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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 82-67
22-14 28-16 17-21 15-16
Position#4
Record9-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game64.2
BMS Herlev W 🏆
Denmark
vs
Falcon W
Denmark
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game59.5
DenmarkDameligaen WKvindebasketligaen Women - Semi-finals· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2025-26
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · BMS Herlev W
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 64.2
61.8▼ 2.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 64.2
58.4▼ 5.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 43%
41%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 12.0
11.8▼ 0.2
🔥 Form · Falcon W
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.0
64.8▼ 8.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 60.3
53.2▼ 7.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 48%
44%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.7
15.2▼ 1.5
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A21/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H06/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A21/02
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H27/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A21/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
10-21
17-20
14-14
20-5
29-20
23-23
15-16
19-13
17-19
25-14
18-11
13-24
24-12
21-7
19-10
13-16
9-8
8-9
17-16
8-14
5-20
12-22
27-14
14-7
24-10
20-15
21-20
17-11
13-16
21-16
11-11
20-11
19-15
18-17
14-19
9-20
14-21
9-7
13-6
124.5Avg total
65.9Scored
58.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)64.264.2128.4+0.150%
Season at home (9)66.866.0132.8+0.856%
Season away (9)61.762.3124.0-0.744%
Last 10 (10)65.958.6124.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)61.858.4120.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)57.372.7129.9-15.411%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)72.660.3132.9+12.473%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm W
#6
W
98-44
98
44
+54
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A14/12
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A25/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A04/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A20/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H28/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H28/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
32-14
22-9
20-9
28-25
16-24
25-16
21-19
16-19
21-10
20-17
14-14
11-14
17-7
22-22
11-18
18-17
24-22
7-17
14-14
18-10
24-18
18-18
24-21
16-13
8-9
9-8
16-17
17-12
15-11
21-13
13-17
20-6
17-19
21-13
13-16
20-9
21-14
7-9
6-13
131.7Avg total
72.2Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.659.5132.1+13.188%
Season at home (9)69.356.0125.3+13.389%
Season away (7)76.764.0140.7+12.786%
Last 10 (10)72.259.5131.7+12.790%
Last 5 (5)64.853.2118.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)70.466.1136.6+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.361.6138.9+15.790%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Falcon W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H06/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A21/02
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
38-17
38
17
+21
H27/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H07/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A21/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A28/03
Dameligaen W
61.5Avg total
31.6Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.366.6-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.534.368.8+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)28.536.264.8-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.961.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.057.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.038.867.8-9.821%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)35.329.364.5+6.064%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm W
#6
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/12
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/01
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A20/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H28/03
Dameligaen W
66.8Avg total
38.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.530.670.1+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.928.467.2+10.588%-
Last 30 away (13)40.333.573.8+6.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.328.566.8+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)35.224.259.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.133.470.6+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.529.469.9+11.181%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 64.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.117.4
37.7%
40.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.14.8
25.1%
24.9%14.4
🏀 Free throws25.415.2
59.8%
64.7%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.218.8
42.5%
40.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.3
32.2%
24.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.111.8
61.8%
64.7%11.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
LWWWLLWWWL
Falcon W
WWWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+15.7
70.3
Offensive rating
79.8
64.1
Defensive rating
64.1
37.7%
Effective FG%
44.5%
35.9%
Opp. effective FG%
32.7%
22.5%
Turnover %
20.6%
43.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
25.1%
3-point %
32.2%
57.7%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence70.3 · 79.8Defence64.1 · 64.1Shooting37.7% · 44.5%3-point %25.1% · 32.2%Ball care22.5% · 20.6%Off. rebounds43.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BMS Herlev W wins
9
Falcon W wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Falcon W v BMS Herlev W54-45
15/02/26Falcon W v BMS Herlev W49-47
18/12/25Falcon W v BMS Herlev W71-60
25/10/25BMS Herlev W v Falcon W62-77
23/02/25Falcon W v BMS Herlev W96-65
21/12/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W67-91
26/10/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W58-48
21/09/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W81-86
23/03/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W68-57
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AFalcon W45-54
21/03/26AAmager W71-62
07/03/26HAmager W62-54
27/02/26HHorsholm W79-52
21/02/26AAabyhoj W52-70
15/02/26AFalcon W47-49
06/02/26HAmager W77-53
21/01/26AHorsholm W79-57
17/01/26HAmager W87-64
18/12/25AFalcon W60-71
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HBMS Herlev W54-45
28/02/26HAmager W71-54
20/02/26ASisu W66-53
15/02/26HBMS Herlev W49-47
04/02/26AHorsholm W84-67
25/01/26ASisu W63-70
17/01/26HAabyhoj W76-71 OT
18/12/25HBMS Herlev W71-60
14/12/25AAabyhoj W90-84
29/11/25HHorsholm W98-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game64.266.861.7
Allowed / game64.266.062.3
Point differential+0.1+0.8-0.7
Avg total128.4132.8124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %88%89%86%
Points / game72.669.376.7
Allowed / game59.556.064.0
Point differential+13.1+13.3+12.7
Avg total132.1125.3140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%44%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W1614288%72.659.5+13.1
2 Aabyhoj W1611569%71.264.9+6.3
3 Sisu W1811761%73.864.2+9.6
4 BMS Herlev W189950%64.264.2+0.1
5 Amager W1731418%59.771.2-11.5
6 Horsholm W1731418%63.880.7-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W2228171582
Falcon W1416211667
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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