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Bayern vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-57
24-7 17-19 17-11 25-20
Position#1
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game78.1
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game94.5
GermanyBBLRound 14· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Heidelberg
03 Nov 2025
BAY93
HEI81
07 Jun 2025
BAY98
HEI68
01 Jun 2025
BAY90
HEI95
09 Mar 2025
BAY87
HEI78
30 Dec 2023
BAY83
HEI57
04 May 2023
BAY78
HEI89
06 Dec 2021
BAY77
HEI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 75
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 75
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 75
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 75
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
165.4Avg total
85.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.178.1166.2+10.073%
Season at home (5)92.078.8170.8+13.2100%
Season away (6)84.877.5162.3+7.350%
Last 10 (10)85.180.3165.4+4.870%
Last 5 (5)88.480.0168.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar (9)84.979.6164.4+5.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.377.3164.6+10.077%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
L
73-88
73
88
-15
58avg 78
H28/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
90-109
90
109
-19
79avg 78
H05/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
54-87
54
87
-33
45avg 78
H11/11
BBL
Akron
#59
L
56-114
56
114
-58
no box
A15/11
NCAA
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 78
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 78
A26/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
72-75
72
75
-3
68avg 78
H02/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 78
A16/12
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
89-98
89
98
-9
78avg 78
A22/12
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
no box
H27/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-28
20-22
20-18
20-27
22-25
27-32
21-25
9-26
14-15
19-27
12-19
0-0
19-65
0-0
37-49
22-26
24-18
19-22
28-20
19-28
14-24
21-17
15-23
21-20
15-14
17-23
19-18
20-25
14-28
18-25
17-15
25-25
24-29
16-24
24-20
20-22
29-23
24-27
23-24
172.9Avg total
77.4Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.894.5178.3-10.815%
Season at home (7)80.393.4173.7-13.10%
Season away (6)87.895.8183.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)77.495.5172.9-18.110%
Last 5 (5)81.694.2175.8-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.291.5172.7-10.415%
vs Similar (14)90.290.3180.5-0.150%
vs Weaker (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
BayernHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
40.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.081.7+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.684.7+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.579.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.482.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (9)42.841.384.1+1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.138.382.4+5.869%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H28/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H05/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H11/11
BBL
Akron
#59
L
19-65
19
65
-46
A15/11
NCAA
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A26/11
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A16/12
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A22/12
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H27/12
BBL
85.2Avg total
36.4Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.888.7-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.044.184.1-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)43.649.192.6-5.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.448.885.2-12.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.687.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.445.484.8-6.031%-
vs Similar (14)44.846.991.7-2.136%-
vs Weaker (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.112.4
82.1%
76.0%12.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.4
49.4%
54.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.6
30.6%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
76.0%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWLWLWW
Heidelberg
LLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#16
+7.0
Net rating
-15.6
115.3
Offensive rating
102.7
108.3
Defensive rating
118.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
30.6%
56.4%
Assist %
67.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 102.7Defence108.3 · 118.3Shooting55.1% · 47.7%3-point %39.2% · 30.6%Ball care16.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds33.5% · 33.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Bayern   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
1
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
04/05/23Bayern v Heidelberg78-89
27/12/22Heidelberg v Bayern83-87
23/01/22Heidelberg v Bayern70-92
06/12/21Bayern v Heidelberg77-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HGottingen109-113 OT
22/12/23AUlm89-98
16/12/23AChemnitz69-93
02/12/23HLudwigsburg72-75
26/11/23ABonn69-92
20/11/23ACrailsheim Merlins93-86
15/11/23AAkron56-114
11/11/23HWurzburg54-87
05/11/23HBamberg90-109
28/10/23HHamburg73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game88.192.084.8
Allowed / game78.178.877.5
Point differential+10.0+13.2+7.3
Avg total166.2170.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%0%33%
Points / game83.880.387.8
Allowed / game94.593.495.8
Point differential-10.8-13.1-8.0
Avg total178.3173.7183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1312192%87.473.1+14.3
2 Ulm1310377%93.288.5+4.7
3 Bayern118373%88.178.1+10.0
4 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
5 Wurzburg139469%82.376.0+6.3
6 Vechta149564%88.480.1+8.3
7 Ludwigsburg138562%88.879.8+8.9
8 Bonn159660%89.984.7+5.2
9 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
10 Rostock136746%92.592.5+0.1
11 Oldenburg146843%83.984.2-0.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig146843%84.387.9-3.6
13 Bamberg145936%88.291.7-3.5
14 Tubingen134931%85.294.1-8.8
15 Syntainics MBC1441029%81.789.0-7.3
16 Gottingen123925%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Heidelberg1321115%83.894.5-10.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins1321115%78.895.7-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2417172583
Heidelberg719112057
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