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Bayern vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 70-69
18-18 10-15 21-20 21-16
Position#1
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game75.4
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game78.3
GermanyBBLRound 6· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Wurzburg
31 Jan 2027
BAY v WUR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
BAY98
WUR79
27 Oct 2024
BAY70
WUR69
31 May 2024
BAY99
WUR75
29 May 2024
BAY91
WUR76
29 Oct 2023
BAY87
WUR64
27 Nov 2022
BAY83
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 79
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 79
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
99avg 79
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
109-107
109
107
+2
107avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
19-17
19-17
16-19
21-21
21-20
16-19
23-20
26-29
26-22
12-22
33-16
24-21
19-24
31-17
21-19
16-25
18-22
24-19
21-28
19-26
22-20
29-15
21-24
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
24-21
30-26
27-31
28-29
19-17
16-23
20-19
20-20
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
171.8Avg total
85.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.875.4154.2+3.460%
Season at home (2)77.069.5146.5+7.5100%
Season away (3)80.079.3159.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)85.985.9171.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)87.487.4174.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
vs Similar (9)79.876.1155.9+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.176.2161.2+8.978%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
64avg 74
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
55avg 74
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 74
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
85-76
85
76
+9
71avg 74
H01/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
92-65
92
65
+27
80avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
W
98-80
98
80
+18
91avg 74
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 74
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
80avg 74
H18/10
BBL
Nanterre
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 74
A23/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
16-28
23-25
26-17
21-22
23-26
16-25
15-26
18-12
15-26
13-22
15-15
15-13
15-21
21-28
25-23
26-15
22-17
18-27
19-17
23-15
24-12
26-6
19-32
21-23
20-18
33-17
24-22
18-23
18-17
23-17
19-29
23-21
24-23
24-19
20-22
26-19
21-23
19-26
22-15
164.5Avg total
82.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.378.3164.7+8.067%
Season at home (1)91.085.0176.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)84.075.0159.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)82.082.5164.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)89.479.8169.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.786.5159.2-13.80%
vs Similar (13)85.681.3166.9+4.385%
vs Weaker (10)93.177.1170.2+16.090%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
BayernWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.980.2+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.282.4+5.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.839.578.3-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.185.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.083.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.639.480.0+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.637.680.2+5.183%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/10
BBL
Nanterre
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A23/10
Champions League
79.5Avg total
40.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.882.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.282.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.582.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.579.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.882.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.342.074.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (13)45.840.085.8+5.877%-
vs Weaker (10)44.738.383.0+6.470%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.6
56.1%
52.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.3
34.6%
33.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.918.6
84.9%
73.5%18.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.617.1
83.0%
73.5%17.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWLWLWWWL
Wurzburg
WWLWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#5
-0.5
Net rating
-2.3
114.4
Offensive rating
113.8
115.0
Defensive rating
116.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
40.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
32.6%
65.9%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 113.8Defence115.0 · 116.1Shooting54.0% · 50.7%3-point %34.6% · 32.6%Ball care20.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds34.9% · 40.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
02/06/24Wurzburg v Bayern61-75
31/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg99-75
29/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg91-76
14/04/24Wurzburg v Bayern82-90
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80
19/10/24ASyntainics MBC75-79
17/10/24HParis109-107
15/10/24APartizan78-86
13/10/24ABonn91-85
10/10/24APanathinaikos79-94
06/10/24AGottingen95-81
03/10/24HReal Madrid97-89
29/09/24HHamburg81-80
22/09/24ALudwigsburg70-78
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24ANanterre88-83
18/10/24HHamburg91-85
11/10/24AGottingen78-86
08/10/24HIgokea98-80
05/10/24ARostock92-65
01/10/24HHapoel Holon85-76
28/09/24AUlm76-85
02/06/24HBayern61-75
31/05/24ABayern75-99
29/05/24ABayern76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game78.877.080.0
Allowed / game75.469.579.3
Point differential+3.4+7.5+0.7
Avg total154.2146.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.391.084.0
Allowed / game78.385.075.0
Point differential+8.0+6.0+9.0
Avg total164.7176.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm54180%77.878.6-0.8
2 Bonn43175%89.081.5+7.5
3 Wurzburg32167%86.378.3+8.0
4 Heidelberg64267%85.584.0+1.5
5 Ludwigsburg53260%74.470.0+4.4
6 Bayern53260%78.875.4+3.4
7 Oldenburg53260%82.679.8+2.8
8 Chemnitz53260%76.475.6+0.8
9 Basketball Braunschweig42250%78.271.2+7.0
10 Rostock63350%77.877.2+0.7
11 Syntainics MBC63350%85.284.8+0.3
12 Alba Berlin52340%83.080.0+3.0
13 Hamburg52340%84.885.2-0.4
14 Frankfurt52340%75.877.2-1.4
15 Bamberg41325%69.277.5-8.2
16 Vechta51420%76.881.6-4.8
17 Gottingen4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1810212170
Wurzburg1815201669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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