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BC Wolves vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-102
29-23 26-22 19-38 29-19
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#9
Record3-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game88.8
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · BC Wolves v Nevezis
12 Apr 2025
WOL94
NEV99
05 Jan 2025
WOL103
NEV102
06 Apr 2024
WOL102
NEV83
28 Oct 2023
WOL89
NEV74
29 Jan 2023
WOL94
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 82
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
77-104
77
104
-27
65avg 82
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 82
A04/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
102-86
102
86
+16
94avg 82
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
104-100
104
100
+4
97avg 82
H11/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
110-100
110
100
+10
104avg 82
A15/12
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
91-114
91
114
-23
84avg 82
A18/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
97avg 82
A22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
88avg 82
H29/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 82
H03/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
15-22
29-17
27-17
18-29
19-28
24-25
16-22
18-19
18-15
18-25
20-25
36-14
24-25
20-7
22-40
25-31
31-27
25-25
23-17
19-26
28-30
28-20
35-24
16-32
29-24
17-32
29-26
24-17
23-18
22-22
26-20
20-19
25-23
21-23
29-29
17-18
22-22
27-24
25-16
183.1Avg total
92.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.885.9177.8+5.975%
Season at home (6)95.086.2181.2+8.883%
Season away (6)88.785.7174.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)92.191.0183.1+1.170%
Last 5 (5)96.493.0189.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.584.3169.8+1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.587.5174.0-1.155%
vs Weaker (13)89.985.7175.6+4.269%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 78
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 78
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 78
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 78
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
97avg 78
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 78
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 78
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
106-90
106
90
+16
112avg 78
H29/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
26-14
21-23
24-23
18-18
26-31
16-16
14-18
19-21
21-19
19-21
26-28
16-23
18-24
17-26
31-20
25-14
29-22
23-31
24-35
23-18
30-16
17-21
23-32
24-22
24-24
34-23
27-19
21-24
16-20
17-23
15-22
17-23
21-20
20-14
21-21
24-22
30-25
23-10
29-33
177.9Avg total
89.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.888.8173.5-4.023%
Season at home (9)84.788.9173.6-4.222%
Season away (4)85.088.5173.5-3.525%
Last 10 (10)89.188.8177.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)91.286.4177.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.091.5176.5-6.538%
vs Similar ◀ (15)88.989.1177.9-0.240%
vs Weaker (7)90.984.6175.4+6.357%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
BC WolvesNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H11/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A18/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/01
Eurocup
89.2Avg total
43.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.687.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.243.089.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.285.3-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.489.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.890.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.844.285.0-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.045.587.5-3.536%-
vs Weaker (13)46.041.887.8+4.269%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H29/12
LKL
87.9Avg total
45.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.089.9-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.045.192.1+1.941%-
Last 30 away (13)42.244.887.0-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.987.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.888.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.848.090.8-5.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.044.389.3+0.747%-
vs Weaker (7)47.143.190.3+4.043%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.0
59.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.6
39.0%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.719.3
81.4%
75.0%19.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.5
53.2%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.9
39.3%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.217.6
69.8%
75.0%17.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWWLWWWLLW
Nevezis
WWLWWLLLLW
#4
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
+0.4
118.6
Offensive rating
115.8
117.4
Defensive rating
115.4
58.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.0%
3-point %
39.3%
58.2%
Assist %
68.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 115.8Defence117.4 · 115.4Shooting58.9% · 55.9%3-point %39.0% · 39.3%Ball care19.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BC Wolves wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Nevezis v BC Wolves85-90
06/04/24BC Wolves v Nevezis102-83
06/01/24Nevezis v BC Wolves78-99
28/10/23BC Wolves v Nevezis89-74
15/04/23Nevezis v BC Wolves81-88
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HJoventut Badalona91-80
29/12/24HMazeikiai95-94
22/12/24AJonava95-77
18/12/24AUlm91-114
15/12/24AJuventus110-100
11/12/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv104-100
07/12/24HNeptunas102-86
04/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.74-84
29/11/24ABuducnost77-104
17/11/24ARytas82-71
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HSiauliai106-90
23/12/24HLietkabelis79-78
14/12/24ARytas69-89
11/12/24ASiauliai109-88
07/12/24HMazeikiai93-87
04/12/24HNeptunas101-102
01/12/24ALietkabelis82-93
27/11/24AMazeikiai85-89
16/11/24HNeptunas74-83
13/11/24HJuventus93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game91.895.088.7
Allowed / game85.986.285.7
Point differential+5.9+8.8+3.0
Avg total177.8181.2174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW23%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %23%22%25%
Points / game84.884.785.0
Allowed / game88.888.988.5
Point differential-4.0-4.2-3.5
Avg total173.5173.6173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%91.872.1+19.7
2 Rytas1411379%90.282.4+7.9
3 BC Wolves129375%91.885.9+5.9
4 Juventus147750%83.485.4-2.0
5 Jonava136746%87.391.8-4.5
6 Lietkabelis146843%82.483.1-0.7
7 Neptunas146843%85.189.4-4.3
8 Siauliai135838%92.899.1-6.2
9 Nevezis1331023%84.888.8-4.0
10 Mazeikiai1321115%82.495.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves29261929103
Nevezis23223819102
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