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Bayern vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-83
18-19 20-15 9-17 33-32
Position#16
Record11-22
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.5
Bayern
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#9
Record18-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas
26 Mar 2027
BAY v ZAL
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BAY70
ZAL98
07 Nov 2024
BAY77
ZAL74
15 Mar 2024
BAY64
ZAL58
14 Apr 2023
BAY80
ZAL83
11 Jan 2022
BAY74
ZAL65
01 Apr 2021
BAY71
ZAL70
14 Dec 2018
BAY88
ZAL84
28 Feb 2014
BAY79
ZAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 72
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 72
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 72
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 72
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 72
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 72
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 72
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 72
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
70avg 72
A10/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
13-19
23-21
8-16
23-23
18-12
22-9
7-14
20-14
150.0Avg total
76.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.580.5157.0-4.033%
Season at home (16)80.279.7159.9+0.650%
Season away (17)73.081.2154.2-8.218%
Last 10 (10)76.773.3150.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)76.268.6144.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.382.9158.2-7.611%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.378.8157.1-0.456%
vs Weaker (12)82.274.0156.2+8.283%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 77
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 77
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 77
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 77
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-74
95
74
+21
97avg 77
H31/03
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
94-57
94
57
+37
94avg 77
A03/04
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
59avg 77
H06/04
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
84-60
84
60
+24
87avg 77
H10/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
17-15
17-25
15-21
23-13
23-17
13-18
22-33
33-12
16-22
19-24
20-19
24-22
27-19
20-24
29-14
20-13
28-19
20-22
17-12
14-17
21-16
31-24
25-15
18-19
19-17
18-13
29-16
28-11
17-17
25-28
14-7
12-15
19-15
22-19
23-10
20-16
159.1Avg total
85.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.077.2153.2-1.255%
Season at home (17)76.072.5148.5+3.576%
Season away (16)76.082.1158.1-6.131%
Last 10 (10)85.273.9159.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)84.065.6149.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.782.2154.8-9.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.573.4148.9+2.170%
vs Weaker (14)87.273.9161.1+13.479%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
BayernZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A10/04
BBL
75.7Avg total
38.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.079.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.539.278.6+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)38.840.679.4-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.775.7+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.872.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.941.978.8-5.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.939.178.0-0.244%-
vs Weaker (12)40.839.280.1+1.658%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H31/03
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A03/04
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/04
LKL
81.3Avg total
41.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.676.8+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.480.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.236.173.4+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.981.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.345.581.8-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.134.173.2+5.080%-
vs Weaker (14)40.436.877.1+3.671%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.5
55.0%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.1
34.6%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.6%
78.5%13.4
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.0
58.5%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.5
43.7%
36.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.3
73.6%
78.5%10.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWLLWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLWLL
#16
League position
#9
+4.7
Net rating
+17.4
110.5
Offensive rating
127.3
105.8
Defensive rating
109.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
61.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.6%
3-point %
43.7%
59.0%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 127.3Defence105.8 · 109.9Shooting53.6% · 61.6%3-point %34.6% · 43.7%Ball care19.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 39.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
23/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern75-67
11/01/22Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas74-65
21/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern73-75
01/04/21Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas71-70
23/12/20Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern74-73
14/03/19Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern85-79
14/12/18Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas88-84
28/02/14Bayern v Zalgiris Kaunas79-73
03/01/14Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern66-84
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23AWurzburg67-49
06/04/23AReal Madrid67-79
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23HSiauliai84-60
06/04/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv68-67
03/04/23APrienai94-57
31/03/23HValencia95-74
29/03/23HMonaco79-70
26/03/23HGargzdai96-70
24/03/23AFenerbahce79-87
19/03/23ANeptunas91-80
16/03/23HOlympiacos72-74
12/03/23HRytas94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game76.580.273.0
Allowed / game80.579.781.2
Point differential-4.0+0.6-8.2
Avg total157.0159.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%76%31%
Points / game76.076.076.0
Allowed / game77.272.582.1
Point differential-1.2+3.5-6.1
Avg total153.2148.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%84.075.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid34231168%85.679.4+6.2
3 Barcelona33221167%80.876.9+3.9
4 Monaco34211362%83.381.7+1.6
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv34201459%83.681.0+2.6
6 Partizan33191458%85.282.7+2.5
7 Fenerbahce34191556%84.281.7+2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas33181555%76.077.2-1.2
9 Baskonia34181653%86.784.0+2.7
10 Anadolu Efes34171750%83.081.3+1.7
11 Crvena zvezda34171750%77.277.9-0.6
12 Valencia33151845%82.285.6-3.5
13 Olimpia Milano34151944%74.877.6-2.8
14 Virtus Bologna34142041%78.082.7-4.7
15 Panathinaikos33112233%79.282.7-3.5
16 Bayern33112233%76.580.5-4.0
17 Alba Berlin34112332%80.184.4-4.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3482624%74.382.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern182093380
Zalgiris Kaunas1915173283
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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