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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-92
19-25 31-23 24-31 23-13
Position#28
Record7-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game117.2
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
Position#1
Record19-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game107.9
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
91-99
91
99
-8
75avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
120-127
120
127
-7
111avg 102
H21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-122
128
122
+6
128avg 102
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
118-105
118
105
+13
118avg 102
H27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-129
113
129
-16
103avg 102
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
100-120
100
120
-20
84avg 102
A01/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
122-121
122
121
+1
112avg 102
A03/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
101-120
101
120
-19
87avg 102
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
132-123 OT
132
123
+9
118avg 102
H06/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
109-118
109
118
-9
94avg 102
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
25-35
20-26
21-28
28-40
37-21
29-36
26-30
38-33
31-39
25-32
34-18
23-22
42-22
30-29
23-32
39-42
29-28
23-36
22-23
24-44
23-30
25-22
28-24
27-36
30-28
29-32
36-25
23-39
29-29
28-26
21-26
27-30
29-25
34-29
18-24
29-24
25-27
23-39
32-28
231.8Avg total
113.4Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)110.8117.2228.0-6.428%
Season at home (9)114.7116.0230.7-1.344%
Season away (16)108.6117.9226.5-9.219%
Last 10 (10)113.4118.4231.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)112.8120.4233.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)111.7118.2229.9-6.526%
vs Similar (3)112.3121.7234.0-9.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
119-111
119
111
+8
117avg 106
H22/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-118
113
118
-5
105avg 106
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
117-102
117
102
+15
113avg 106
H26/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
124-115
124
115
+9
121avg 106
H28/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
109-103
109
103
+6
102avg 106
A01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
129-133
129
133
-4
123avg 106
H03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
105-96
105
96
+9
101avg 106
A03/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
109-102
109
102
+7
106avg 106
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
126-113
126
113
+13
124avg 106
H08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 106
A10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
33-29
30-18
26-32
33-32
29-29
21-29
30-28
25-30
27-33
35-10
30-29
41-33
32-29
31-34
20-19
22-20
25-25
27-26
35-32
31-33
27-33
39-35
32-32
30-24
26-21
28-28
21-23
30-21
26-24
32-27
21-30
34-29
34-32
29-33
29-19
32-33
20-15
21-36
33-21
225.5Avg total
115.7Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)112.8107.9220.7+5.076%
Season at home (15)117.2108.7225.9+8.580%
Season away (10)106.3106.6212.9-0.370%
Last 10 (10)115.7109.8225.5+5.980%
Last 5 (5)115.0109.8224.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)110.5109.3219.8+1.265%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)111.0103.4214.4+7.686%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A01/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A03/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H06/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A09/12
NBA
118.7Avg total
58.3Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.661.1117.7-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)59.559.0118.5+0.558%-
Last 30 away (18)54.762.4117.2-7.728%-
Last 10 (10)58.360.4118.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.262.4115.6-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)56.561.3117.8-4.837%-
vs Similar (3)58.059.0117.0-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H26/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H28/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H03/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A03/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/12
NBA
114.4Avg total
58.7Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.553.5109.0+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.555.9113.4+1.667%-
Last 30 away (12)52.550.0102.5+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)58.755.7114.4+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)58.053.0111.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)54.854.5109.3+0.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)57.750.3108.0+7.486%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.728.4
52.9%
54.5%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.4
32.7%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws27.922.4
80.3%
78.1%22.4
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.8
56.2%
54.5%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.0
37.1%
35.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLWLLWWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWWLW
#28
League position
#1
-4.9
Net rating
+5.9
110.8
Offensive rating
115.3
115.7
Defensive rating
109.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.7%
3-point %
37.1%
52.8%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 115.3Defence115.7 · 109.4Shooting51.4% · 56.0%3-point %32.7% · 37.1%Ball care16.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds32.4% · 25.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets125-105
23/12/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets126-106
11/12/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks114-123
08/05/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets141-133
30/04/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks143-136
03/08/20Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks120-116
25/10/19Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks111-117
27/03/19Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets108-94
10/01/19Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks109-116
08/03/18Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets99-110
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs109-118
06/12/22HPhiladelphia 76ers132-123 OT
04/12/22AGolden State Warriors101-120
03/12/22APhoenix Suns122-121
01/12/22ADenver Nuggets100-120
29/11/22ADenver Nuggets113-129
27/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder118-105
26/11/22HAtlanta Hawks128-122
21/11/22HGolden State Warriors120-127
19/11/22HIndiana Pacers91-99
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22ADallas Mavericks106-105
08/12/22HSacramento Kings126-113
06/12/22AOrlando Magic109-102
03/12/22ACharlotte Hornets105-96
03/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers129-133
01/12/22ANew York Knicks109-103
28/11/22HDallas Mavericks124-115
26/11/22HCleveland Cavaliers117-102
24/11/22HChicago Bulls113-118
22/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers119-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL28%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayLLWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25916
Win %28%44%19%
Points / game110.8114.7108.6
Allowed / game117.2116.0117.9
Point differential-6.4-1.3-9.2
Avg total228.0230.7226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%11%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %76%80%70%
Points / game112.8117.2106.3
Allowed / game107.9108.7106.6
Point differential+5.0+8.5-0.3
Avg total220.7225.9212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2721678%120.3112.4+7.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks2519676%112.8107.9+5.0
3 New Orleans Pelicans2618869%117.6110.6+7.0
4 Memphis Grizzlies2617965%115.0112.0+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers27171063%110.9104.8+6.0
6 Denver Nuggets26161062%115.0113.8+1.2
7 Phoenix Suns27161159%116.1111.3+4.8
8 Brooklyn Nets28161257%112.5111.3+1.2
9 Sacramento Kings25141156%118.0115.0+3.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers26141254%110.7108.4+2.3
11 Portland Trail Blazers26141254%111.2111.6-0.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers28151354%107.7109.2-1.5
13 Golden State Warriors27141352%117.6116.1+1.5
14 New York Knicks27141352%113.8112.9+0.9
15 Atlanta Hawks27141352%113.5114.1-0.6
16 Indiana Pacers27141352%115.9116.7-0.8
17 Utah Jazz29151452%117.3115.9+1.4
18 Dallas Mavericks26131350%111.5110.0+1.6
19 Minnesota Timberwolves26131350%115.4116.1-0.7
20 Toronto Raptors27131448%110.9110.0+0.9
21 Miami Heat27121544%108.6110.3-1.7
22 Chicago Bulls26111542%113.3113.3+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers26111542%114.8116.3-1.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder26111542%115.8117.6-1.7
25 Washington Wizards27111641%110.8113.0-2.1
26 San Antonio Spurs2681831%110.0120.4-10.4
27 Orlando Magic2882029%108.2113.3-5.1
28 Houston Rockets2571828%110.8117.2-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets2772026%109.4116.2-6.8
30 Detroit Pistons2972224%109.9117.0-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets1931242397
Milwaukee Bucks2523311392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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