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Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 132-125
31-34 35-36 35-22 31-33
Position#16
Record18-19
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#24
Record19-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors
14 Feb 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
BOS115
TOR101
09 Jan 2026
BOS125
TOR117
31 Dec 2024
BOS125
TOR71
16 Nov 2024
BOS126
TOR123
29 Dec 2023
BOS120
TOR118
11 Nov 2023
BOS117
TOR94
07 Apr 2023
BOS121
TOR102
05 Apr 2023
BOS97
TOR93
10 Nov 2021
BOS104
TOR88
22 Oct 2021
BOS83
TOR115
04 Mar 2021
BOS132
TOR125
11 Feb 2021
BOS120
TOR106
09 Sep 2020
BOS122
TOR125
05 Sep 2020
BOS93
TOR100
03 Sep 2020
BOS103
TOR104
28 Dec 2019
BOS97
TOR113
25 Oct 2019
BOS112
TOR106
16 Jan 2019
BOS117
TOR108
16 Nov 2018
BOS123
TOR116
31 Mar 2018
BOS110
TOR99
12 Nov 2017
BOS95
TOR94
01 Feb 2017
BOS109
TOR104
09 Dec 2016
BOS94
TOR101
23 Mar 2016
BOS91
TOR79
30 Oct 2015
BOS103
TOR113
14 Apr 2015
BOS95
TOR93
05 Nov 2014
BOS107
TOR110
26 Mar 2014
BOS90
TOR99
15 Jan 2014
BOS88
TOR83
13 Mar 2013
BOS112
TOR88
17 Nov 2012
BOS107
TOR89
01 Feb 2012
BOS100
TOR64
18 Jan 2012
BOS96
TOR73
21 Dec 2011
BOS81
TOR73
07 Jan 2011
BOS122
TOR102
26 Nov 2010
BOS110
TOR101
02 Jan 2010
BOS103
TOR96
27 Nov 2009
BOS116
TOR103
12 Jan 2009
BOS115
TOR109
10 Nov 2008
BOS94
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
91-104
91
104
-13
71avg 101
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 101
H17/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 101
H18/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
121-109
121
109
+12
117avg 101
H20/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
99avg 101
A21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
107-110
107
110
-3
98avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
112-127
112
127
-15
93avg 101
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-112
118
112
+6
115avg 101
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
111-110
111
110
+1
105avg 101
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
117-112
117
112
+5
110avg 101
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
21-26
24-34
24-15
30-26
29-28
27-21
26-24
35-33
21-29
25-28
33-32
33-22
33-19
32-32
23-36
30-28
33-19
24-27
21-34
31-34
25-21
20-25
31-30
27-40
22-32
29-27
34-28
32-31
29-29
31-24
26-28
33-28
27-27
19-21
32-34
35-32
27-31
26-26
29-23
224.3Avg total
111.8Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)110.2110.4220.6-0.249%
Season at home (17)111.6108.8220.5+2.865%
Season away (20)109.0111.8220.7-2.835%
Last 10 (10)111.8112.5224.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)113.0114.2227.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.0114.7223.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)109.8109.2219.0+0.656%
vs Weaker (6)115.5106.7222.2+8.850%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
106-120
106
120
-14
97avg 103
A12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
112-116
112
116
-4
97avg 103
H15/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
124-113
124
113
+11
116avg 103
A17/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
110-96
110
96
+14
107avg 103
A19/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
86-81
86
81
+5
73avg 103
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
110-103
110
103
+7
106avg 103
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
102-109
102
109
-7
91avg 103
H24/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
108-116
108
116
-8
107avg 103
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
122-111
122
111
+11
120avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
105-129
105
129
-24
92avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
27-32
24-22
26-32
26-27
32-27
25-37
29-25
33-33
31-31
30-27
30-22
33-26
25-15
27-31
25-24
28-15
17-20
13-29
28-17
28-24
24-31
31-29
27-19
18-37
24-18
23-24
37-30
35-32
21-34
29-26
23-24
30-31
37-28
28-21
27-31
37-43
23-26
20-29
25-31
217.9Avg total
108.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.4110.8223.2+1.650%
Season at home (17)109.5109.2218.7+0.447%
Season away (21)114.7112.1226.8+2.652%
Last 10 (10)108.5109.4217.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)109.4113.6223.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)113.1110.9224.0+2.357%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.0114.2229.2+0.844%
vs Weaker (5)111.6103.6215.2+8.080%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H17/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H18/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H20/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A21/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/03
NBA
113.9Avg total
57.5Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.453.6108.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.853.2112.0+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)52.753.9106.6-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)57.556.4113.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)57.661.0118.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.755.3109.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.753.2108.9+2.461%-
