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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-99
30-26 29-28 27-21 26-24
Position#16
Record13-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#6
Record17-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
06 Oct 2024
BOS130
DEN104
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
106-110
106
110
-4
A28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
111-107
111
107
+4
A03/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
119-115
119
115
+4
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
108-122
108
122
-14
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
120-106
120
106
+14
H12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
102-108
102
108
-6
H13/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
17-36
37-21
22-28
24-28
25-24
29-19
17-25
24-35
28-17
34-33
25-22
26-22
25-30
31-29
29-35
21-33
30-29
38-20
30-33
19-27
30-25
19-24
23-24
27-24
20-24
32-42
29-32
34-29
32-27
22-24
32-26
23-27
29-27
20-28
30-26
22-29
21-26
24-34
24-15
213.8Avg total
105.4Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)108.9109.4218.4-0.546%
Season at home (11)109.5107.8217.4+1.755%
Season away (17)108.5110.5219.0-1.941%
Last 10 (10)105.4108.4213.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)102.4108.0210.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.7115.7220.3-11.022%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.9107.7217.7+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)115.5106.7222.2+8.850%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
221.8Avg total
113.4Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)116.0109.8225.8+6.259%
Season at home (16)117.6109.0226.6+8.662%
Season away (13)113.9110.8224.7+3.254%
Last 10 (10)113.4108.4221.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)115.6107.8223.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)107.0117.0224.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.2110.4225.7+4.856%
vs Weaker (11)117.2108.7225.9+8.564%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A03/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A06/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H13/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A14/02
NBA
105.1Avg total
50.7Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.252.9107.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.752.2108.8+4.558%-
Last 30 away (18)52.553.3105.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)50.754.4105.1-3.710%-
Last 5 (5)51.453.0104.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.854.6106.3-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.851.9106.7+2.953%-
vs Weaker (6)56.252.8109.0+3.350%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
113.2Avg total
61.1Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.454.9115.3+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.655.0117.6+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)57.954.8112.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)61.152.1113.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.8112.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.061.0112.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)62.155.1117.2+7.172%-
vs Weaker (11)58.554.1112.5+4.455%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.725.7
47.0%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.3
37.3%
36.6%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
77.7%16.9
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.728.0
54.2%
52.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.914.2
39.6%
36.6%42.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
77.7%14.8
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LLWLLWLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLLWLWW
#16
League position
#6
-3.3
Net rating
+5.5
107.5
Offensive rating
115.7
110.7
Defensive rating
110.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.0%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.3%
3-point %
39.6%
52.6%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 115.7Defence110.7 · 110.2Shooting50.3% · 56.3%3-point %37.3% · 39.6%Ball care11.9% · 12.0%Off. rebounds24.3% · 22.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21AWashington Wizards91-104
13/02/21HDetroit Pistons102-108
12/02/21HToronto Raptors120-106
10/02/21AUtah Jazz108-122
07/02/21APhoenix Suns91-100
06/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers119-115
04/02/21ASacramento Kings111-116
03/02/21AGolden State Warriors111-107
31/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers95-96
28/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs106-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeLWLWL55%
AwayLWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281117
Win %46%55%41%
Points / game108.9109.5108.5
Allowed / game109.4107.8110.5
Point differential-0.5+1.7-1.9
Avg total218.4217.4219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (2)56% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%62%54%
Points / game116.0117.6113.9
Allowed / game109.8109.0110.8
Point differential+6.2+8.6+3.2
Avg total225.8226.6224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%12%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3126584%115.9105.8+10.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers3225778%112.7105.3+7.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers30201067%114.2111.1+3.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers32211166%114.3108.9+5.4
5 Brooklyn Nets31191261%121.1116.7+4.4
6 Denver Nuggets29171259%116.0109.8+6.2
7 Phoenix Suns30171357%109.9108.1+1.8
8 Portland Trail Blazers30171357%114.2115.8-1.6
9 Golden State Warriors31171455%114.1112.4+1.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies26141254%112.4110.6+1.8
11 Milwaukee Bucks30161453%119.6113.6+6.0
12 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
13 New York Knicks33171652%103.5101.9+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
15 Toronto Raptors30141647%113.4111.7+1.7
16 Chicago Bulls30141647%114.2114.6-0.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans28131546%113.7113.3+0.4
18 Boston Celtics28131546%108.9109.4-0.5
19 Indiana Pacers31141745%112.0111.4+0.6
20 Houston Rockets31141745%109.8110.0-0.2
21 Sacramento Kings31141745%113.4118.7-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets32141844%111.4112.0-0.7
23 Atlanta Hawks31131842%112.8113.3-0.5
24 Miami Heat29121741%106.5110.1-3.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder29121741%107.8113.1-5.4
26 Orlando Magic32122038%106.1112.5-6.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers33122136%103.4112.3-8.9
28 Detroit Pistons31102132%107.0110.2-3.2
29 Washington Wizards2891932%111.8117.5-5.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3082227%108.7116.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics30292726112
Denver Nuggets2628212499
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