Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2013

Tip-off: 10:40

Final 61-72

13-16 18-22 17-13 13-21

Position#6

Record19-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game78.6

Bilbao

Valencia 🏆

Position#4

Record20-12

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game76.8

ACBRound 33

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Budivelnyk

#10

93-83

+10

A20/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#18

79-82

-3

A24/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

75-53

+22

H27/03

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

82-90

-8

H31/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

80-77

A07/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

64-75

-11

H13/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

#10

101-104

101

104

-3

A21/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

100-90

100

+10

H28/04

ACB

Baskonia

75-93

-18

H01/05

ACB

Real Betis

#14

81-60

+21

A04/05

ACB

20-19

28-25

23-17

22-22

20-27

23-18

11-28

25-9

20-14

17-9

16-19

22-11

19-24

16-18

20-25

27-23

19-12

18-23

29-21

14-21

17-16

13-22

15-16

19-21

20-30

25-25

27-17

29-32

24-19

25-27

22-25

29-19

17-24

18-23

21-21

19-25

19-23

20-14

24-15

18-8

163.7Avg total

83.0Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	82.1	78.6	160.7	+3.6	59%
Season at home (16)	83.2	77.2	160.5	+6.0	75%
Season away (16)	81.0	79.9	160.9	+1.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	80.7	163.7	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	84.4	168.6	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	90.0	98.0	188.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	79.3	78.3	157.5	+1.0	55%
vs Weaker (15)	83.3	76.6	159.9	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

80-74

A16/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

87-97

-10

H20/03

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

68-56

+12

H23/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

68-63

A26/03

Eurocup

Barcelona

62-94

-32

A01/04

ACB

Real Madrid

88-79

H07/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

92-74

+18

A13/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

93-65

+28

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

73-79

-6

A28/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

93-86

H04/05

ACB

17-18

22-15

22-20

19-21

21-29

22-16

15-31

29-21

19-19

20-13

16-13

13-11

15-16

13-10

15-11

25-26

21-25

17-19

14-29

10-21

22-19

30-19

22-21

14-20

23-12

24-26

23-12

22-24

25-18

19-21

26-7

23-19

14-26

20-11

21-19

18-23

17-20

33-19

22-24

21-23

157.1Avg total

80.4Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	81.3	76.8	158.2	+4.5	62%
Season at home (16)	86.9	76.2	163.1	+10.7	81%
Season away (16)	75.8	77.5	153.2	-1.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	76.7	157.1	+3.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	76.6	164.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	82.0	160.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (8)	71.6	79.1	150.8	-7.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	85.2	77.3	162.4	+7.9	68%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	21.4	40.8	-1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	20.3	41.1	+0.4	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	17.4	40.5	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.9	38.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.2	44.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.6	15.4	34.0	+3.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.8	18.6	40.5	+3.2	63%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Budivelnyk

#10

48-44

A20/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#18

43-45

-2

A24/03

ACB

Budivelnyk

#10

37-23

+14

H27/03

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

35-42

-7

H31/03

ACB

Murcia

#13

37-35

A07/04

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

30-38

-8

H13/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

#10

45-55

-10

A21/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

49-46

H28/04

ACB

Baskonia

35-47

-12

H01/05

ACB

Real Betis

#14

39-37

A04/05

ACB

81.0Avg total

39.8Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	39.1	78.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	40.9	80.9	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	44.6	84.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.7	40.7	78.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	41.4	79.0	-3.7	27%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.4	39.1	81.5	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

