST74
03 Apr 2011
BAS89
EST66
21 May 2010
BAS92
EST76
06 Dec 2009
BAS78
EST68
28 Dec 2008
BAS100
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A21/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H26/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
78-99
78
99
-21
H28/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A30/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
H01/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A04/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A08/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
A11/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
16-18
24-21
14-19
17-14
15-31
13-14
34-16
20-19
25-16
24-20
16-17
10-16
23-16
27-13
26-24
18-24
18-23
20-28
22-24
25-21
24-20
23-18
25-23
19-22
22-24
22-19
29-27
21-23
15-11
27-18
19-16
21-25
23-14
15-21
22-26
23-17
17-27
23-18
15-16
168.9Avg total
85.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.177.6160.6+5.572%
Season at home (14)83.074.4157.4+8.679%
Season away (15)83.180.5163.6+2.767%
Last 10 (10)85.083.9168.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)89.687.8177.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar (11)80.077.8157.8+2.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.178.5164.6+7.662%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
H29/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A11/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
26-20
18-23
30-26
21-20
23-27
20-24
21-18
19-21
18-24
26-27
28-24
22-19
15-33
24-31
8-13
21-21
22-14
24-29
20-19
14-18
18-25
15-20
23-24
19-16
20-28
21-28
15-22
21-23
179.7Avg total
87.0Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.287.0168.1-5.831%
Season at home (14)81.683.6165.2-1.929%
Season away (15)80.790.1170.9-9.433%
Last 10 (10)87.092.7179.7-5.740%
Last 5 (5)86.094.6180.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.790.2168.9-11.411%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.075%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
BaskoniaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A30/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/04
ACB
80.0Avg total
39.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.179.8+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.038.481.4+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)38.939.678.6-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.880.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (11)36.438.274.5-1.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.938.982.9+5.075%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A11/04
ACB
88.9Avg total
41.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.779.2-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.576.8-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.881.7-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)41.647.388.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.651.892.4-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.343.882.1-5.526%-
vs Similar (8)39.238.978.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.1
39.1%
36.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
76.6%15.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.3
50.0%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
36.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws12.89.6
75.0%
76.6%9.6
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLWLWWWL
Estudiantes
LLWLWLWLWL
#5
League position
#18
+5.0
Net rating
-12.0
112.1
Offensive rating
103.8
107.1
Defensive rating
115.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.19
39.1%
3-point %
32.7%
62.5%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 103.8Defence107.1 · 115.8Shooting53.7% · 49.6%3-point %39.1% · 32.7%Ball care17.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Baskonia wins
1
Estudiantes wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21AMurcia87-92 OT
08/04/21AValencia81-86
04/04/21AMoraBanc Andorra82-68
01/04/21HAnadolu Efes101-111 OT
30/03/21APanathinaikos97-82
28/03/21HGran Canaria78-99
26/03/21HOlimpia Milano86-69
21/03/21ABilbao85-72
18/03/21AZenit Petersburg79-75
14/03/21HReal Madrid74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21ATenerife77-101
04/04/21HMurcia75-85
29/03/21HMoraBanc Andorra97-85 OT
23/03/21ABarcelona68-98
20/03/21ABasket Zaragoza113-104 OT
17/03/21HJoventut Badalona83-90
14/03/21HBilbao95-89
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL72%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %72%79%67%
Points / game83.183.083.1
Allowed / game77.674.480.5
Point differential+5.5+8.6+2.7
Avg total160.6157.4163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (1)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game81.281.680.7
Allowed / game87.083.690.1
Point differential-5.8-1.9-9.4
Avg total168.1165.2170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3029197%86.975.2+11.7
2 Barcelona3026487%87.373.2+14.1
3 Tenerife2923679%88.780.0+8.7
4 Baskonia2921872%83.177.6+5.5
5 Valencia29181162%85.281.1+4.0
6 San Pablo Burgos28171161%86.682.8+3.8
7 Joventut Badalona28161257%85.384.7+0.6
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 Manresa29131645%83.986.9-3.0
10 Gran Canaria29131645%80.384.4-4.1
11 MoraBanc Andorra27121544%78.178.7-0.7
12 Murcia28111739%81.284.0-2.8
13 Basket Zaragoza28101836%86.888.7-1.9
14 Obradoiro CAB2891932%79.684.5-4.9
15 Fuenlabrada2992031%80.383.9-3.6
16 Estudiantes2992031%81.287.0-5.8
17 Real Betis2882029%77.983.2-5.4
18 Bilbao2872125%80.087.1-7.1
19 Gipuzkoa2972224%73.886.3-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2332172496
Estudiantes2420252392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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