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BC Wolves vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-83
23-27 30-24 27-16 22-16
Position#3
Record17-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#9
Record7-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game91.6
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Nevezis
12 Apr 2025
WOL94
NEV99
05 Jan 2025
WOL103
NEV102
06 Apr 2024
WOL102
NEV83
28 Oct 2023
WOL89
NEV74
29 Jan 2023
WOL94
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
92-73
92
73
+19
80avg 78
H27/01
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 78
H30/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 78
H03/02
LKL
London Lions
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 78
A07/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
82avg 78
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 78
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 78
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
109-72
109
72
+37
110avg 78
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
83-99
83
99
-16
71avg 78
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 78
H30/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
23-17
22-21
17-18
22-20
34-21
19-22
19-21
31-17
21-24
21-20
21-18
24-23
21-16
19-21
21-20
25-25
19-17
20-27
21-27
21-25
23-13
20-19
20-16
13-21
18-26
18-16
19-18
27-16
19-13
36-25
27-18
19-27
25-23
25-19
14-30
27-25
20-24
27-14
26-25
171.9Avg total
89.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.079.3164.3+5.868%
Season at home (13)87.777.2164.8+10.577%
Season away (12)82.281.6163.8+0.658%
Last 10 (10)89.482.5171.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)88.882.6171.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.387.8165.1-10.521%
vs Similar (4)79.586.2165.8-6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.279.2167.4+9.175%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 77
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 77
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 77
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
46avg 77
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 77
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 77
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 77
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 77
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 77
H30/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
19-32
15-21
24-16
27-22
24-29
16-16
25-19
19-25
28-24
20-18
10-18
26-22
18-17
21-21
21-26
18-30
15-35
15-23
16-25
23-28
28-19
22-23
28-21
15-23
22-26
16-17
19-17
22-22
23-28
21-21
22-22
28-14
16-20
20-19
12-21
19-21
11-28
27-24
22-15
172.7Avg total
82.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.491.6174.0-9.228%
Season at home (13)84.788.8173.5-4.138%
Season away (12)79.994.7174.6-14.817%
Last 10 (10)82.390.4172.7-8.140%
Last 5 (5)83.285.8169.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.295.1176.3-13.914%
vs Similar (9)84.885.3170.1-0.644%
vs Weaker (7)92.488.6181.0+3.971%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
BC WolvesNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/01
LKL
Hamburg
#19
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H30/01
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H03/02
LKL
London Lions
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/03
LKL
87.2Avg total
46.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.284.5-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.487.7-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.181.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)46.241.087.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.685.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.845.182.9-7.336%-
vs Similar (4)37.246.884.0-9.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.839.986.7+6.883%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H30/03
LKL
91.6Avg total
42.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.392.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.347.192.4-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)44.347.691.9-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.149.591.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.887.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.451.592.9-10.121%-
vs Similar (9)47.345.292.6+2.144%-
vs Weaker (7)48.441.790.1+6.786%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.5
56.8%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.3
36.6%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.815.8
69.3%
73.2%15.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
55.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.3
32.2%
34.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.115.8
71.5%
73.2%15.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLWLWLWWWW
Nevezis
LWLLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#9
+9.8
Net rating
-15.5
117.8
Offensive rating
106.6
108.0
Defensive rating
122.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
20.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.6%
3-point %
32.2%
62.6%
Assist %
53.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 106.6Defence108.0 · 122.0Shooting56.1% · 51.2%3-point %36.6% · 32.2%Ball care16.6% · 20.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 34.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Wolves wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Nevezis v BC Wolves78-99
28/10/23BC Wolves v Nevezis89-74
15/04/23Nevezis v BC Wolves81-88
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HJuventus100-88
24/03/24ARytas83-99
17/03/24HLietkabelis109-72
13/03/24AJonava68-81
02/03/24AMazeikiai84-73
11/02/24HJonava85-96
07/02/24ALondon Lions85-80
03/02/24HPieno Zvaigzdes94-79
30/01/24HHamburg94-84
27/01/24HNeptunas92-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HRytas79-88
23/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes76-74
18/03/24HJuventus88-93
07/03/24HMazeikiai72-83
03/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes101-91
10/02/24ARytas64-113
04/02/24HNeptunas96-92 OT
28/01/24ASiauliai77-85
13/01/24HJonava92-86
06/01/24HBC Wolves78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%77%58%
Points / game85.087.782.2
Allowed / game79.377.281.6
Point differential+5.8+10.5+0.6
Avg total164.3164.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL28%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%38%17%
Points / game82.484.779.9
Allowed / game91.688.894.7
Point differential-9.2-4.1-14.8
Avg total174.0173.5174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%86.172.0+14.1
2 Rytas2521484%93.479.2+14.2
3 BC Wolves2517868%85.079.3+5.8
4 Juventus24141058%89.081.5+7.5
5 Lietkabelis24141058%83.582.9+0.5
6 Neptunas25131252%84.484.6-0.2
7 Mazeikiai25121348%79.982.4-2.4
8 Jonava25101540%82.285.0-2.8
9 Nevezis2571828%82.491.6-9.2
10 Siauliai2561924%80.987.1-6.2
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2451921%83.593.3-9.8
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves23302722102
Nevezis2724161683
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