PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 121-102
34-16 34-24 27-33 26-29
Position#3
Record55-25
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#18
Record40-40
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors
14 Feb 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
BOS115
TOR101
09 Jan 2026
BOS125
TOR117
31 Dec 2024
BOS125
TOR71
16 Nov 2024
BOS126
TOR123
29 Dec 2023
BOS120
TOR118
11 Nov 2023
BOS117
TOR94
07 Apr 2023
BOS121
TOR102
05 Apr 2023
BOS97
TOR93
10 Nov 2021
BOS104
TOR88
22 Oct 2021
BOS83
TOR115
04 Mar 2021
BOS132
TOR125
11 Feb 2021
BOS120
TOR106
09 Sep 2020
BOS122
TOR125
05 Sep 2020
BOS93
TOR100
03 Sep 2020
BOS103
TOR104
28 Dec 2019
BOS97
TOR113
25 Oct 2019
BOS112
TOR106
16 Jan 2019
BOS117
TOR108
16 Nov 2018
BOS123
TOR116
31 Mar 2018
BOS110
TOR99
12 Nov 2017
BOS95
TOR94
01 Feb 2017
BOS109
TOR104
09 Dec 2016
BOS94
TOR101
23 Mar 2016
BOS91
TOR79
30 Oct 2015
BOS103
TOR113
14 Apr 2015
BOS95
TOR93
05 Nov 2014
BOS107
TOR110
26 Mar 2014
BOS90
TOR99
15 Jan 2014
BOS88
TOR83
13 Mar 2013
BOS112
TOR88
17 Nov 2012
BOS107
TOR89
01 Feb 2012
BOS100
TOR64
18 Jan 2012
BOS96
TOR73
21 Dec 2011
BOS81
TOR73
07 Jan 2011
BOS122
TOR102
26 Nov 2010
BOS110
TOR101
02 Jan 2010
BOS103
TOR96
27 Nov 2009
BOS116
TOR103
12 Jan 2009
BOS115
TOR109
10 Nov 2008
BOS94
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
126-112
126
112
+14
125avg 110
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 110
A19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
132-109
132
109
+23
129avg 110
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
120-95
120
95
+25
115avg 110
H24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
137-93
137
93
+44
142avg 110
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
111-130
111
130
-19
103avg 110
A28/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
140-99
140
99
+41
138avg 110
A30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
122-114
122
114
+8
111avg 110
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
91avg 110
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
97-93
97
93
+4
85avg 110
H05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
31-24
26-22
37-42
34-24
30-33
27-31
26-30
30-32
30-22
40-31
32-24
34-32
26-23
32-21
28-19
30-32
38-26
28-19
41-16
23-29
28-35
27-35
33-31
34-26
41-21
39-27
26-25
27-29
30-22
36-27
29-36
22-28
24-25
21-19
34-31
31-28
25-16
23-28
18-21
226.9Avg total
120.3Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)117.9111.5229.4+6.469%
Season at home (39)120.5110.6231.1+9.977%
Season away (41)115.4112.4227.7+3.061%
Last 10 (10)120.3106.6226.9+13.770%
Last 5 (5)114.2107.8222.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)117.0111.6228.6+5.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)119.1109.8228.8+9.374%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-107
122
107
+15
115avg 101
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
111-118
111
118
-7
96avg 101
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-118
114
118
-4
98avg 101
H22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-97
118
97
+21
108avg 101
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 101
H26/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 101
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
110-117
110
117
-7
101avg 101
A31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
128-108
128
108
+20
127avg 101
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
120-100
120
100
+20
112avg 101
A04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
82avg 101
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
34-32
28-27
28-22
29-33
27-25
39-31
16-29
26-36
26-22
26-25
36-35
38-26
34-26
20-21
26-24
37-21
26-25
24-38
27-20
24-23
29-24
31-20
22-25
30-31
27-46
29-22
24-18
35-25
32-27
34-37
27-19
25-29
36-20
33-26
26-25
28-31
16-25
28-23
21-18
219.4Avg total
113.6Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)112.9111.3224.2+1.550%
Season at home (40)114.2109.8224.1+4.465%
Season away (40)111.6112.8224.4-1.235%
Last 10 (10)113.6105.8219.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)111.4102.8214.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)93.097.0190.0-4.00%
vs Similar (20)112.8112.2225.0+0.650%
vs Weaker (9)116.2105.1221.3+11.189%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A28/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H05/04
NBA
113.1Avg total
60.0Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.853.8113.5+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.651.8112.4+8.887%-
Last 30 away (15)58.955.7114.7+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.1113.1+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)57.051.8108.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)58.554.5113.0+4.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)60.553.4113.8+7.179%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H22/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H24/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H26/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H28/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A05/04
