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Baskonia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-77
21-22 20-19 31-16 17-20
Position#9
Record18-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#8
Record18-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Virtus Bologna
08 Jan 2027
BAS v VIR
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
BAS87
VIR76
12 Dec 2024
BAS81
VIR82
19 Apr 2024
BAS89
VIR77
14 Dec 2023
BAS81
VIR91
22 Dec 2022
BAS90
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 79
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 79
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
66avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
99avg 79
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 79
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
101-111
101
111
-10
95avg 79
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 79
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 79
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
85-113
85
113
-28
81avg 79
A16/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
26-21
18-25
23-18
17-25
17-23
23-23
19-23
22-28
19-15
22-16
17-23
22-32
23-17
8-28
23-20
30-18
28-22
23-26
21-28
17-27
25-21
23-16
30-27
14-31
20-31
31-25
36-24
21-22
23-31
31-21
20-17
13-27
20-12
18-19
25-16
15-28
21-27
25-31
24-27
180.3Avg total
86.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.385.7169.9-1.451%
Season at home (17)81.480.1161.5+1.259%
Season away (18)87.090.9177.9-3.944%
Last 10 (10)86.993.4180.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)90.496.0186.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)90.792.5183.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.891.8179.6-4.142%
vs Weaker (5)88.078.8166.8+9.280%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 81
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 81
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 81
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
65avg 81
A16/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
18-22
16-24
19-27
22-17
24-20
30-11
20-16
15-23
22-21
31-23
21-31
17-20
20-23
29-30
24-16
20-16
21-23
14-13
13-14
19-14
168.2Avg total
83.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.981.9161.8-2.151%
Season at home (17)83.679.9163.5+3.771%
Season away (18)76.383.9160.2-7.633%
Last 10 (10)83.484.8168.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.080.8163.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.483.5163.9-3.150%
vs Weaker (11)90.479.0169.4+11.464%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
BaskoniaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A07/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A16/04
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
40.9Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.388.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.541.686.1+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.349.190.4-7.77%-
Last 10 (10)40.948.189.0-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.851.489.2-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.045.889.8-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.646.689.2-4.132%-
vs Weaker (5)43.039.882.8+3.260%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/04
Euroleague
88.6Avg total
45.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.883.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.684.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.981.9+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)45.443.288.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.087.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.340.380.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (11)47.539.687.2+7.973%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.7
59.6%
53.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
77.4%15.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.8
53.7%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
77.4%13.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWLWWLLLL
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#8
-9.5
Net rating
-2.2
114.2
Offensive rating
115.0
123.6
Defensive rating
117.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
36.1%
55.0%
Assist %
69.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 115.0Defence123.6 · 117.3Shooting55.1% · 53.9%3-point %32.3% · 36.1%Ball care16.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baskonia wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-113
14/04/24HBreogan76-74
12/04/24AVirtus Bologna95-91
07/04/24AValencia101-111
05/04/24AReal Madrid95-91
30/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-94
28/03/24HAnadolu Efes76-97
24/03/24ABilbao80-82
21/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas76-94
19/03/24APartizan83-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/24AAnadolu Efes67-64
14/04/24HCremona93-85
12/04/24HBaskonia91-95
07/04/24AVenezia89-70
05/04/24AOlimpia Milano75-90
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL51%
HomeWWWWL59%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %51%59%44%
Points / game84.381.487.0
Allowed / game85.780.190.9
Point differential-1.4+1.2-3.9
Avg total169.9161.5177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW51%
HomeLWLLL71%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %51%71%33%
Points / game79.983.676.3
Allowed / game81.979.983.9
Point differential-2.1+3.7-7.6
Avg total161.8163.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3427779%88.280.7+7.5
2 Panathinaikos34231168%81.677.1+4.5
3 Monaco34231168%81.979.1+2.8
4 Olympiacos34221265%79.075.0+3.9
5 Barcelona34221265%82.779.2+3.5
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv35211460%88.586.7+1.8
7 Fenerbahce34201459%85.180.9+4.2
8 Baskonia35181751%84.385.7-1.4
9 Virtus Bologna35181751%79.981.9-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes35171849%85.585.1+0.4
11 Partizan34161847%83.083.4-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%78.278.1+0.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34142041%79.579.5-0.1
14 Valencia34142041%75.979.1-3.1
15 Bayern34132138%78.682.1-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda34112332%81.382.8-1.5
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3492526%78.684.9-6.3
18 Alba Berlin3452915%76.286.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2120311789
Virtus Bologna2219162077
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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