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Baskonia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-79
17-14 28-17 18-20 27-28
Position#8
Record9-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#14
Record6-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2022
Meetings · Baskonia v Virtus Bologna
08 Jan 2027
BAS v VIR
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
BAS87
VIR76
12 Dec 2024
BAS81
VIR82
19 Apr 2024
BAS89
VIR77
14 Dec 2023
BAS81
VIR91
22 Dec 2022
BAS90
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 78
H23/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A25/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
95-68
95
68
+27
96avg 78
H27/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
78-62
78
62
+16
no box
H01/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
102-73
102
73
+29
108avg 78
H04/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 78
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
96-68
96
68
+28
99avg 78
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 78
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 78
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-88
102
88
+14
96avg 78
H18/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-24
22-14
29-15
22-22
26-30
25-24
11-20
27-12
28-11
14-25
26-20
24-9
14-18
16-18
24-17
29-12
20-18
36-21
17-22
17-10
27-20
11-12
23-11
20-9
33-15
25-22
18-22
21-23
15-23
28-12
19-20
21-13
31-20
15-23
9-14
24-25
11-27
39-12
28-24
161.6Avg total
88.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.380.1165.4+5.164%
Season at home (7)93.177.6170.7+15.686%
Season away (7)77.482.7160.1-5.343%
Last 10 (10)88.772.9161.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)87.071.4158.4+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.089.8170.8-8.80%
vs Similar (12)87.382.1169.4+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.177.9166.0+10.379%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 80
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 80
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
108-100
108
100
+8
114avg 80
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 80
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 80
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 80
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 80
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 80
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
20-26
21-29
14-9
18-19
16-21
19-23
27-22
32-19
18-19
29-12
19-18
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
28-20
28-27
23-22
29-31
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
25-19
24-13
18-26
22-19
169.6Avg total
84.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.679.9155.6-4.343%
Season at home (7)77.674.7152.3+2.957%
Season away (7)73.785.1158.9-11.429%
Last 10 (10)84.585.1169.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.085.4165.4-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.188.9164.0-13.729%
vs Similar (10)74.373.3147.6+1.050%
vs Weaker (12)85.373.7159.0+11.792%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
BaskoniaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H27/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H01/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H18/12
ACB
81.3Avg total
45.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.683.7+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.938.483.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.340.984.2+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)45.236.181.3+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.841.880.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)46.142.288.2+3.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.936.980.8+7.171%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/12
Lega A
82.9Avg total
42.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.078.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.377.1+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.4-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.982.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.345.783.0-8.414%-
vs Similar (10)39.634.674.2+5.080%-
vs Weaker (12)43.239.983.1+3.258%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.8
55.3%
53.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.8
43.5%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws15.311.1
72.5%
78.5%11.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.1
59.4%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.8
34.1%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
78.5%17.4
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWWWWWWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#14
+22.6
Net rating
+1.9
122.8
Offensive rating
112.5
100.2
Defensive rating
110.6
59.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.41
43.5%
3-point %
34.1%
65.0%
Assist %
62.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 112.5Defence100.2 · 110.6Shooting59.5% · 56.2%3-point %43.5% · 34.1%Ball care13.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baskonia wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HFuenlabrada102-88
16/12/22AFenerbahce76-70
14/12/22AAnadolu Efes83-78
11/12/22AGran Canaria96-68
09/12/22HBayern78-53
04/12/22HMurcia102-73
01/12/22HOlimpia Milano78-62
27/11/22HBasquet Girona95-68
25/11/22ABarcelona84-96
23/11/22HZalgiris Kaunas93-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22ABrescia89-77
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117
04/12/22AVarese108-100
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
27/11/22HBrindisi98-68
25/11/22HAnadolu Efes80-85
23/11/22APanathinaikos85-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game85.393.177.4
Allowed / game80.177.682.7
Point differential+5.1+15.6-5.3
Avg total165.4170.7160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%71%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game75.677.673.7
Allowed / game79.974.785.1
Point differential-4.3+2.9-11.4
Avg total155.6152.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1410471%79.175.3+3.9
2 Monaco1410471%83.481.0+2.4
3 Fenerbahce1510567%83.577.1+6.4
4 Baskonia149564%85.380.1+5.1
5 Real Madrid149564%83.278.4+4.8
6 Olympiacos159660%86.478.3+8.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv158753%81.681.2+0.4
8 Crvena zvezda158753%74.777.3-2.6
9 Anadolu Efes147750%82.978.3+4.6
10 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%76.178.7-2.6
11 Panathinaikos146843%80.281.7-1.5
12 Valencia146843%81.284.6-3.4
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne146843%73.978.1-4.1
14 Virtus Bologna146843%75.679.9-4.3
15 Partizan156940%83.585.8-2.3
16 Bayern145936%74.978.8-3.9
17 Olimpia Milano1441029%68.976.0-7.1
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.584.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1728182790
Virtus Bologna1417202879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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