Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 May 2015

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 75-91

22-21 16-25 22-19 15-26

Position#4

Record20-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game76.7

Bilbao

Valencia 🏆

Position#5

Record20-14

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game78.7

ACBACB - Quarter-finals

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

64-76

-12

A22/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

92-66

+26

H28/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#13

77-83

-6

A05/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#12

72-77

-5

A12/04

ACB

Tenerife

#11

83-101

101

-18

H18/04

ACB

Real Madrid

52-78

-26

A26/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

95-92 OT

H02/05

ACB

Barcelona

73-80

-7

A09/05

ACB

Valencia

78-73

A16/05

ACB

Unicaja

93-94 OT

-1

H24/05

ACB

12-13

18-21

19-21

15-21

25-21

22-14

27-17

18-14

19-20

16-16

17-26

25-21

22-18

19-9

23-22

8-28

26-27

16-27

23-20

18-27

7-23

17-29

19-14

9-12

20-29

22-15

18-23

17-30

18-13

15-20

23-17

15-19

27-17

16-15

20-22

22-19

14-22

16-17

30-24

159.9Avg total

77.9Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	78.0	76.7	154.7	+1.3	59%
Season at home (17)	82.9	74.6	157.5	+8.2	82%
Season away (17)	73.1	78.8	151.9	-5.6	35%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	82.0	159.9	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	83.4	161.6	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	71.8	76.0	147.8	-4.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.4	78.4	156.8	-0.1	53%
vs Weaker (6)	80.3	77.3	157.7	+3.0	67%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

61-76

-15

A25/03

Eurocup

Baskonia

88-94

-6

A29/03

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

95-91

H04/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

109-86

109

+23

H11/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

95-91

A19/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

84-81

H25/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

76-90

-14

A03/05

ACB

Tenerife

#11

81-74

A10/05

ACB

Bilbao

73-78

-5

H16/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#18

87-64

+23

A24/05

ACB

20-21

16-21

11-20

14-14

15-22

25-22

17-22

31-28

24-14

19-23

26-30

26-24

34-18

21-19

24-22

30-27

25-24

27-27

16-28

27-12

26-16

17-15

18-20

23-30

17-24

26-22

18-20

15-24

19-21

25-15

18-14

19-24

19-15

17-27

15-16

22-20

19-13

23-16

20-12

25-23

167.4Avg total

84.9Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	82.9	78.7	161.5	+4.2	59%
Season at home (17)	88.8	79.0	167.8	+9.8	76%
Season away (17)	76.9	78.4	155.3	-1.4	41%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	82.5	167.4	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	77.4	157.6	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.8	84.0	166.8	-1.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	81.2	77.8	159.0	+3.4	40%
vs Weaker (15)	86.1	78.1	164.3	+8.0	73%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	24.0	40.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	24.2	42.2	-6.2	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	19.1	42.4	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.8	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	18.2	39.8	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	18.8	39.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	67%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

30-34

-4

A22/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

47-35

+12

H28/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#13

35-36

-1

A05/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#12

41-27

+14

A12/04

ACB

Tenerife

#11

42-54

-12

H18/04

ACB

Real Madrid

24-52

-28

A26/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

42-44

-2

H02/05

ACB

Barcelona

35-43

-8

A09/05

ACB

Valencia

42-36

A16/05

ACB

Unicaja

36-41

-5

H24/05

ACB

77.6Avg total

37.4Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	39.9	80.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	41.6	77.8	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.2	77.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	43.2	79.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	41.2	78.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.1	40.2	78.2	-2.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.7	42.3	82.0	-2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

