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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-78 (OT)
35-27 37-45 16-6
Position#270
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#334
Record7-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A27/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A14/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-48
50-29
33-25
48-29
33-50
27-33
37-34
36-36
36-25
29-35
37-51
44-43
34-38
33-40
31-42
22-26
23-44
31-41
31-43
55-47
145.1Avg total
69.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.076.2148.2-4.231%
Season at home (8)71.873.8145.5-2.038%
Season away (8)72.278.8151.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)69.275.9145.1-6.730%
Last 5 (5)68.283.0151.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.281.7154.8-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.474.2140.6-7.925%
vs Weaker (9)72.666.6139.1+6.078%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
31-39
33-42
39-25
40-36
37-44
27-34
51-57
23-24
38-25
31-25
37-31
20-23
20-34
34-35
38-38
28-30
32-39
27-36
36-44
134.3Avg total
64.6Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.971.3142.2-0.444%
Season at home (9)75.072.0147.0+3.056%
Season away (7)65.770.4136.1-4.729%
Last 10 (10)64.669.7134.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)60.667.0127.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.873.0139.8-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.274.1147.4-0.938%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.0153.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
22-48
22
48
-26
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A09/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
31.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.168.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.737.171.8-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)30.735.165.7-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)31.740.071.7-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.674.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.740.872.5-9.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.934.567.4-1.638%-
vs Weaker (9)33.231.664.8+1.744%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#381
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H19/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
28.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.333.665.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.733.966.7-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)31.833.265.0-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)28.732.160.8-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.029.857.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.934.364.2-4.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.833.366.1-0.544%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25ABelmont86-90
05/01/25AIllinois State54-85
01/01/25HEvansville53-68
29/12/24ANorthern Iowa67-78
21/12/24HHigh Point81-94
14/12/24AAustin Peay65-60
07/12/24HSouthern Indiana73-70
04/12/24HBradley60-83
27/11/24AFlorida Tech81-54
26/11/24HEastern Kentucky72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
05/01/25ABradley60-69
02/01/25HValparaiso72-73
29/12/24AEvansville40-57
22/12/24HUC Santa Barbara68-56
19/12/24HLincoln Mo.61-49
14/12/24AWashington State78-91
08/12/24HIndiana State77-80
01/12/24AOral Roberts72-67
26/11/24HSouth Dakota St.55-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game72.071.872.2
Allowed / game76.273.878.8
Point differential-4.2-2.0-6.5
Avg total148.2145.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%56%29%
Points / game70.975.065.7
Allowed / game71.372.070.4
Point differential-0.4+3.0-4.7
Avg total142.2147.0136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1614288%71.357.0+14.3
2 Bradley1714382%78.967.6+11.3
3 Belmont1712571%81.878.8+3.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)1711665%79.572.6+6.8
5 Illinois State1610662%77.470.7+6.7
6 Murray State1710759%74.267.4+6.8
7 Valparaiso1710759%78.772.9+5.8
8 Northern Iowa169756%76.967.8+9.2
9 Indiana State179853%83.878.4+5.5
10 Evansville1761135%63.768.5-4.8
11 Southern Illinois1651131%72.076.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1614288%79.859.9+19.9
2 UTEP1512380%74.665.9+8.7
3 Louisiana Tech1612475%77.267.7+9.6
4 Middle Tenn. St.1712571%78.571.1+7.4
5 Western Kentucky1711665%78.675.7+2.9
6 New Mexico State159660%74.868.9+5.9
7 Jacksonville State169756%79.271.1+8.2
8 Kennesaw State169756%80.375.8+4.5
9 Delaware179853%79.477.1+2.4
10 Sam Houston St.178947%79.277.8+1.4
11 Missouri State167944%70.971.3-0.4
12 Florida International1771041%73.971.4+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Southern Illinois35371688
Missouri State2745678
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