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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-108
20-28 27-28 22-23 31-29
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game69.2
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Bologna
27 Sep 2026
VAR69
VIR90
04 Nov 2025
VAR77
VIR83
10 Nov 2024
VAR104
VIR95
21 Jan 2024
VAR69
VIR81
04 Dec 2022
VAR100
VIR108
06 Feb 2022
VAR80
VIR81
24 Oct 2020
VAR73
VIR85
27 Feb 2020
VAR v VIR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
VAR79
VIR86
26 Dec 2017
VAR85
VIR90
22 Nov 2015
VAR82
VIR75
14 Dec 2014
VAR83
VIR73
26 Dec 2013
VAR98
VIR89
17 Feb 2013
VAR78
VIR61
04 Mar 2012
VAR86
VIR63
28 Nov 2010
VAR91
VIR81
15 Nov 2009
VAR68
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
60avg 76
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 76
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 76
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 76
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 76
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 76
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 76
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 76
A27/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
25-20
14-25
8-30
19-20
24-29
29-38
24-23
23-17
18-21
29-17
17-26
26-23
18-17
24-20
15-28
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
180.9Avg total
89.4Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.987.9178.8+3.075%
Season at home (4)89.587.5177.0+2.075%
Season away (4)92.288.2180.5+4.075%
Last 10 (10)89.491.5180.9-2.160%
Last 5 (5)93.288.0181.2+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)85.188.3173.4-3.246%
vs Similar (15)87.788.9176.6-1.153%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.0180.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 80
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 80
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
74avg 80
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 80
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
89-59
89
59
+30
96avg 80
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 80
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 80
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 80
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-20
23-11
19-18
22-18
28-18
14-27
15-21
18-21
21-20
23-16
17-8
12-23
27-12
14-6
11-18
24-8
18-17
24-17
23-17
20-10
24-17
16-18
11-19
21-12
20-26
21-29
14-9
18-19
16-21
19-23
27-22
32-19
18-19
29-12
19-18
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
151.7Avg total
79.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.869.2154.0+15.5100%
Season at home (4)89.871.0160.8+18.8100%
Season away (4)79.867.5147.2+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)79.372.4151.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.486.4161.8-11.020%
vs Similar (12)73.173.8146.8-0.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.969.6152.5+13.3100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
91.3Avg total
47.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.288.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.285.5-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)46.045.291.2+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.691.3+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.293.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.244.687.8-1.562%-
vs Similar (15)44.243.487.6+0.847%-
vs Weaker (2)50.047.597.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H04/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H17/11
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
41.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.077.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.935.775.6+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.078.7-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.277.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.443.680.0-7.20%-
vs Similar (12)38.935.974.8+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.238.880.9+3.458%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.4
58.3%
51.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.7
35.5%
36.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
76.1%14.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.0
56.7%
51.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.8
37.9%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
76.1%15.3
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWWLLWLL
Virtus Bologna
LWLLWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
-0.5
Net rating
+11.2
114.4
Offensive rating
112.8
114.9
Defensive rating
101.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.5%
3-point %
37.9%
56.7%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 112.8Defence114.9 · 101.6Shooting55.8% · 56.8%3-point %35.5% · 37.9%Ball care15.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
08/10/22ABrescia83-88
02/10/22HSassari87-81
08/05/22HSassari96-110
01/05/22ABrescia71-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
27/11/22HBrindisi98-68
25/11/22HAnadolu Efes80-85
23/11/22APanathinaikos85-88 OT
20/11/22ATrento71-64
17/11/22HValencia89-59
09/11/22AOlimpia Milano64-59
06/11/22HReggiana79-65
04/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne79-84
29/10/22ASassari74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game90.989.592.2
Allowed / game87.987.588.2
Point differential+3.0+2.0+4.0
Avg total178.8177.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.889.879.8
Allowed / game69.271.067.5
Point differential+15.5+18.8+12.2
Avg total154.0160.8147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%84.869.2+15.5
2 Olimpia Milano98189%83.472.3+11.1
3 Tortona97278%79.271.7+7.6
4 Varese86275%90.987.9+3.0
5 Trento96367%76.675.2+1.3
6 Brescia95456%87.383.4+3.9
7 Pesaro95456%87.483.7+3.8
8 Venezia94544%78.877.2+1.6
9 Brindisi94544%79.985.9-6.0
10 Sassari93633%77.379.9-2.6
11 Basket Napoli93633%79.084.2-5.2
12 Reggiana82625%70.871.1-0.4
13 Scafati82625%75.880.6-4.9
14 Treviso82625%76.483.5-7.1
15 Trieste82625%79.189.8-10.6
16 Verona92722%78.690.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese20272231100
Virtus Bologna28282329108
← all games of the day
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