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BC Wolves vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-73
21-20 22-15 21-22 30-16
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#8
Record7-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Nevezis
12 Apr 2025
WOL94
NEV99
05 Jan 2025
WOL103
NEV102
06 Apr 2024
WOL102
NEV83
28 Oct 2023
WOL89
NEV74
29 Jan 2023
WOL94
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
82avg 77
A17/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
no box
H02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 77
A07/01
LKL
Tartu Ulikool
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A09/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
89-60
89
60
+29
no box
H10/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 77
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A25/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
26-15
19-17
20-19
21-15
21-26
27-19
11-26
21-26
14-22
25-28
19-19
24-14
26-15
16-24
22-23
16-27
16-17
22-20
25-13
18-12
18-15
22-15
31-18
19-19
16-23
32-21
19-18
19-21
21-22
18-20
28-26
14-22
14-21
19-23
25-25
25-25
19-16
19-15
21-34
164.9Avg total
83.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.179.9163.9+4.269%
Season at home (7)86.377.7164.0+8.671%
Season away (9)82.381.6163.9+0.867%
Last 10 (10)83.381.6164.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.482.2165.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.290.2170.4-10.00%
vs Similar (6)90.285.0175.2+5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.277.1160.3+6.278%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 71
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 71
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 71
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 71
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 71
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 71
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 71
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
78-98 OT
78
98
-20
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-17
28-20
22-28
14-20
23-30
24-27
24-9
26-20
20-19
23-23
20-19
18-19
16-21
23-18
21-12
23-30
21-15
19-21
16-20
21-25
35-24
18-26
25-17
18-31
26-23
19-17
21-15
16-19
15-13
27-23
13-19
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
23-22
19-27
20-13
11-19
166.1Avg total
83.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.281.1161.3-0.844%
Season at home (9)80.380.0160.3+0.333%
Season away (7)80.182.4162.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)83.982.2166.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.083.0166.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.885.4163.2-7.620%
vs Similar (13)81.683.2164.8-1.646%
vs Weaker (7)92.085.3177.3+6.786%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
BC WolvesNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A17/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A07/01
LKL
Tartu Ulikool
#13
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A09/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H10/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
ENBL
78.6Avg total
39.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.682.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.782.9+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.342.181.4-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.378.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.046.284.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (6)45.743.288.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.838.178.9+2.861%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
85.1Avg total
41.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.283.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.640.781.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)41.444.285.6-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.385.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.687.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (13)39.442.281.5-2.831%-
vs Weaker (7)44.041.985.9+2.186%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
54.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.7
38.6%
35.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
74.2%12.3
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
74.2%17.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LLLWWWWLLW
Nevezis
LWLLWLWWLW
#3
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
+4.4
115.8
Offensive rating
106.7
113.6
Defensive rating
102.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.6%
3-point %
29.4%
71.2%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 106.7Defence113.6 · 102.4Shooting57.2% · 50.5%3-point %38.6% · 29.4%Ball care17.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Wolves wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ANes Ziona84-90
22/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas72-91
17/01/23ATrefl Sopot86-89
15/01/23AJuventus86-81
10/01/23HValmiera Glass Via89-60
09/01/23ATartu Ulikool79-77
07/01/23ARytas88-76
02/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/12/22HLietkabelis80-86
17/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes90-71
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ARytas78-98 OT
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65
09/01/23HJuventus71-74
28/12/22HRytas84-86
19/12/22HGargzdai99-92
12/12/22ANeptunas79-86
07/12/22HRytas78-70
04/12/22HPrienai89-81
01/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes85-86
26/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game84.186.382.3
Allowed / game79.977.781.6
Point differential+4.2+8.6+0.8
Avg total163.9164.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWLLW33%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%33%57%
Points / game80.280.380.1
Allowed / game81.180.082.4
Point differential-0.8+0.3-2.3
Avg total161.3160.3162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%87.070.9+16.1
2 Rytas1612475%88.983.1+5.9
3 BC Wolves1611569%84.179.9+4.2
4 Juventus1611569%85.181.9+3.2
5 Jonava1610662%81.678.9+2.6
6 Lietkabelis1710759%84.281.9+2.2
7 Siauliai168850%81.082.2-1.2
8 Nevezis167944%80.281.1-0.8
9 Neptunas167944%77.780.4-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1531220%78.388.4-10.1
11 Gargzdai1621412%77.385.0-7.7
12 Prienai171166%77.089.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2122213094
Nevezis2015221673
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