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Crailsheim Merlins vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-91
16-16 24-27 19-23 26-25
Position#14
Record7-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Position#2
Record17-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game79.5
GermanyBBLRound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin
13 Oct 2024
CME74
ABE75
12 May 2024
CME83
ABE103
14 Feb 2023
CME85
ABE91
20 Apr 2022
CME70
ABE78
20 Feb 2022
CME76
ABE86
09 Feb 2021
CME77
ABE101
08 Mar 2020
CME91
ABE82
06 Apr 2019
CME69
ABE105
10 Oct 2015
CME75
ABE80
19 Oct 2014
CME65
ABE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-24
30-30
13-33
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
176.8Avg total
86.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.791.3178.9-3.637%
Season at home (9)92.391.8184.1+0.644%
Season away (10)83.590.8174.3-7.330%
Last 10 (10)86.790.1176.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)81.290.0171.2-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.295.2179.5-11.012%
vs Similar (14)90.690.1180.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (7)84.378.6162.9+5.757%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 83
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 83
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 83
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 83
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 83
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 83
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 83
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
28-21
14-19
19-13
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
25-24
22-26
21-17
20-27
16-25
32-12
27-26
25-14
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
170.8Avg total
83.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)91.179.5170.6+11.694%
Season at home (9)89.376.7166.0+12.7100%
Season away (9)92.982.3175.2+10.689%
Last 10 (10)83.587.3170.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)82.692.6175.2-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.690.0168.6-11.417%
vs Similar (6)83.781.3165.0+2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.780.7175.3+14.092%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Crailsheim MerlinsAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
87.7Avg total
43.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.086.5+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.985.0+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.945.188.0-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.487.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.547.186.6-7.625%-
vs Similar (14)45.944.590.4+1.457%-
vs Weaker (7)43.936.079.9+7.986%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
86.6Avg total
42.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.442.986.3+0.465%-
Last 30 away (13)42.943.786.6-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.386.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.888.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.146.687.7-5.533%-
vs Similar (6)42.042.284.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.840.586.3+5.375%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.8
38.4%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
75.8%14.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.5
57.9%
54.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.2
34.8%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.3
74.7%
75.8%13.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLWWLWL
Alba Berlin
WLWLLWLWLW
#14
League position
#2
-3.4
Net rating
-4.6
114.3
Offensive rating
112.7
117.7
Defensive rating
117.3
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.4%
3-point %
34.8%
62.4%
Assist %
72.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 112.7Defence117.7 · 117.3Shooting55.7% · 55.2%3-point %38.4% · 34.8%Ball care16.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 35.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72
11/01/23AGaziantep87-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
28/01/23HCrailsheim Merlins100-77
26/01/23HValencia88-94
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
15/01/23HBonn81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeLLWWL44%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game87.792.383.5
Allowed / game91.391.890.8
Point differential-3.6+0.6-7.3
Avg total178.9184.1174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game91.189.392.9
Allowed / game79.576.782.3
Point differential+11.6+12.7+10.6
Avg total170.6166.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1817194%91.179.5+11.6
2 Bonn1917289%89.574.6+14.9
3 Bayern2014670%82.576.9+5.5
4 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.885.0+3.8
5 Oldenburg1912763%84.982.3+2.7
6 Gottingen1912763%87.185.3+1.8
7 Chemnitz1810856%84.582.6+1.9
8 Ulm20101050%87.886.8+1.1
9 Wurzburg20101050%84.384.3+0.1
10 Bamberg21101148%86.986.1+0.8
11 Rostock2091145%84.589.5-4.9
12 Syntainics MBC1981142%83.888.0-4.2
13 Hamburg2181338%82.885.6-2.8
14 Crailsheim Merlins1971237%87.791.3-3.6
15 Heidelberg2071335%87.091.2-4.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.385.2-5.9
17 Frankfurt2051525%79.787.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth2031715%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1624192685
Alba Berlin1627232591
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