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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 139-118
36-28 26-33 38-25 39-32
Position#3
Record23-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game112.2
vs
Position#1
Record22-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Nov 2026
BOS109
MIL102
01 Feb 2026
BOS107
MIL79
06 Dec 2024
BOS111
MIL105
28 Oct 2024
BOS119
MIL108
20 Mar 2024
BOS122
MIL119
22 Nov 2023
BOS119
MIL116
25 Dec 2022
BOS139
MIL118
15 May 2022
BOS109
MIL81
11 May 2022
BOS107
MIL110
03 May 2022
BOS109
MIL86
01 May 2022
BOS89
MIL101
13 Dec 2021
BOS117
MIL103
12 Nov 2021
BOS122
MIL113
23 Dec 2020
BOS122
MIL121
30 Oct 2019
BOS116
MIL105
06 May 2019
BOS101
MIL113
03 May 2019
BOS116
MIL123
21 Dec 2018
BOS107
MIL120
01 Nov 2018
BOS117
MIL113
28 Apr 2018
BOS112
MIL96
24 Apr 2018
BOS92
MIL87
17 Apr 2018
BOS120
MIL106
15 Apr 2018
BOS113
MIL107
04 Dec 2017
BOS111
MIL100
18 Oct 2017
BOS100
MIL108
12 Apr 2017
BOS112
MIL94
29 Mar 2017
BOS100
MIL103
08 Apr 2016
BOS124
MIL109
25 Feb 2016
BOS112
MIL107
03 Apr 2015
BOS101
MIL110
03 Dec 2013
BOS108
MIL100
01 Nov 2013
BOS98
MIL105
21 Dec 2012
BOS94
MIL99
02 Nov 2012
BOS88
MIL99
26 Apr 2012
BOS87
MIL74
29 Feb 2012
BOS102
MIL96
13 Mar 2011
BOS87
MIL56
03 Nov 2010
BOS105
MIL102
14 Apr 2010
BOS95
MIL106
08 Dec 2009
BOS98
MIL89
07 Nov 2008
BOS101
MIL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 109
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
112avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-98
125
98
+27
120avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
107-123
107
123
-16
90avg 109
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
93-113
93
113
-20
87avg 109
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
110avg 109
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-117
109
117
-8
93avg 109
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
112-117
112
117
-5
104avg 109
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
121-109
121
109
+12
112avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
27-23
13-19
28-23
27-25
29-37
35-18
25-30
31-21
38-21
35-23
21-33
25-33
38-35
20-27
24-28
25-29
22-27
25-32
21-25
37-24
28-26
23-32
22-28
28-32
26-30
27-26
28-29
23-26
18-24
30-18
21-27
22-42
21-29
42-29
27-17
22-29
32-27
34-30
33-23
219.2Avg total
110.0Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)118.1112.2230.3+5.870%
Season at home (17)121.8113.5235.2+8.371%
Season away (16)114.2110.9225.1+3.269%
Last 10 (10)110.0109.2219.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)111.2111.2222.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)121.8114.3236.2+7.567%
vs Weaker (24)116.8111.5228.3+5.267%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
109-102
109
102
+7
106avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
126-113
126
113
+13
124avg 107
H08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 107
A10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
92-97
92
97
-5
79avg 107
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-111
128
111
+17
129avg 107
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
101-142
101
142
-41
80avg 107
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 107
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 107
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-118
100
118
-18
88avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
26-24
32-27
21-30
34-29
34-32
29-33
29-19
32-33
20-15
21-36
33-21
25-19
23-31
31-24
13-23
38-27
26-25
31-25
33-34
18-33
23-37
30-47
30-25
27-22
29-25
36-36
31-14
30-27
36-34
34-29
28-29
20-35
22-25
35-33
29-21
29-36
18-24
28-25
25-33
223.7Avg total
111.9Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)112.5109.2221.7+3.269%
Season at home (17)118.2108.2226.4+10.082%
Season away (15)106.0110.4216.4-4.453%
Last 10 (10)111.9111.8223.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)111.6118.0229.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.4113.1227.5+1.364%
vs Weaker (8)108.4101.6210.0+6.875%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
Boston CelticsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
69-42
69
42
+27
A08/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H18/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
43-71
43
71
-28
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H24/12
NBA
112.1Avg total
