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Bayern vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 83-77
21-24 18-15 20-15 24-23
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#3
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game70.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2021
Meetings · Bayern v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2027
BAY v MIL
upcoming
14 Oct 2025
BAY64
MIL53
04 Feb 2025
BAY87
MIL70
05 Dec 2023
BAY91
MIL84
20 Oct 2022
BAY81
MIL83
26 Oct 2021
BAY83
MIL77
30 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL82
28 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL79
02 Oct 2020
BAY79
MIL81
11 Jan 2019
BAY93
MIL87
31 Oct 2014
BAY74
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
H26/09
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
68avg 76
A30/09
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H03/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 76
H07/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 76
A12/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 76
A14/10
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
71-64 OT
71
64
+7
no box
H17/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
75-73
75
73
+2
63avg 76
A21/10
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
78-50
78
50
+28
78avg 76
A24/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-12
15-20
17-20
18-25
14-15
26-14
10-15
19-21
23-24
32-18
24-14
15-16
18-28
14-19
25-17
30-17
27-25
21-20
18-18
19-12
18-14
13-19
20-28
16-31
19-12
25-11
11-25
17-14
11-13
15-21
13-8
13-24
14-15
25-16
23-18
25-18
25-12
15-6
13-14
151.3Avg total
78.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.274.8146.0-3.620%
Season at home (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Season away (4)71.073.5144.5-2.525%
Last 10 (10)78.273.1151.3+5.150%
Last 5 (5)73.067.8140.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.480.4156.8-4.020%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.881.1161.9-0.353%
vs Weaker (7)87.077.9164.9+9.186%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
W
73-63
73
63
+10
67avg 77
A25/09
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 77
H30/09
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
89avg 77
H03/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 77
A08/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
70avg 77
A10/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
79avg 77
H12/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 77
H15/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
93-68
93
68
+25
100avg 77
H17/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 77
A23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-13
18-13
13-19
21-29
23-16
18-14
22-15
28-21
19-11
19-19
27-21
19-17
19-13
19-17
21-17
21-19
19-21
20-24
22-15
26-15
26-15
11-19
20-23
16-21
26-15
21-13
12-22
20-10
26-15
27-20
20-23
14-17
12-23
25-11
22-21
17-16
22-19
17-15
30-25
153.0Avg total
82.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.670.6149.2+8.0100%
Season at home (4)78.872.2151.0+6.5100%
Season away (1)78.064.0142.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
Last 5 (5)82.071.6153.6+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.479.0156.4-1.642%
vs Weaker (18)85.171.7156.8+13.494%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
BayernOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H26/09
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A30/09
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H07/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/10
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A24/10
BBL
75.5Avg total
38.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.979.4-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.279.8-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.175.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.068.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.141.981.0-2.947%-
vs Weaker (7)43.736.179.9+7.686%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A25/09
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H12/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H15/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H17/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/10
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/10
Lega A
76.0Avg total
41.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.479.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.936.080.9+8.976%-
Last 30 away (13)39.536.876.4+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.476.0+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.274.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.740.182.8+2.658%-
vs Weaker (18)42.633.976.4+8.772%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.5
48.2%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.7
38.7%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
77.2%16.0
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.8
40.3%
35.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
77.2%13.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLLWLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
+2.9
Net rating
+16.0
107.6
Offensive rating
116.3
104.7
Defensive rating
100.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
40.3%
61.5%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 116.3Defence104.7 · 100.3Shooting52.1% · 54.7%3-point %38.7% · 40.3%Ball care16.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Bayern   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
04/05/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern92-89
30/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-79
22/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern80-69
20/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern79-78
21/01/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern75-51
02/10/20Bayern v Olimpia Milano79-81 OT
11/01/19Bayern v Olimpia Milano93-87
19/12/18Olimpia Milano v Bayern78-80
03/12/14Olimpia Milano v Bayern83-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21AFrankfurt78-50
21/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-73
17/10/21HGiessen71-64 OT
14/10/21AZenit Petersburg71-79
12/10/21AUnics Kazan70-73
10/10/21HBasketball Braunschweig96-80
07/10/21HBarcelona72-80
03/10/21HBamberg98-77
30/09/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-69
26/09/21HUlm83-86 OT
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21AFortitudo Bologna86-75
21/10/21HLyon-Villeurbanne73-72
17/10/21HVenezia93-68
15/10/21HAnadolu Efes75-71
12/10/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-72
10/10/21AVarese82-79
08/10/21ABaskonia78-64
03/10/21HTrento93-72
30/09/21HCSKA Moscow84-74
25/09/21ABasket Napoli73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game71.272.071.0
Allowed / game74.880.073.5
Point differential-3.6-8.0-2.5
Avg total146.0152.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.678.878.0
Allowed / game70.672.264.0
Point differential+8.0+6.5+14.0
Avg total149.2151.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona660100%83.371.2+12.2
2 Olimpia Milano550100%78.670.6+8.0
3 Real Madrid54180%80.472.6+7.8
4 CSKA Moscow54180%83.481.0+2.4
5 Olympiacos64267%79.872.7+7.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv64267%75.074.3+0.7
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne53260%78.276.4+1.8
8 Baskonia53260%70.674.8-4.2
9 Zenit Petersburg53260%68.873.0-4.2
10 Monaco63350%77.777.0+0.7
11 Fenerbahce62433%73.569.8+3.7
12 Crvena zvezda62433%67.768.5-0.8
13 Alba Berlin62433%75.377.8-2.5
14 Bayern51420%71.274.8-3.6
15 Anadolu Efes51420%76.080.0-4.0
16 Panathinaikos51420%74.281.6-7.4
17 Unics Kazan51420%66.275.8-9.6
18 Zalgiris Kaunas6060%67.377.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2118202483
Olimpia Milano2415152377
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