PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#16
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors
14 Feb 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
BOS115
TOR101
09 Jan 2026
BOS125
TOR117
31 Dec 2024
BOS125
TOR71
16 Nov 2024
BOS126
TOR123
29 Dec 2023
BOS120
TOR118
11 Nov 2023
BOS117
TOR94
07 Apr 2023
BOS121
TOR102
05 Apr 2023
BOS97
TOR93
10 Nov 2021
BOS104
TOR88
22 Oct 2021
BOS83
TOR115
04 Mar 2021
BOS132
TOR125
11 Feb 2021
BOS120
TOR106
09 Sep 2020
BOS122
TOR125
05 Sep 2020
BOS93
TOR100
03 Sep 2020
BOS103
TOR104
28 Dec 2019
BOS97
TOR113
25 Oct 2019
BOS112
TOR106
16 Jan 2019
BOS117
TOR108
16 Nov 2018
BOS123
TOR116
31 Mar 2018
BOS110
TOR99
12 Nov 2017
BOS95
TOR94
01 Feb 2017
BOS109
TOR104
09 Dec 2016
BOS94
TOR101
23 Mar 2016
BOS91
TOR79
30 Oct 2015
BOS103
TOR113
14 Apr 2015
BOS95
TOR93
05 Nov 2014
BOS107
TOR110
26 Mar 2014
BOS90
TOR99
15 Jan 2014
BOS88
TOR83
13 Mar 2013
BOS112
TOR88
17 Nov 2012
BOS107
TOR89
01 Feb 2012
BOS100
TOR64
18 Jan 2012
BOS96
TOR73
21 Dec 2011
BOS81
TOR73
07 Jan 2011
BOS122
TOR102
26 Nov 2010
BOS110
TOR101
02 Jan 2010
BOS103
TOR96
27 Nov 2009
BOS116
TOR103
12 Jan 2009
BOS115
TOR109
10 Nov 2008
BOS94
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
123-101
123
101
+22
no box
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
218.3Avg total
116.0Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7104.0219.7+11.782%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (6)112.2100.8213.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)116.0102.3218.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)112.297.8210.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.3107.9217.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.7104.8220.5+10.974%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-92
135
92
+43
124avg 107
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-23
26-21
34-27
32-21
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
229.9Avg total
116.6Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)116.6113.3229.9+3.350%
Season at home (4)120.0107.5227.5+12.550%
Season away (6)114.3117.2231.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)116.6113.3229.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)116.4120.4236.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)106.2120.4226.6-14.20%
vs Similar (14)111.6111.7223.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (11)125.2108.4233.5+16.882%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +6.7+6.7
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
60.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.5110.3+7.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.052.9110.9+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)59.849.9109.7+9.971%-
Last 10 (10)60.749.6110.3+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.052.6106.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.351.2111.5+9.165%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H21/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
115.7Avg total
57.7Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.0111.6+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.551.6112.2+8.969%-
Last 30 away (17)53.657.6111.2-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)57.758.0115.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)55.462.4117.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)47.457.0104.4-9.60%-
vs Similar (14)56.754.6111.3+2.150%-
vs Weaker (11)60.754.6115.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.8%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.729.8
51.6%
54.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.6
32.9%
35.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.418.4
72.4%
76.8%18.4
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
Toronto Raptors
LWLWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#16
+4.5
Net rating
-1.4
111.2
Offensive rating
106.2
106.7
Defensive rating
107.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
32.9%
64.0%
Assist %
64.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 106.2Defence106.7 · 107.6Shooting53.3% · 50.8%3-point %35.5% · 32.9%Ball care13.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boston Celtics wins
1
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102
21/10/26HChicago Bulls135-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game115.7120.0112.2
Allowed / game104.0107.8100.8
Point differential+11.7+12.2+11.3
Avg total219.7227.8213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game116.6120.0114.3
Allowed / game113.3107.5117.2
Point differential+3.3+12.5-2.8
Avg total229.9227.5231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder108280%112.2104.2+8.0
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
8 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers96367%119.3113.8+5.6
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
24 Orlando Magic92722%107.0116.2-9.2
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Sacramento Kings101910%109.1122.4-13.3
29 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.