39-33

A16/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

43-45

-2

H20/03

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

39-32

H23/03

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

28-26

A26/03

Eurocup

Barcelona

38-44

-6

A01/04

ACB

Real Madrid

52-38

+14

H07/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

47-38

A13/04

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

44-39

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

34-37

-3

A28/04

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

50-39

+11

H04/05

ACB

78.5Avg total

41.4Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.9	77.5	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	36.1	80.9	+8.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	37.8	73.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.1	78.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.2	83.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	37.0	79.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.1	35.1	71.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.5	38.2	80.7	+4.3	63%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.6	39.4	+0.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	24.3	46.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	15.8	36.4	+4.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.9	39.9	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.9	21.5	37.4	-5.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.6	17.3	39.8	+5.3	84%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	23.3	24.3	47.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.4	40.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	22.4	40.2	-4.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.7	20.9	39.7	-2.2	32%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.3	79.5	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	38.9	81.8	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	37.8	77.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	39.5	82.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	45.0	48.7	93.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.6	36.9	78.5	+4.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.9	37.5	78.3	+3.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.1	79.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	39.4	79.9	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.5	44.0	79.5	-8.5	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.1	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	60-61
23/01/13	Bilbao v Valencia	91-76
06/01/13	Valencia v Bilbao	113-111 OT
22/04/12	Valencia v Bilbao	66-63
10/12/11	Bilbao v Valencia	85-74
22/05/11	Bilbao v Valencia	79-75
20/05/11	Valencia v Bilbao	72-79
30/01/11	Valencia v Bilbao	68-54
10/10/10	Bilbao v Valencia	77-70
10/04/10	Valencia v Bilbao	83-75

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/13	A	Real Betis	81-60
01/05/13	H	Baskonia	75-93
28/04/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	100-90
21/04/13	A	Tenerife	101-104
13/04/13	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	64-75
07/04/13	A	Murcia	80-77
31/03/13	H	Fuenlabrada	82-90
27/03/13	H	Budivelnyk	75-53
24/03/13	A	Manresa	79-82
20/03/13	A	Budivelnyk	93-83

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	93-86
28/04/13	A	Unicaja	73-79
20/04/13	H	Gipuzkoa	93-65
13/04/13	A	Joventut Badalona	92-74
07/04/13	H	Real Madrid	88-79
01/04/13	A	Barcelona	62-94
26/03/13	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	68-63
23/03/13	H	Gran Canaria	68-56
20/03/13	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	87-97
16/03/13	A	Obradoiro CAB	80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	59%
Home	WWLWL	75%
Away	WLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	59%	75%	44%
Points / game	82.1	83.2	81.0
Allowed / game	78.6	77.2	79.9
Point differential	+3.6	+6.0	+1.1
Avg total	160.7	160.5	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	67% (3)	25% (8)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Valencia

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	62%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	LWLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	62%	81%	44%
Points / game	81.3	86.9	75.8
Allowed / game	76.8	76.2	77.5
Point differential	+4.5	+10.7	-1.8
Avg total	158.2	163.1	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	60% (5)	43% (7)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	32	28	4	88%	87.5	76.0	+11.5
2	Baskonia	33	25	8	76%	82.5	78.7	+3.8
3	Barcelona	32	21	11	66%	79.6	71.8	+7.8
4	Valencia	32	20	12	62%	81.3	76.8	+4.5
5	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	33	20	13	61%	78.3	72.3	+6.0
6	Bilbao	32	19	13	59%	82.1	78.6	+3.6
7	Gran Canaria	33	18	15	55%	73.1	71.3	+1.8
8	Unicaja	33	18	15	55%	73.7	73.3	+0.4
9	Obradoiro CAB	33	17	16	52%	75.1	73.8	+1.3
10	Tenerife	33	16	17	48%	80.2	82.1	-1.9
11	Joventut Badalona	32	15	17	47%	77.4	80.6	-3.2
12	Estudiantes	33	15	18	45%	79.9	78.5	+1.4
13	Murcia	33	13	20	39%	79.3	84.2	-4.9
14	Baloncesto Valladolid	33	12	21	36%	78.2	83.6	-5.4
15	Real Betis	32	11	21	34%	71.5	76.7	-5.2
16	Fuenlabrada	33	11	22	33%	74.4	79.6	-5.2
17	Gipuzkoa	32	8	24	25%	72.9	80.0	-7.1
18	Manresa	32	6	26	19%	76.2	85.2	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	13	18	17	13	61
Valencia	16	22	13	21	72

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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