vs Weaker (6)56.252.8109.0+3.350%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H15/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A17/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A19/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H22/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H24/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H04/03
NBA
112.2Avg total
55.8Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.658.5117.1+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.657.1113.7-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)60.259.8120.1+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)55.856.4112.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)55.460.8116.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.957.0112.9-1.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)59.761.4121.1-1.739%-
vs Weaker (5)58.450.4108.8+8.0100%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.929.6
53.9%
52.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.3
33.8%
36.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.918.7
78.2%
77.7%18.7
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.124.9
52.9%
52.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.3
35.8%
36.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.118.8
85.1%
77.7%18.8
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLLLWLWL
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWWWLL
#16
League position
#24
-0.7
Net rating
-0.9
111.1
Offensive rating
108.8
111.8
Defensive rating
109.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
16.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.8%
3-point %
35.8%
54.5%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 108.8Defence111.8 · 109.7Shooting52.7% · 53.3%3-point %33.8% · 35.8%Ball care13.5% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 16.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers117-112
01/03/21HWashington Wizards111-110
27/02/21HIndiana Pacers118-112
25/02/21AAtlanta Hawks112-127
24/02/21ADallas Mavericks107-110
21/02/21ANew Orleans Pelicans115-120 OT
20/02/21HAtlanta Hawks121-109
18/02/21HAtlanta Hawks114-122
17/02/21HDenver Nuggets112-99
14/02/21AWashington Wizards91-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21HDetroit Pistons105-129
27/02/21HHouston Rockets122-111
25/02/21AMiami Heat108-116
24/02/21HPhiladelphia 76ers102-109
22/02/21HPhiladelphia 76ers110-103
20/02/21AMinnesota Timberwolves86-81
19/02/21AMilwaukee Bucks110-96
17/02/21AMilwaukee Bucks124-113
15/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves112-116
12/02/21ABoston Celtics106-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW49%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %49%65%35%
Points / game110.2111.6109.0
Allowed / game110.4108.8111.8
Point differential-0.2+2.8-2.8
Avg total220.6220.5220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)75% (4)45% (11)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWLWL47%
AwayLWWWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %50%47%52%
Points / game112.4109.5114.7
Allowed / game110.8109.2112.1
Point differential+1.6+0.4+2.6
Avg total223.2218.7226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3930977%116.7107.3+9.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers38261268%114.4110.7+3.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers41281368%111.3105.9+5.5
4 Brooklyn Nets39261367%120.8115.4+5.5
5 Phoenix Suns38231561%112.4108.1+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers40241660%113.5109.6+3.9
7 Denver Nuggets38221658%116.3109.9+6.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks38211755%118.2113.3+4.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers38211755%113.4115.3-1.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies35191654%112.4110.4+2.0
11 Dallas Mavericks37201754%112.6112.5+0.2
12 Golden State Warriors39211854%113.6112.3+1.3
13 San Antonio Spurs34181653%110.6111.9-1.3
14 New York Knicks40211952%104.2103.0+1.2
15 Toronto Raptors38191950%112.4110.8+1.6
16 Chicago Bulls38191950%114.4114.2+0.2
17 Boston Celtics37181949%110.2110.4-0.2
18 Miami Heat37181949%106.8108.9-2.1
19 Charlotte Hornets39182146%112.7113.3-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans37172046%116.4115.5+0.8
21 Atlanta Hawks40182245%112.6112.7-0.0
22 Indiana Pacers37162143%112.5112.5-0.0
23 Sacramento Kings39162341%114.2119.7-5.5
24 Cleveland Cavaliers40162440%104.1111.6-7.5
25 Oklahoma City Thunder38152339%106.1111.7-5.6
26 Washington Wizards36142239%113.4117.9-4.6
27 Orlando Magic40152538%106.5112.7-6.2
28 Houston Rockets38142437%108.2111.8-3.6
29 Detroit Pistons39122731%106.6109.7-3.1
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3983121%108.3117.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics31353531132
Toronto Raptors34362233125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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