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Bayern vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.2
GermanyBBLRound 19· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Wurzburg
31 Jan 2027
BAY v WUR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
BAY98
WUR79
27 Oct 2024
BAY70
WUR69
31 May 2024
BAY99
WUR75
29 May 2024
BAY91
WUR76
29 Oct 2023
BAY87
WUR64
27 Nov 2022
BAY83
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 84
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 84
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 84
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#7
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 84
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
176.9Avg total
89.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.369.7166.0+26.686%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)89.387.6176.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
vs Similar (1)99.095.0194.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.773.1162.8+16.680%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
75avg 71
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 71
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#24
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 71
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#6
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 71
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#16
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 71
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 71
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 71
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 71
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 71
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
25-9
21-22
28-12
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
163.9Avg total
85.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.880.2163.0+2.767%
Season at home (3)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
Season away (3)82.780.0162.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)85.878.1163.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)97.074.8171.8+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.794.0169.7-18.30%
vs Similar (14)80.577.0157.5+3.557%
vs Weaker (12)84.776.8161.5+7.867%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
BayernWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#7
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
42.7Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.138.884.9+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.285.1+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.389.0-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.348.789.0-8.344%-
vs Similar (1)45.045.090.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.736.283.0+10.590%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#24
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#16
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.8Avg total
44.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.078.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.781.6+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.337.275.5+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.637.281.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.436.888.2+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.342.080.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (14)40.037.077.0+3.057%-
vs Weaker (12)42.637.880.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
73.7%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.7%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLLWLLWW
Wurzburg
WWWWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+2.0
Net rating
+4.1
103.8
Offensive rating
92.6
101.8
Defensive rating
88.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.8%
3-point %
33.1%
65.1%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 92.6Defence101.8 · 88.5Shooting57.5% · 49.0%3-point %37.8% · 33.1%Ball care16.1% · 14.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bayern wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
23/04/26Wurzburg v Bayern81-90
25/01/26Bayern v Wurzburg98-79
29/03/25Wurzburg v Bayern75-81
27/10/24Bayern v Wurzburg70-69
02/06/24Wurzburg v Bayern61-75
31/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg99-75
29/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg91-76
14/04/24Wurzburg v Bayern82-90
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
02/10/26HBonn83-76
27/09/26AUlm90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game96.3104.077.0
Allowed / game69.767.276.0
Point differential+26.6+36.8+1.0
Avg total166.0171.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.883.082.7
Allowed / game80.280.380.0
Point differential+2.7+2.7+2.7
Avg total163.0163.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern76186%96.369.7+26.6
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC75271%88.081.1+6.9
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock74357%88.781.7+7.0
7 Bonn74357%86.781.9+4.9
8 Bamberg74357%88.084.9+3.1
9 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
10 Ulm73443%81.984.9-3.0
11 Alba Berlin73443%84.090.0-6.0
12 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig73443%85.996.4-10.6
14 Chemnitz72529%86.788.7-2.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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