NBA
114.4Avg total
59.1Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.455.7113.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.753.9113.6+5.877%-
Last 30 away (17)55.657.1112.7-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)59.155.3114.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)56.456.2112.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (20)57.758.1115.8-0.440%-
vs Weaker (9)58.250.3108.6+7.978%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.727.5
58.9%
54.5%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.416.7
37.6%
35.8%50.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
78.1%15.2
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.834.0
55.9%
54.5%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.9
31.0%
35.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.9
78.7%
78.1%15.9
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWLWWWLW
Toronto Raptors
LWWLWWWLLW
#3
League position
#18
+13.5
Net rating
+8.0
118.9
Offensive rating
116.0
105.4
Defensive rating
108.1
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
10.8%
Turnover %
10.2%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.6%
3-point %
31.0%
63.6%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 116.0Defence105.4 · 108.1Shooting57.7% · 52.7%3-point %37.6% · 31.0%Ball care10.8% · 10.2%Off. rebounds22.4% · 28.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23HToronto Raptors97-93
05/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers101-103
31/03/23HUtah Jazz122-114
30/03/23AMilwaukee Bucks140-99
28/03/23AWashington Wizards111-130
26/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs137-93
24/03/23HIndiana Pacers120-95
22/03/23ASacramento Kings132-109
19/03/23AUtah Jazz117-118
18/03/23APortland Trail Blazers126-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23ABoston Celtics93-97
04/04/23ACharlotte Hornets120-100
02/04/23ACharlotte Hornets128-108
31/03/23APhiladelphia 76ers110-117
28/03/23HMiami Heat106-92
26/03/23HWashington Wizards114-104
24/03/23HDetroit Pistons118-97
22/03/23HIndiana Pacers114-118
20/03/23AMilwaukee Bucks111-118
18/03/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %69%77%61%
Points / game117.9120.5115.4
Allowed / game111.5110.6112.4
Point differential+6.4+9.9+3.0
Avg total229.4231.1227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)55% (11)54% (13)
Overtime %14%15%12%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayLLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %50%65%35%
Points / game112.9114.2111.6
Allowed / game111.3109.8112.8
Point differential+1.6+4.3-1.2
Avg total224.2224.1224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (24)40% (10)29% (14)
Overtime %6%2%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks80582272%117.1112.9+4.2
2 Boston Celtics80552569%117.9111.5+6.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers80522865%114.7110.7+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets80522865%115.9112.6+3.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%112.5106.9+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies80503062%116.9112.9+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings80483260%121.3118.2+3.2
8 New York Knicks80473359%115.9112.8+3.2
9 Phoenix Suns80453556%113.7111.4+2.4
10 Brooklyn Nets80443655%113.6112.6+1.0
11 Miami Heat81433853%109.3109.8-0.5
12 Golden State Warriors80423852%118.5117.6+0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers80423852%113.2112.9+0.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans80413951%114.5112.6+1.9
15 Atlanta Hawks80413951%118.3117.9+0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers80413951%117.0116.7+0.3
17 Toronto Raptors80404050%112.9111.3+1.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves80404050%115.4115.7-0.3
19 Oklahoma City Thunder81394248%117.5116.6+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls80384248%113.2112.2+1.0
21 Dallas Mavericks80384248%114.2113.8+0.4
22 Utah Jazz80364445%117.1117.9-0.9
23 Washington Wizards81354643%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Orlando Magic80344642%111.8114.0-2.2
25 Indiana Pacers81344742%116.0119.3-3.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers80334741%113.4116.7-3.3
27 Charlotte Hornets81265532%111.0117.5-6.5
28 San Antonio Spurs80215926%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets81216026%110.7118.7-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons81176421%110.7118.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics34342726121
Toronto Raptors16243329102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.