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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 79-78
16-18 11-26 26-20 26-14
Position#4
Record21-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#5
Record21-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
64avg 78
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
57avg 78
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
98-75
98
75
+23
95avg 78
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 78
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 78
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
94-84
94
84
+10
88avg 78
H17/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
12-14
15-12
17-17
16-10
16-23
13-27
24-26
16-13
18-24
16-17
13-15
22-12
25-24
28-15
18-21
26-15
20-14
13-20
11-21
18-24
23-21
22-24
18-14
29-19
20-20
29-17
20-19
17-22
18-19
15-18
21-21
19-15
21-18
21-18
24-22
27-18
26-21
17-26
24-19
157.2Avg total
80.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.477.9159.3+3.462%
Season at home (17)83.576.9160.4+6.665%
Season away (17)79.379.0158.3+0.359%
Last 10 (10)80.776.5157.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)85.879.0164.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.474.2148.7+0.256%
vs Weaker (19)83.376.1159.4+7.263%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
85-66
85
66
+19
78avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Valencia
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 77
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 77
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 77
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
83-62
83
62
+21
84avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 77
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
78avg 77
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
19-19
21-23
26-11
19-26
14-20
30-12
13-25
19-21
24-20
14-17
22-21
15-18
19-17
10-18
24-24
21-22
16-14
20-18
14-16
26-19
20-24
21-20
27-32
18-19
26-10
17-18
22-15
29-22
14-15
17-18
22-17
16-18
22-19
22-31
23-17
33-18
14-18
19-24
23-11
158.9Avg total
81.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.277.3155.5+1.062%
Season at home (17)79.275.4154.6+3.976%
Season away (17)77.279.2156.4-1.947%
Last 10 (10)81.777.2158.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)86.277.0163.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.072.3149.3+4.7100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.583.5166.1-1.055%
vs Weaker (16)85.776.4162.1+9.275%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/04
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/04
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/04
Lega A
77.5Avg total
41.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.677.8+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.435.579.9+8.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.835.675.4+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.077.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.335.774.0+2.744%-
vs Weaker (19)43.836.179.8+7.779%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/03
BBL
Valencia
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/04
BBL
77.5Avg total
40.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.778.0+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.077.4+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.278.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.277.5+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.040.780.7-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.639.578.1-0.845%-
vs Weaker (16)39.737.877.4+1.962%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.1
45.6%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.9
40.1%
38.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.014.3
84.1%
79.3%14.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.7
55.2%
52.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.1
36.2%
38.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.912.3
77.4%
79.3%12.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLLWLLW
Bayern
WLWWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#5
+4.0
Net rating
+7.7
106.5
Offensive rating
111.3
102.5
Defensive rating
103.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.1%
3-point %
36.2%
61.1%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 111.3Defence102.5 · 103.6Shooting50.8% · 54.9%3-point %40.1% · 36.2%Ball care15.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds23.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
21/01/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern75-51
02/10/20Bayern v Olimpia Milano79-81 OT
11/01/19Bayern v Olimpia Milano93-87
19/12/18Olimpia Milano v Bayern78-80
03/12/14Olimpia Milano v Bayern83-81
31/10/14Bayern v Olimpia Milano74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/21HVirtus Bologna94-84
14/04/21ASassari85-73
11/04/21ABrindisi71-80
09/04/21HAnadolu Efes98-75
05/04/21HVarese81-83
01/04/21APanathinaikos83-86 OT
30/03/21ACrvena zvezda93-72
28/03/21AVenezia63-69
26/03/21ABaskonia69-86
21/03/21HCantu70-57
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/21ABonn89-71
11/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig83-85
09/04/21ABarcelona82-72
06/04/21HBayreuth83-62
03/04/21AGiessen94-95
01/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas71-70
30/03/21HFenerbahce68-77
27/03/21AHamburg86-91 OT
25/03/21AValencia76-83
23/03/21HSyntainics MBC85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWLLW65%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%65%59%
Points / game81.483.579.3
Allowed / game77.976.979.0
Point differential+3.4+6.6+0.3
Avg total159.3160.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)0% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %12%6%18%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%76%47%
Points / game78.279.277.2
Allowed / game77.375.479.2
Point differential+1.0+3.9-1.9
Avg total155.5154.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)75% (8)67% (9)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona34241071%80.673.6+7.1
2 CSKA Moscow34241071%84.379.7+4.6
3 Anadolu Efes35231266%84.276.5+7.7
4 Olimpia Milano34211362%81.477.9+3.4
5 Bayern34211362%78.277.3+1.0
6 Zenit Petersburg34201459%78.574.9+3.6
7 Fenerbahce34201459%78.579.1-0.6
8 Real Madrid35201557%79.677.9+1.7
9 Valencia34191556%81.981.2+0.6
10 Baskonia34181653%80.977.6+3.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos34161847%78.679.8-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv34142041%78.479.2-0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin34122235%78.682.7-4.1
16 Panathinaikos34112332%79.783.7-4.0
17 Crvena zvezda34102429%74.179.7-5.6
18 Khimki M.3443012%77.590.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1611262679
Bayern1826201478
← all games of the day
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