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Virtus Bologna vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-76
18-15 22-14 23-23 22-24
Position#14
Record4-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#17
Record3-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2022
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin
04 Dec 2024
VIR88
ABE90
18 Oct 2023
VIR87
ABE76
14 Dec 2022
VIR85
ABE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 80
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
89-59
89
59
+30
96avg 80
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 80
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 80
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 80
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
108-100
108
100
+8
114avg 80
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 80
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 80
H11/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
27-12
14-6
11-18
24-8
18-17
24-17
23-17
20-10
24-17
16-18
11-19
21-12
20-26
21-29
14-9
18-19
16-21
19-23
27-22
32-19
18-19
29-12
19-18
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
28-20
28-27
23-22
29-31
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
162.4Avg total
81.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.780.8155.5-6.233%
Season at home (5)76.074.8150.8+1.240%
Season away (7)73.785.1158.9-11.429%
Last 10 (10)81.780.7162.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.690.4176.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.791.5166.2-16.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.173.8146.8-0.742%
vs Weaker (11)85.073.4158.4+11.691%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 83
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 83
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
71avg 83
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
95-96
95
96
-1
93avg 83
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 83
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 83
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 83
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 83
H10/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
17-27
15-17
20-20
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
19-20
21-17
17-18
18-20
21-18
17-21
21-22
17-25
20-20
23-25
27-26
25-25
19-30
27-15
11-26
29-17
27-24
24-22
31-16
17-9
25-20
19-23
27-17
24-30
18-24
17-30
17-30
23-20
27-20
13-29
21-18
30-16
175.9Avg total
87.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.084.2165.2-3.225%
Season at home (6)86.084.7170.7+1.333%
Season away (6)76.083.8159.8-7.817%
Last 10 (10)87.288.7175.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)89.287.2176.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.588.3168.8-7.817%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.580.2161.7+1.333%
vs Weaker (17)88.078.8166.8+9.288%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
Virtus BolognaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
80.6Avg total
41.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.436.075.4+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)39.042.181.1-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.582.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.935.974.8+3.067%-
vs Weaker (11)42.640.683.3+2.055%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/12
BBL
87.4Avg total
41.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.283.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.643.185.7-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.381.2+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.587.4-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.490.6-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.345.888.2-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.537.878.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (17)42.640.483.0+2.365%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
78.5%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.9
55.1%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.4
38.4%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
78.5%15.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWLLWWW
Alba Berlin
WLWWLLLLWL
#14
League position
#17
+4.4
Net rating
-6.4
111.2
Offensive rating
111.5
106.8
Defensive rating
117.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.2%
3-point %
38.4%
62.5%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 111.5Defence106.8 · 117.8Shooting56.4% · 56.2%3-point %37.2% · 38.4%Ball care19.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117
04/12/22AVarese108-100
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
27/11/22HBrindisi98-68
25/11/22HAnadolu Efes80-85
23/11/22APanathinaikos85-88 OT
20/11/22ATrento71-64
17/11/22HValencia89-59
09/11/22AOlimpia Milano64-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HBayreuth91-83
08/12/22HFenerbahce75-104
06/12/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-90
04/12/22AGottingen99-71
01/12/22HBarcelona86-88
27/11/22AGottingen95-96
24/11/22AOlympiacos76-86
22/11/22HCrvena zvezda84-88 OT
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91
17/11/22AReal Madrid72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game74.776.073.7
Allowed / game80.874.885.1
Point differential-6.2+1.2-11.4
Avg total155.5150.8158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game81.086.076.0
Allowed / game84.284.783.8
Point differential-3.2+1.3-7.8
Avg total165.2170.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1310377%85.577.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos139469%87.377.5+9.8
3 Real Madrid139469%84.178.2+5.8
4 Barcelona139469%79.575.8+3.7
5 Monaco139469%82.780.4+2.3
6 Baskonia138562%86.080.9+5.1
7 Anadolu Efes137654%83.278.0+5.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%82.282.3-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda137654%74.177.1-3.0
10 Panathinaikos136746%81.282.3-1.2
11 Valencia136746%80.483.6-3.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%75.879.2-3.5
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%73.778.3-4.6
14 Virtus Bologna124833%74.780.8-6.2
15 Partizan134931%84.587.4-2.9
16 Bayern134931%73.277.8-4.6
17 Alba Berlin123925%81.084.2-3.2
18 Olimpia Milano1331023%68.776.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1822232285
Alba Berlin1514232476
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