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Baskonia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-86
14-20 22-22 20-29 28-15
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Baskonia v Panathinaikos
09 Mar 2027
BAS v PAO
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
BAS84
PAO86
17 Jan 2025
BAS91
PAO77
03 Jan 2024
BAS75
PAO73
03 Feb 2023
BAS95
PAO90
12 Oct 2021
BAS81
PAO79
19 Nov 2020
BAS93
PAO72
23 Nov 2018
BAS86
PAO77
02 Nov 2017
BAS85
PAO84
23 Mar 2017
BAS63
PAO72
15 Apr 2016
BAS82
PAO78
13 Apr 2016
BAS84
PAO68
10 Jan 2014
BAS64
PAO72
29 Nov 2013
BAS79
PAO77
03 Feb 2011
BAS77
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
84avg 79
H03/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 79
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
105avg 79
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
100-97
100
97
+3
99avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-101
105
101
+4
104avg 79
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 79
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
88-107
88
107
-19
79avg 79
A05/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-19
21-16
25-26
13-27
18-21
14-17
26-25
19-23
38-21
26-31
27-23
26-20
23-23
22-33
29-21
29-25
23-25
27-25
26-26
14-15
24-22
13-22
25-23
33-27
23-27
25-34
22-24
20-27
28-22
22-24
26-29
33-26
12-22
21-29
29-25
20-23
14-25
26-24
28-35
190.9Avg total
93.4Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.5102.0197.5-6.50%
Season at home (1)96.0102.0198.0-6.00%
Season away (1)95.0102.0197.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)93.497.5190.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)91.6101.0192.6-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)92.196.4188.6-4.322%
vs Similar (15)89.287.5176.7+1.760%
vs Weaker (6)93.391.8185.2+1.550%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
97-59
97
59
+38
101avg 87
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 87
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
94avg 87
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 87
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 87
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 87
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 87
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 87
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
83avg 87
H03/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 87
H05/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
18-20
31-13
24-8
14-22
19-16
15-17
28-27
20-33
26-24
18-18
29-22
20-19
22-15
16-16
22-18
18-23
13-18
24-25
28-25
28-30
17-14
22-34
21-21
15-19
23-23
14-22
19-21
23-22
24-19
21-20
19-18
17-26
28-25
24-24
27-28
20-10
31-21
21-27
21-25
171.0Avg total
86.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.591.0182.5+0.550%
Season at home (2)91.591.0182.5+0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.484.6171.0+1.840%
Last 5 (5)87.089.8176.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)84.984.9169.8+0.141%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.577.7172.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
BaskoniaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
ACB
91.7Avg total
45.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.389.0-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.943.192.0+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)39.147.286.3-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.391.7-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.291.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)44.645.990.4-1.356%-
vs Similar (15)42.644.587.1-1.953%-
vs Weaker (6)45.246.391.5-1.250%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H03/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/10
Basket League
83.7Avg total
42.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.784.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.239.685.8+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.983.6-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.783.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.887.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.742.182.8-1.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.538.987.4+9.592%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.621.4
63.7%
60.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.318.6
76.5%
78.2%18.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.4
58.3%
60.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
78.2%15.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WLWLLLWLLW
#18
League position
#7
-6.0
Net rating
+2.2
123.6
Offensive rating
118.8
129.7
Defensive rating
116.6
58.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
35.5%
59.7%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.6 · 118.8Defence129.7 · 116.6Shooting58.2% · 56.4%3-point %34.7% · 35.5%Ball care14.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-107
03/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne95-102
30/09/25HOlympiacos96-102
06/06/25HReal Madrid103-112
03/06/25AReal Madrid76-82
30/05/25ALeyma Coruna105-101
24/05/25HBilbao100-97
18/05/25HBarcelona110-98
10/05/25AJoventut Badalona71-90
03/05/25HBasket Zaragoza90-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HPAOK93-83
03/10/25HBarcelona96-103
30/09/25HBayern87-79
08/06/25AOlympiacos71-85
06/06/25HOlympiacos88-99
01/06/25AOlympiacos83-91
30/05/25HOlympiacos80-68
25/05/25AOlympiacos93-97
23/05/25AFenerbahce76-82
14/05/25APromitheas97-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game95.596.095.0
Allowed / game102.0102.0102.0
Point differential-6.5-6.0-7.0
Avg total197.5198.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential+0.5+0.5-
Avg total182.5182.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%91.585.5+6.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
4 Monaco21150%93.585.0+8.5
5 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
6 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
7 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
8 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%89.587.5+2.0
9 Anadolu Efes21150%83.082.5+0.5
10 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
11 Panathinaikos21150%91.591.0+0.5
12 Virtus Bologna21150%84.085.5-1.5
13 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
14 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
15 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
16 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
17 Paris21150%89.095.0-6.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%91.792.0-0.3
19 Baskonia2020%95.5102.0-6.5
20 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1422202884
Panathinaikos2022291586
← all games of the day
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