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Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-82
19-21 21-19 24-20 15-22
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game84.5
Varese
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game67.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 70
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 70
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 70
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
84-108
84
108
-24
73avg 70
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 70
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 70
A03/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
16-30
29-31
23-20
16-27
16-19
21-10
17-32
16-19
26-23
19-24
22-27
15-18
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
17-21
18-23
15-28
6-25
161.9Avg total
76.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.584.5150.0-19.050%
Season at home (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)56.097.0153.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)76.585.4161.9-8.930%
Last 5 (5)72.083.2155.2-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.387.7166.0-9.436%
vs Similar (15)80.284.9165.1-4.733%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 76
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 76
A09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
58avg 76
A11/06
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
108-60
108
60
+48
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
73-63
73
63
+10
67avg 76
A25/09
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 76
H30/09
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
89avg 76
H03/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 76
A08/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-24
18-18
13-25
16-17
18-20
18-15
6-24
24-19
19-22
8-14
11-18
36-20
33-14
17-13
22-13
21-15
20-12
10-29
21-11
20-23
15-21
20-23
29-23
21-18
21-13
18-13
13-19
21-29
23-16
18-14
22-15
28-21
19-11
19-19
27-21
19-17
19-13
19-17
21-17
150.6Avg total
78.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.067.5150.5+15.5100%
Season at home (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.472.2150.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)82.472.6155.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar (14)78.279.7157.9-1.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.571.3156.8+14.393%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/10
Lega A
82.9Avg total
40.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.482.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.179.5+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.245.784.9-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.782.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.145.985.0-6.936%-
vs Similar (15)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/06
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
69-34
69
34
+35
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A25/09
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/10
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
43.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.079.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.537.282.7+8.476%-
Last 30 away (13)39.236.876.0+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.179.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.477.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (14)41.440.682.0+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.733.577.2+10.180%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.4
55.9%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
74.7%14.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.8
48.1%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
74.7%15.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWWLLL
#12
League position
#1
-6.2
Net rating
+4.1
105.8
Offensive rating
107.1
111.9
Defensive rating
103.1
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
35.4%
50.9%
Assist %
55.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 107.1Defence111.9 · 103.1Shooting54.3% · 50.2%3-point %34.8% · 35.4%Ball care20.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
05/04/21Olimpia Milano v Varese81-83
06/12/20Varese v Olimpia Milano70-96
10/09/20Olimpia Milano v Varese91-77
29/08/20Varese v Olimpia Milano77-110
03/11/19Olimpia Milano v Varese93-69
13/04/19Varese v Olimpia Milano84-94
23/12/18Olimpia Milano v Varese72-67
29/01/18Varese v Olimpia Milano76-72
08/10/17Olimpia Milano v Varese74-73
05/02/17Varese v Olimpia Milano82-98
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/21AVirtus Bologna56-97
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
08/09/21HSassari82-92
06/09/21ACremona70-80
10/05/21ABrindisi84-108
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
18/04/21ATreviso103-94
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/21ABaskonia78-64
03/10/21HTrento93-72
30/09/21HCSKA Moscow84-74
25/09/21ABasket Napoli73-63
21/09/21HVirtus Bologna84-90
20/09/21ABrindisi72-67
18/09/21HTreviso108-60
11/06/21AVirtus Bologna62-73
09/06/21AVirtus Bologna58-76
07/06/21HVirtus Bologna72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game65.575.056.0
Allowed / game84.572.097.0
Point differential-19.0+3.0-41.0
Avg total150.0147.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.093.073.0
Allowed / game67.572.063.0
Point differential+15.5+21.0+10.0
Avg total150.5165.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%99.572.0+27.5
2 Olimpia Milano220100%83.067.5+15.5
3 Treviso220100%86.076.5+9.5
4 Reggiana220100%91.585.0+6.5
5 Brindisi32167%86.080.7+5.3
6 Venezia21150%82.075.5+6.5
7 Pesaro21150%73.568.0+5.5
8 Sassari21150%77.581.0-3.5
9 Trieste21150%72.578.0-5.5
10 Varese21150%65.584.5-19.0
11 Cremona31233%77.783.3-5.7
12 Trento31233%81.387.7-6.3
13 Tortona31233%78.085.3-7.3
14 Brescia2020%74.577.0-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2020%79.087.5-8.5
16 Basket Napoli2020%76.587.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1921241579
Olimpia Milano2119202282
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