36-42

-6

A25/03

Eurocup

Baskonia

40-44

-4

A29/03

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

43-37

H04/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

55-37

+18

H11/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

52-51

A19/04

ACB

Manresa

#16

43-31

+12

H25/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-46

-3

A03/05

ACB

Tenerife

#11

44-36

A10/05

ACB

Bilbao

36-42

-6

H16/05

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#18

42-29

+13

A24/05

ACB

82.9Avg total

43.4Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.5	83.8	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	39.6	83.4	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	41.2	84.2	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	39.5	82.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.8	78.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	43.5	85.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.3	41.6	83.9	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.7	38.7	83.3	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	16.9	37.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.2	33.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+1.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	16.2	38.5	+6.2	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.6	40.6	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	16.5	33.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.5	19.5	38.9	+0.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	18.8	37.2	-0.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	17.5	39.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.6	75.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	35.7	76.7	+5.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	37.4	74.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.6	77.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.8	73.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	34.8	69.2	-0.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.1	37.1	76.2	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	35.0	75.7	+5.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.6	79.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.7	40.3	84.0	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	37.1	74.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.0	84.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	40.5	81.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.9	36.2	75.1	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.5	39.5	80.9	+2.0	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/05/15	Valencia v Bilbao	73-78
11/01/15	Bilbao v Valencia	82-80
03/05/14	Valencia v Bilbao	83-71
05/01/14	Bilbao v Valencia	80-83
12/05/13	Bilbao v Valencia	61-72
29/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	60-61
23/01/13	Bilbao v Valencia	91-76
06/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	113-111 OT
22/04/12	Valencia v Bilbao	66-63
10/12/11	Bilbao v Valencia	85-74

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/05/15	H	Unicaja	93-94 OT
16/05/15	A	Valencia	78-73
09/05/15	A	Barcelona	73-80
02/05/15	H	Joventut Badalona	95-92 OT
26/04/15	A	Real Madrid	52-78
18/04/15	H	Tenerife	83-101
12/04/15	A	Obradoiro CAB	72-77
05/04/15	A	Estudiantes	77-83
28/03/15	H	Gipuzkoa	92-66
22/03/15	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	64-76

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/05/15	A	Fuenlabrada	87-64
16/05/15	H	Bilbao	73-78
10/05/15	A	Tenerife	81-74
03/05/15	A	Gran Canaria	76-90
25/04/15	H	Manresa	84-81
19/04/15	A	Joventut Badalona	95-91
11/04/15	H	Gipuzkoa	109-86
04/04/15	H	MoraBanc Andorra	95-91
29/03/15	A	Baskonia	88-94
25/03/15	A	Khimki M.	61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	59%
Home	WWLWL	82%
Away	LLLLW	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	59%	82%	35%
Points / game	78.0	82.9	73.1
Allowed / game	76.7	74.6	78.8
Point differential	+1.3	+8.2	-5.6
Avg total	154.7	157.5	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	47%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	75% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	12%	6%

Valencia

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	59%
Home	WWWWL	76%
Away	LWLWW	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	59%	76%	41%
Points / game	82.9	88.8	76.9
Allowed / game	78.7	79.0	78.4
Point differential	+4.2	+9.8	-1.4
Avg total	161.5	167.8	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	59%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	50% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	34	27	7	79%	85.4	77.6	+7.7
2	Barcelona	34	25	9	74%	82.5	72.2	+10.3
3	Unicaja	34	25	9	74%	80.5	76.0	+4.6
4	Valencia	34	20	14	59%	82.9	78.7	+4.2
5	Bilbao	34	20	14	59%	78.0	76.7	+1.3
6	Baskonia	34	19	15	56%	83.4	78.5	+4.9
7	Joventut Badalona	34	19	15	56%	78.0	77.2	+0.8
8	Gran Canaria	34	18	16	53%	77.6	77.5	+0.1
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	34	18	16	53%	76.0	77.7	-1.7
10	Murcia	34	17	17	50%	77.1	78.2	-1.1
11	Tenerife	34	16	18	47%	78.0	77.0	+0.9
12	Obradoiro CAB	34	15	19	44%	72.6	74.6	-2.0
13	Estudiantes	34	14	20	41%	73.8	76.9	-3.1
14	MoraBanc Andorra	34	12	22	35%	75.0	76.9	-1.9
15	Real Betis	34	12	22	35%	74.7	80.7	-6.0
16	Manresa	34	11	23	32%	72.2	78.6	-6.4
17	Gipuzkoa	34	10	24	29%	70.9	77.9	-7.0
18	Fuenlabrada	34	8	26	24%	74.5	79.9	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	22	16	22	15	75
Valencia	21	25	19	26	91

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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