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Boca Juniors vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 84-88
21-25 13-21 29-23 21-19
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeChampions League Americas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Aguada
17 Jan 2026
BOCA84
AGUA88
14 Oct 2022
BOCA69
AGUA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 76
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
66avg 76
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
71-83
71
83
-12
70avg 76
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 76
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 76
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
61-80
61
80
-19
49avg 76
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 76
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
69avg 76
A29/12
Liga A
Minas
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H15/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
16-27
22-15
15-17
18-12
20-17
18-21
22-24
20-24
24-19
13-24
14-16
22-10
22-14
14-16
13-21
32-7
25-24
30-26
29-26
24-21
19-13
19-14
26-23
19-15
18-19
14-19
10-27
18-23
19-17
16-20
17-20
16-23
21-33
22-20
25-24
21-13
25-23
27-18
19-23
159.5Avg total
80.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.376.0156.3+4.367%
Season at home (2)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
Season away (1)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.579.0159.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.081.6160.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)78.880.3159.1-1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.976.5162.5+9.473%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 86
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 86
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 86
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 86
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 86
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 86
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 86
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 86
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
95-87
95
87
+8
87avg 86
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
A16/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
21-24
13-19
14-19
23-26
19-24
19-16
20-14
16-23
27-26
30-23
28-28
19-22
28-24
25-23
20-14
25-33
20-32
15-17
17-12
20-28
29-23
26-25
23-23
17-16
21-24
15-28
19-21
20-22
173.8Avg total
87.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.386.7160.0-13.30%
Season at home (2)72.582.5155.0-10.00%
Season away (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)87.286.6173.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)88.892.8181.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.187.7170.8-4.631%
vs Similar (5)99.897.0196.8+2.880%
vs Weaker (12)93.484.8178.2+8.767%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Boca JuniorsAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A29/12
Liga A
Minas
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H15/01
Champions League Americas
79.6Avg total
42.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.280.2+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.837.479.2+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)42.138.981.0+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.679.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)39.938.778.6+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.537.582.9+8.091%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
Champions League Americas
92.2Avg total
46.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.690.4+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.243.791.9+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.445.689.0-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)46.845.492.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.249.096.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.245.788.9-2.538%-
vs Similar (5)50.845.696.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (12)46.543.189.6+3.475%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.7
52.5%
54.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.0
39.4%
32.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.711.5
68.9%
69.7%11.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
32.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
69.7%17.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WLLLWWWLWL
Aguada
LWLWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#11
+13.2
Net rating
+1.4
112.3
Offensive rating
110.5
99.1
Defensive rating
109.1
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.4%
3-point %
36.6%
69.7%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 110.5Defence99.1 · 109.1Shooting55.5% · 53.1%3-point %39.4% · 36.6%Ball care16.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boca Juniors wins
0
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Aguada v Boca Juniors71-88
15/10/22Boca Juniors v Aguada69-59
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HMinas92-77
29/12/25AFerro84-100
17/12/25HObera TC70-80
12/12/25HMinas61-80
11/12/25AAguada88-71
06/12/25HArgentino116-83
22/11/25AQuimsa71-61
20/11/25AOlimpico71-83
15/11/25HSan Lorenzo78-74
11/11/25HRegatas74-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26AMinas75-95
11/01/26HBigua95-87
08/01/26AMalvin72-89
21/12/25HNacional98-94
17/12/25AUrunday104-99
13/12/25HMinas74-77
11/12/25HBoca Juniors71-88
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.376.588.0
Allowed / game76.078.571.0
Point differential+4.3-2.0+17.0
Avg total156.3155.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.372.575.0
Allowed / game86.782.595.0
Point differential-13.3-10.0-20.0
Avg total160.0155.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional220100%75.067.0+8.0
2 Franca43175%101.078.5+22.5
3 Minas43175%82.275.5+6.8
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%87.887.2+0.5
5 Boca Juniors32167%80.376.0+4.3
6 Flamengo21150%73.577.5-4.0
7 Obras Sanitarias2020%75.579.5-4.0
8 Aguada3030%73.386.7-13.3
9 U. De Concepcion4040%72.895.8-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2113292184
Aguada2521231988
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