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Botafogo vs Bauru Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.7
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Bauru
09 Dec 2026
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
BOTA81
BAUR87
18 Dec 2024
BOTA93
BAUR92
29 Nov 2023
BOTA83
BAUR80
04 Apr 2020
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
BOTA74
BAUR80
04 Jan 2018
BOTA60
BAUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 66
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 66
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 66
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 76
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 76
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
62-71
62
71
-9
47avg 76
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
70avg 76
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
81avg 76
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 76
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
22-20
15-25
26-19
24-14
29-17
16-26
19-18
16-15
16-20
18-20
12-16
20-19
23-17
18-22
21-23
23-22
11-20
25-17
24-9
15-20
19-19
9-23
18-17
23-26
12-26
21-16
19-15
24-16
21-23
15-13
14-26
16-18
20-21
12-17
16-21
28-26
26-16
19-19
25-17
155.2Avg total
76.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.777.7154.4-1.043%
Season at home (4)70.575.5146.0-5.025%
Season away (3)85.080.7165.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)76.778.5155.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.185.6167.8-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.282.9165.1-0.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.178.4167.5+10.888%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
BotafogoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A09/11
NBB
81.1Avg total
40.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.7+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.286.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.681.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.242.587.8+2.862%-
vs Similar (14)39.041.080.0-2.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.238.182.4+6.188%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
Bauru
WLLLLWWLWL
#14
League position
#11
-6.7
Net rating
-7.8
91.9
Offensive rating
86.0
98.6
Defensive rating
93.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.1%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
28.6%
66.8%
Assist %
65.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 86.0Defence98.6 · 93.8Shooting50.5% · 47.1%3-point %31.5% · 28.6%Ball care14.8% · 14.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Botafogo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
6
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26Botafogo v Bauru81-87
13/11/25Bauru v Botafogo73-71
19/04/25Bauru v Botafogo84-85
18/12/24Botafogo v Bauru93-92 OT
21/03/24Bauru v Botafogo113-95
29/11/23Botafogo v Bauru83-80
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26APato98-78
05/11/26HMinas64-77
03/11/26HCruzeiro74-78
30/10/26APaulistano75-83
23/10/26HMogi61-79
21/10/26HSao Jose83-68
18/10/26AFlamengo82-81
29/04/26APaulistano62-71
26/04/26HPaulistano88-75
24/04/26HPaulistano80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game76.770.585.0
Allowed / game77.775.580.7
Point differential-1.0-5.0+4.3
Avg total154.4146.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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