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Murcia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 92-87 (OT)
17-23 27-17 18-23 16-15 14-9
Position#12
Record10-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.9
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#5
Record21-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game77.0
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Baskonia
14 Mar 2027
MUR v BAS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MUR89
BAS84
12 Apr 2025
MUR82
BAS91
27 Sep 2023
MUR88
BAS76
29 Jan 2023
MUR80
BAS87
24 Oct 2021
MUR80
BAS79
11 Apr 2021
MUR92
BAS87
07 Apr 2019
MUR75
BAS86
31 Dec 2017
MUR78
BAS67
22 Jan 2017
MUR71
BAS92
31 Jan 2016
MUR68
BAS66
21 Dec 2014
MUR93
BAS88
06 Apr 2014
MUR89
BAS80
05 May 2013
MUR95
BAS98
11 Dec 2011
MUR67
BAS75
11 Oct 2009
MUR66
BAS88
29 Mar 2009
MUR85
BAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A04/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
20-18
26-28
29-29
11-20
25-17
9-25
18-30
32-24
19-23
9-26
27-25
21-22
21-22
21-24
21-23
18-18
13-24
29-18
24-25
6-16
18-14
20-20
14-24
26-23
16-17
19-23
17-22
17-13
13-17
25-14
27-26
15-28
14-13
22-18
23-15
25-18
20-15
24-23
16-19
165.9Avg total
79.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.883.9164.7-3.137%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.246%
Season away (14)80.286.4166.6-6.129%
Last 10 (10)79.686.3165.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)77.078.8155.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.883.2161.0-5.440%
vs Similar (14)82.387.6169.9-5.321%
vs Weaker (6)82.875.5158.3+7.383%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H12/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A21/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H26/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
78-99
78
99
-21
H28/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A30/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
H01/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A04/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A08/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-18
27-12
18-26
20-27
16-18
24-21
14-19
17-14
15-31
13-14
34-16
20-19
25-16
24-20
16-17
10-16
23-16
27-13
26-24
18-24
18-23
20-28
22-24
25-21
24-20
23-18
25-23
19-22
22-24
22-19
29-27
21-23
15-11
27-18
19-16
21-25
23-14
15-21
22-26
165.9Avg total
84.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.977.0160.0+5.975%
Season at home (14)83.074.4157.4+8.679%
Season away (14)82.979.6162.5+3.271%
Last 10 (10)84.181.8165.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)87.889.2177.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar (12)81.279.1160.3+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.077.6163.6+8.467%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
MurciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H07/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A04/04
ACB
75.8Avg total
36.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.578.3-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.936.974.7+1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.881.4-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.075.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.868.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.335.877.1+5.570%-
vs Similar (14)37.043.980.9-6.914%-
vs Weaker (6)38.735.574.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A30/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/04
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
38.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.180.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.238.982.1+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.478.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.778.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)37.238.875.9-1.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.2
48.5%
53.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
36.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
76.6%13.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.1
39.1%
36.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
76.6%15.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLLLLLLL
Baskonia
LWLWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#5
-8.9
Net rating
+5.0
100.1
Offensive rating
112.1
109.0
Defensive rating
107.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.2%
3-point %
39.1%
50.3%
Assist %
62.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 112.1Defence109.0 · 107.1Shooting47.9% · 53.7%3-point %31.2% · 39.1%Ball care21.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds36.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
21/10/18Baskonia v Murcia93-49
29/04/18Baskonia v Murcia87-85
31/12/17Murcia v Baskonia78-67
22/01/17Murcia v Baskonia71-92
07/10/16Baskonia v Murcia87-75
31/01/16Murcia v Baskonia68-66
15/11/15Baskonia v Murcia90-67
03/05/15Baskonia v Murcia77-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21AEstudiantes85-75
28/03/21HBilbao82-90 OT
24/03/21AFuenlabrada82-70
20/03/21ATenerife78-85
07/03/21HReal Madrid58-74
27/02/21AManresa84-85
07/02/21HJoventut Badalona84-91
02/02/21AReal Madrid87-98
31/01/21ABarcelona63-92
26/01/21HManresa93-103
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21AValencia81-86
04/04/21AMoraBanc Andorra82-68
01/04/21HAnadolu Efes101-111 OT
30/03/21APanathinaikos97-82
28/03/21HGran Canaria78-99
26/03/21HOlimpia Milano86-69
21/03/21ABilbao85-72
18/03/21AZenit Petersburg79-75
14/03/21HReal Madrid74-85
12/03/21HBayern78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW37%
HomeLLLLL46%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game80.881.580.2
Allowed / game83.981.286.4
Point differential-3.1+0.2-6.1
Avg total164.7162.7166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%23%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game82.983.082.9
Allowed / game77.074.479.6
Point differential+5.9+8.6+3.2
Avg total160.0157.4162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2827196%87.074.8+12.2
2 Barcelona2825389%87.272.6+14.5
3 Tenerife2722581%88.780.0+8.7
4 Baskonia2821775%82.977.0+5.9
5 San Pablo Burgos2617965%87.182.3+4.8
6 Valencia28171161%85.281.3+3.9
7 Joventut Badalona27161159%85.484.0+1.4
8 Unicaja27131448%84.582.8+1.7
9 Manresa29131645%83.986.9-3.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra27121544%78.178.7-0.7
11 Gran Canaria27121544%79.784.1-4.4
12 Basket Zaragoza27101737%87.288.9-1.6
13 Murcia27101737%80.883.9-3.1
14 Obradoiro CAB2891932%79.684.5-4.9
15 Estudiantes2891932%81.386.5-5.1
16 Fuenlabrada2882029%80.083.9-3.9
17 Real Betis2882029%77.983.2-5.4
18 Bilbao2872125%80.087.1-7.1
19 Gipuzkoa2862221%73.286.6-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Murcia172718161492
Baskonia23172315987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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