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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-95
21-26 14-22 25-28 19-19
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 77
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
69avg 77
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 77
A28/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 77
A03/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
96-82
96
82
+14
no box
H12/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
82avg 77
A17/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H28/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-30
19-22
23-30
19-23
24-22
13-20
28-25
20-23
25-11
18-19
16-17
20-28
29-24
22-17
23-10
15-21
24-23
29-24
17-22
20-22
21-16
17-13
18-17
20-19
13-26
30-20
33-27
24-26
30-18
21-16
21-22
25-20
26-15
19-17
20-19
21-15
21-26
27-19
11-26
168.8Avg total
86.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.379.5167.8+8.867%
Season at home (3)93.081.7174.7+11.367%
Season away (3)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)86.082.8168.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.388.3171.7-5.00%
vs Similar (3)94.385.0179.3+9.367%
vs Weaker (15)82.977.9160.9+5.073%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 77
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 77
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 77
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 77
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 77
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 77
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 77
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 77
A29/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
15-17
25-16
14-21
23-18
20-18
13-22
24-17
19-25
14-8
15-30
12-23
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
26-21
18-14
16-13
15-19
26-17
23-25
15-18
18-24
152.7Avg total
77.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.675.1152.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)82.474.2156.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Similar (9)73.875.4149.2-1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.472.1160.5+16.393%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H21/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H12/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A17/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/12
LKL
86.1Avg total
43.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)42.941.083.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.838.984.7+6.973%-
Last 30 away (11)39.943.183.0-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.686.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.346.789.0-4.30%-
vs Similar (3)46.748.795.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (15)42.138.180.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/12
Euroleague
74.3Avg total
38.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.078.2+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.575.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.738.681.3+4.180%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.374.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.476.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (9)36.137.873.9-1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.335.079.3+9.393%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.2
69.6%
75.0%11.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.9
49.9%
55.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.713.9
78.5%
75.0%13.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LWWWWLWWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#1
+3.2
Net rating
+4.4
115.3
Offensive rating
110.2
112.1
Defensive rating
105.8
57.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.1%
3-point %
37.1%
67.2%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 110.2Defence112.1 · 105.8Shooting57.0% · 52.2%3-point %36.1% · 37.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/22HLietkabelis80-86
17/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes90-71
12/12/22HGargzdai96-82
03/12/22ALietkabelis96-92
30/11/22APrienai76-68
28/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas85-90
24/11/22AJuventus94-79
21/11/22HPrienai79-70
17/11/22HNeptunas84-90
05/11/22ANeptunas80-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22AMonaco82-84
23/12/22HBayern75-67
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61
09/12/22HAnadolu Efes60-86
05/12/22AJonava80-75
02/12/22HPanathinaikos67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.393.083.7
Allowed / game79.581.777.3
Point differential+8.8+11.3+6.3
Avg total167.8174.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas65183%95.884.5+11.3
2 Nevezis75271%92.389.1+3.1
3 BC Wolves64267%88.379.5+8.8
4 Jonava64267%80.776.7+4.0
5 Juventus74357%95.390.3+5.0
6 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
8 Rytas1010%70.078.0-8.0
9 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2114251979
Zalgiris Kaunas2622281995
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