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Bayern vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-78
26-19 22-19 22-15 17-25
Position#1
Record14-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game74.7
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#4
Record11-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.8
GermanyBBLRound 23· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Heidelberg
03 Nov 2025
BAY93
HEI81
07 Jun 2025
BAY98
HEI68
01 Jun 2025
BAY90
HEI95
09 Mar 2025
BAY87
HEI78
30 Dec 2023
BAY83
HEI57
04 May 2023
BAY78
HEI89
06 Dec 2021
BAY77
HEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
99-86 OT
99
86
+13
92avg 79
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 79
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 79
H06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
17-17
21-24
24-15
18-24
17-16
20-20
31-19
19-15
23-18
15-12
20-17
18-20
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
165.1Avg total
86.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.374.7157.1+7.674%
Season at home (9)81.873.1154.9+8.789%
Season away (10)82.876.2159.0+6.660%
Last 10 (10)86.978.2165.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)89.079.6168.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.496.0175.4-16.620%
vs Similar (14)86.984.6171.6+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.473.3158.6+12.182%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 72
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 72
H22/12
BBL
Kent State
#74
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
56avg 72
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
42avg 72
H12/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
65-92
65
92
-27
50avg 72
A18/01
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
82-88
82
88
-6
78avg 72
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
89avg 72
H08/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 72
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 72
H02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
11-28
17-12
19-7
21-15
18-20
11-22
18-22
0-0
42-36
0-0
38-48
12-14
21-13
19-16
15-20
12-22
12-27
24-17
11-21
19-27
15-17
15-28
16-20
19-22
19-21
21-22
23-23
20-23
27-15
15-15
24-20
19-23
14-15
15-20
17-14
22-24
24-12
21-27
28-16
152.0Avg total
73.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.478.8157.3-0.458%
Season at home (9)76.778.7155.3-2.056%
Season away (10)80.079.0159.0+1.060%
Last 10 (10)73.678.4152.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.785.3159.0-11.630%
vs Similar (15)81.781.6163.3+0.153%
vs Weaker (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
BayernHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
40.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.083.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.080.7+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.679.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
vs Similar (14)40.640.981.5-0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.339.582.7+3.855%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/12
BBL
Kent State
#74
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H12/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A18/01
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/03
BBL
76.3Avg total
36.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.381.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.738.978.6+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.383.1-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.476.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.879.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.945.280.1-10.310%-
vs Similar (15)42.340.282.5+2.153%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.5
56.6%
52.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.2
38.1%
33.6%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.7
76.0%
73.5%12.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.8
48.0%
52.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
33.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
73.5%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLWLWWWW
Heidelberg
WLWLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#4
+12.8
Net rating
-8.5
119.6
Offensive rating
98.9
106.9
Defensive rating
107.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
32.3%
65.5%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 98.9Defence106.9 · 107.4Shooting56.9% · 48.2%3-point %38.1% · 32.3%Ball care17.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
2
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Heidelberg v Bayern59-87
21/04/24Heidelberg v Bayern89-82
30/12/23Bayern v Heidelberg83-57
04/05/23Bayern v Heidelberg78-89
27/12/22Heidelberg v Bayern83-87
23/01/22Heidelberg v Bayern70-92
06/12/21Bayern v Heidelberg77-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79
06/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne76-67
04/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-70
02/02/25HAlba Berlin99-86 OT
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HOldenburg95-79
11/02/25AChemnitz65-72
08/02/25HLudwigsburg86-73
02/02/25ARostock82-88
18/01/25AAlba Berlin65-92
12/01/25HBayern59-87
30/12/24ALudwigsburg67-63
29/12/24AKent State80-84
22/12/24HBamberg68-79
14/12/24AUlm69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game82.381.882.8
Allowed / game74.773.176.2
Point differential+7.6+8.7+6.6
Avg total157.1154.9159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Heidelberg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%56%60%
Points / game78.476.780.0
Allowed / game78.878.779.0
Point differential-0.4-2.0+1.0
Avg total157.3155.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1914574%82.374.7+7.6
2 Ulm2115671%87.079.4+7.5
3 Basketball Braunschweig2214864%83.981.1+2.8
4 Vechta2113862%83.583.0+0.5
5 Heidelberg1911858%78.478.8-0.4
6 Chemnitz2112957%79.080.3-1.3
7 Ludwigsburg21111052%75.372.1+3.2
8 Wurzburg21111052%83.280.8+2.4
9 Syntainics MBC21111052%84.884.9-0.1
10 Alba Berlin21101148%85.583.2+2.3
11 Rostock21101148%81.081.1-0.1
12 Oldenburg21101148%89.589.7-0.2
13 Hamburg21101148%79.881.1-1.3
14 Bonn2191243%82.983.4-0.6
15 Bamberg2191243%83.083.8-0.9
16 Frankfurt2051525%76.383.5-7.2
17 Gottingen201195%80.795.3-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2622221787
Heidelberg1919152578
← all games of the day
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