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Bayern vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 67-76
20-19 18-22 9-14 20-21
Position#15
Record2-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Fenerbahce
08 Apr 2027
BAY v FEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
BAY85
FEN76
10 Apr 2025
BAY77
FEN89
27 Oct 2023
BAY67
FEN76
06 Oct 2022
BAY62
FEN74
16 Nov 2021
BAY71
FEN63
30 Mar 2021
BAY68
FEN77
31 Jan 2019
BAY90
FEN86
19 Nov 2015
BAY67
FEN84
13 Nov 2014
BAY86
FEN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
59-98
59
98
-39
48avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-62
97
62
+35
99avg 73
A22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
11-27
16-16
13-27
19-28
29-17
25-15
11-15
32-15
163.3Avg total
83.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.578.0149.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)68.781.3150.0-12.733%
Last 10 (10)83.979.4163.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)80.875.8156.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.584.8154.2-15.20%
vs Similar (8)80.583.5164.0-3.025%
vs Weaker (17)82.773.0155.7+9.782%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
no box
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
95-58
95
58
+37
98avg 77
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
73avg 77
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 77
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 77
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
113-98
113
98
+15
113avg 77
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
83-69
83
69
+14
81avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
93avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
74-62
74
62
+12
71avg 77
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
22-27
17-29
14-25
24-17
17-21
20-23
21-19
30-17
21-13
33-16
11-12
19-23
19-12
24-19
14-22
22-20
16-25
15-22
26-17
9-22
24-17
20-19
21-19
34-28
24-16
27-33
28-21
27-9
16-19
24-17
16-24
16-28
26-27
30-15
29-16
22-18
16-17
18-15
18-12
167.6Avg total
87.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.878.5164.2+7.275%
Season at home (3)89.779.0168.7+10.7100%
Season away (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)87.580.1167.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.078.4167.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar (9)87.484.8172.2+2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.777.5167.2+12.387%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
BayernFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A22/10
BBL
83.4Avg total
42.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.679.8+2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.983.9+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.375.6-0.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.583.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.879.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.241.274.5-8.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.141.080.1-1.925%-
vs Weaker (17)43.237.180.2+6.153%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H17/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H19/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
44.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.083.2+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.738.684.2+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.682.1-1.229%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.084.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar (9)44.141.185.2+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.939.384.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.0
54.2%
53.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.517.3
84.4%
77.4%17.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.9
57.3%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.6
36.9%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.613.1
78.9%
77.4%13.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWLWWLWL
Fenerbahce
WWWWLLWWWL
#15
League position
#7
+5.6
Net rating
+12.5
114.0
Offensive rating
117.4
108.4
Defensive rating
104.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
36.9%
55.5%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 117.4Defence108.4 · 104.9Shooting52.7% · 56.5%3-point %33.9% · 36.9%Ball care19.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds37.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Fenerbahce v Bayern79-71
06/10/22Bayern v Fenerbahce62-74
04/04/22Fenerbahce v Bayern81-76
16/11/21Bayern v Fenerbahce71-63
30/03/21Bayern v Fenerbahce68-77
16/10/20Fenerbahce v Bayern71-75
31/01/19Bayern v Fenerbahce90-86 OT
01/11/18Fenerbahce v Bayern88-84
19/11/15Bayern v Fenerbahce67-84
16/10/15Fenerbahce v Bayern74-67
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ACrailsheim Merlins97-62
20/10/23ABarcelona59-98
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AGalatasaray74-62
19/10/23HLyon-Villeurbanne101-86
17/10/23HPanathinaikos83-69
15/10/23HBahcesehir Kol.113-98
13/10/23AValencia74-77
09/10/23AKarsiyaka79-84
06/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
01/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor95-58
24/09/23HNizhny Novgorod82-80
23/09/23HLokomotiv Kuban89-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game71.580.068.7
Allowed / game78.068.081.3
Point differential-6.5+12.0-12.7
Avg total149.5148.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game85.889.774.0
Allowed / game78.579.077.0
Point differential+7.2+10.7-3.0
Avg total164.2168.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Barcelona54180%84.469.8+14.6
3 Virtus Bologna54180%84.276.0+8.2
4 Valencia54180%76.470.8+5.6
5 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
6 Monaco53260%79.876.6+3.2
7 Olympiacos53260%76.474.2+2.2
8 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%82.283.0-0.8
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%81.886.0-4.2
10 Bayern42250%71.578.0-6.5
11 Partizan52340%86.886.8+0.0
12 Panathinaikos52340%80.281.8-1.6
13 Anadolu Efes52340%75.485.2-9.8
14 Olimpia Milano41325%75.077.8-2.8
15 Crvena zvezda51420%81.881.4+0.4
16 Alba Berlin51420%78.085.2-7.2
17 Baskonia51420%79.887.0-7.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne5050%77.891.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern201892067
Fenerbahce1922142176
← all games of the day
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