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Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-85 (OT)
12-21 26-20 29-21 9-14 12-9
Position#15
Record2-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#14
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2022
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Virtus Bologna
08 Apr 2027
PAO v VIR
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
PAO84
VIR71
03 Jan 2025
PAO111
VIR90
17 Nov 2023
PAO90
VIR76
23 Nov 2022
PAO88
VIR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
W
93-70
93
70
+23
95avg 75
H16/10
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#17
L
65-94
65
94
-29
53avg 75
A19/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
78avg 75
H21/10
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
85avg 75
A23/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
A27/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
75avg 75
H30/10
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H03/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 75
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
62avg 75
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 75
A20/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
32-22
24-17
17-13
9-17
24-26
12-21
20-30
13-29
21-11
25-20
21-23
17-11
31-15
17-15
21-21
17-20
25-27
17-22
15-16
32-13
16-14
8-21
21-19
16-31
25-23
23-14
25-23
22-18
16-25
29-16
31-24
25-22
15-33
15-23
22-29
27-19
30-19
19-21
23-23
166.2Avg total
83.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.586.1164.6-7.625%
Season at home (4)83.882.0165.8+1.825%
Season away (4)73.290.2163.5-17.025%
Last 10 (10)83.882.4166.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)88.086.0174.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.583.2157.7-8.710%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.084.5155.5-13.550%
vs Weaker (18)84.470.2154.6+14.283%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
59avg 80
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
52avg 80
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
97-71
97
71
+26
102avg 80
H23/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 80
A27/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 80
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 80
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
74avg 80
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 80
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
89-59
89
59
+30
96avg 80
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 80
A20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
14-15
15-21
12-16
11-27
21-24
15-18
15-21
24-11
20-22
29-21
24-17
18-24
23-21
27-19
27-27
18-20
14-20
23-11
19-18
22-18
28-18
14-27
15-21
18-21
21-20
23-16
17-8
12-23
27-12
14-6
11-18
24-8
18-17
24-17
23-17
20-10
24-17
16-18
11-19
149.5Avg total
77.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.274.6147.9-1.450%
Season at home (4)75.072.2147.2+2.850%
Season away (4)71.577.0148.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.572.0149.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)76.466.2142.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.388.0162.3-13.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.072.5144.5-0.545%
vs Weaker (15)80.367.7148.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
PanathinaikosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H16/10
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#17
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A23/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H30/10
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H03/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A20/11
Basket League
84.6Avg total
43.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.578.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.835.579.3+8.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.477.9-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.384.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.243.981.1-6.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (18)43.833.677.3+10.278%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/11
Lega A
76.5Avg total
40.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.075.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.434.373.7+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.777.8-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.476.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.832.875.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.745.381.0-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.735.774.5+3.064%-
vs Weaker (15)40.536.977.5+3.660%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.3
51.8%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.4
39.0%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.618.0
73.2%
78.5%18.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
53.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.4
38.7%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
78.5%14.7
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWLWLWLLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWWWLL
#15
League position
#14
+1.9
Net rating
+7.6
111.7
Offensive rating
107.7
109.8
Defensive rating
100.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.0%
3-point %
38.7%
65.0%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 107.7Defence109.8 · 100.1Shooting54.5% · 54.7%3-point %39.0% · 38.7%Ball care18.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Panathinaikos wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22AAS Karditsas99-82
18/11/22AFenerbahce77-107
11/11/22HBaskonia98-83
03/11/22HPartizan89-91
30/10/22HKolossos Rhodes77-67
27/10/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-85
23/10/22AIonikos86-62
21/10/22HMonaco80-83
19/10/22AAlba Berlin65-94
16/10/22HLavrio93-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22ATrento71-64
17/11/22HValencia89-59
09/11/22AOlimpia Milano64-59
06/11/22HReggiana79-65
04/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne79-84
29/10/22ASassari74-69
27/10/22AReal Madrid95-91
23/10/22HTreviso97-71
20/10/22APartizan62-90
18/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game78.583.873.2
Allowed / game86.182.090.2
Point differential-7.6+1.8-17.0
Avg total164.6165.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.275.071.5
Allowed / game74.672.277.0
Point differential-1.4+2.8-5.5
Avg total147.9147.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce98189%87.475.8+11.7
2 Olympiacos96367%85.279.1+6.1
3 Real Madrid96367%82.376.7+5.7
4 Barcelona96367%78.675.3+3.2
5 Monaco96367%83.780.9+2.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas85362%79.077.1+1.9
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%83.384.9-1.6
8 Baskonia84450%87.886.2+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna84450%73.274.6-1.4
10 Anadolu Efes94544%83.480.0+3.4
11 Partizan94544%82.884.9-2.1
12 Valencia94544%78.681.8-3.2
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
14 Alba Berlin93633%81.781.4+0.2
15 Crvena zvezda93633%73.179.3-6.2
16 Olimpia Milano93633%67.974.4-6.6
17 Bayern82625%72.877.8-5.0
18 Panathinaikos82625%78.586.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos12262991288
Virtus Bologna21202114985
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