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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 79-67
19-13 21-23 16-8 23-23
Position#2
Record22-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#16
Record11-21
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
98avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
82avg 83
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
90avg 83
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
83avg 83
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 83
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
92avg 83
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 83
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 83
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
88avg 83
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
108-75
108
75
+33
102avg 83
H02/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-20
22-25
24-26
11-15
27-13
26-13
22-24
24-18
15-24
21-35
29-13
24-23
18-17
25-26
24-21
27-15
18-24
24-31
19-25
26-12
24-21
18-25
28-21
29-13
21-18
32-26
20-21
24-21
25-23
19-14
22-17
23-21
15-28
34-29
18-26
30-15
29-22
22-21
27-17
177.4Avg total
93.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.579.2164.7+6.369%
Season at home (16)90.680.5171.1+10.175%
Season away (16)80.477.8158.2+2.662%
Last 10 (10)93.583.9177.4+9.670%
Last 5 (5)97.282.2179.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)85.383.7169.0+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.875.4166.2+15.4100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 73
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 73
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 73
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 73
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 73
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 73
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 73
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 73
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 73
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 73
A04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
157.3Avg total
78.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.880.5157.3-3.734%
Season at home (16)80.279.7159.9+0.650%
Season away (16)73.481.4154.8-8.019%
Last 10 (10)78.778.6157.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.472.8152.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.182.9161.0-4.822%
vs Similar (10)78.478.9157.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (11)83.576.3159.8+7.382%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H12/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/03
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A26/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H02/04
ACB
84.2Avg total
45.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.636.481.0+8.283%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.837.283.1+8.688%-
Last 30 away (13)43.035.478.4+7.677%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.384.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.238.888.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.940.182.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.634.481.0+12.2100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
80.8Avg total
38.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.980.6-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.880.4+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.080.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.380.8-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.742.381.0-3.722%-
vs Similar (10)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
vs Weaker (11)40.940.981.8+0.055%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.021.0
60.0%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.5
38.6%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.419.4
79.5%
78.5%19.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.4
55.9%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.8%
78.5%15.0
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWLWLWW
Bayern
WWLLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#16
+13.3
Net rating
+0.1
123.1
Offensive rating
112.7
109.9
Defensive rating
112.5
59.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.6%
3-point %
36.4%
66.7%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 112.7Defence109.9 · 112.5Shooting59.1% · 55.4%3-point %38.6% · 36.4%Ball care16.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HGranada108-75
31/03/23APartizan90-104
29/03/23HFenerbahce90-75
26/03/23AFuenlabrada102-78
24/03/23AVirtus Bologna96-79
19/03/23HBaskonia88-95
16/03/23HOlimpia Milano91-87
14/03/23AAnadolu Efes89-90
12/03/23HBilbao86-65
09/03/23HValencia95-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game85.590.680.4
Allowed / game79.280.577.8
Point differential+6.3+10.1+2.6
Avg total164.7171.1158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)43% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%50%19%
Points / game76.880.273.4
Allowed / game80.579.781.4
Point differential-3.7+0.6-8.0
Avg total157.3159.9154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos33231070%84.075.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid32221069%85.579.2+6.3
3 Barcelona32221069%80.976.7+4.3
4 Monaco32211166%83.681.4+2.2
5 Fenerbahce33191458%84.181.4+2.7
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%83.180.5+2.5
7 Partizan32181456%85.282.7+2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas33181555%76.077.2-1.2
9 Baskonia32171553%86.083.4+2.5
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%82.981.6+1.3
11 Crvena zvezda33161748%76.877.5-0.7
12 Valencia33151845%82.285.6-3.5
13 Olimpia Milano32141844%74.277.3-3.1
14 Virtus Bologna33132039%77.782.7-5.0
15 Panathinaikos32112134%79.182.6-3.5
16 Bayern32112134%76.880.5-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3292328%79.684.8-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3282425%73.680.6-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1921162379
Bayern132382367
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