55.4Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.057.1118.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.157.5119.6+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)59.956.6116.5+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)55.456.7112.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)51.457.8109.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)65.558.5124.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)59.956.8116.7+3.254%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-70
41
70
-29
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/12
NBA
109.4Avg total
54.0Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.4111.6+0.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.456.7116.1+2.875%-
Last 30 away (14)52.653.9106.5-1.257%-
Last 10 (10)54.055.4109.4-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.459.6110.0-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.757.3114.0-0.664%-
vs Weaker (8)55.150.1105.2+5.075%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.1
53.6%
54.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.613.3
31.2%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.817.9
78.5%
78.1%17.9
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.027.6
55.2%
54.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.8
34.4%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.618.3
77.5%
78.1%18.3
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLLLWLLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+0.8
Net rating
+0.1
107.3
Offensive rating
111.1
106.5
Defensive rating
111.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
34.4%
60.4%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 111.1Defence106.5 · 111.0Shooting50.4% · 53.7%3-point %31.2% · 34.4%Ball care13.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves121-109
22/12/22HIndiana Pacers112-117
18/12/22HOrlando Magic92-95
17/12/22HOrlando Magic109-117
14/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers122-118 OT
13/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers93-113
11/12/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
08/12/22APhoenix Suns125-98
06/12/22AToronto Raptors116-110
04/12/22ABrooklyn Nets103-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22ABrooklyn Nets100-118
22/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers106-114
20/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-119
18/12/22HUtah Jazz123-97
16/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies101-142
14/12/22HGolden State Warriors128-111
12/12/22AHouston Rockets92-97
10/12/22ADallas Mavericks106-105
08/12/22HSacramento Kings126-113
06/12/22AOrlando Magic109-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW70%
HomeLLLLW71%
AwayWWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %70%71%69%
Points / game118.1121.8114.2
Allowed / game112.2113.5110.9
Point differential+5.8+8.3+3.2
Avg total230.3235.2225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL69%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %69%82%53%
Points / game112.5118.2106.0
Allowed / game109.2108.2110.4
Point differential+3.2+10.0-4.4
Avg total221.7226.4216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%59%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics33231070%118.1112.2+5.8
2 Milwaukee Bucks32221069%112.5109.2+3.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers34221265%110.9104.9+6.0
4 Memphis Grizzlies31201165%115.7110.9+4.8
5 Denver Nuggets31201165%115.6113.7+1.8
6 Brooklyn Nets33211264%114.1111.1+3.0
7 New Orleans Pelicans32201262%117.9113.0+4.9
8 Philadelphia 76ers32201262%111.7107.7+4.0
9 Phoenix Suns33191458%115.2111.1+4.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%107.8107.9-0.1
11 Sacramento Kings31171455%118.1116.2+1.9
12 Utah Jazz35191654%117.0115.9+1.1
13 New York Knicks34181653%114.4112.1+2.4
14 Dallas Mavericks34181653%111.4109.5+1.8
15 Portland Trail Blazers33171652%112.0112.0+0.0
16 Atlanta Hawks33171652%114.6114.9-0.3
17 Indiana Pacers33171652%114.6115.2-0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves33161748%114.8115.7-0.9
19 Miami Heat33161748%108.0109.2-1.2
20 Toronto Raptors33151845%111.4110.8+0.5
21 Golden State Warriors33151845%116.5117.9-1.4
22 Chicago Bulls32141844%113.2114.5-1.3
23 Oklahoma City Thunder33141942%115.4116.8-1.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers33132039%115.7118.0-2.3
25 Washington Wizards34132138%111.2113.7-2.5
26 Orlando Magic34132138%110.3113.1-2.9
27 San Antonio Spurs32102231%110.6120.2-9.5
28 Houston Rockets3292328%109.4115.3-5.8
29 Charlotte Hornets3392427%111.3118.1-6.8
30 Detroit Pistons3582723%110.6118.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics36263839139
Milwaukee Bucks28332532118
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