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Botafogo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-87
23-17 13-21 25-23 20-26
Position#16
Record5-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#10
Record15-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Bauru
09 Dec 2026
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
BOTA81
BAUR87
18 Dec 2024
BOTA93
BAUR92
29 Nov 2023
BOTA83
BAUR80
04 Apr 2020
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
BOTA74
BAUR80
04 Jan 2018
BOTA60
BAUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 62
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 62
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 62
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 62
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 62
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 62
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 62
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
53avg 62
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 62
H17/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
158.1Avg total
73.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.783.0154.7-11.219%
Season at home (12)74.878.2152.9-3.442%
Season away (14)69.187.1156.2-17.90%
Last 10 (10)73.884.3158.1-10.520%
Last 5 (5)73.080.8153.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.384.7155.0-14.417%
vs Similar (7)77.179.1156.3-2.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 72
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 72
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 72
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 72
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 72
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 72
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 72
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
90-70
90
70
+20
83avg 72
A16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
20-18
17-16
16-16
21-23
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
25-19
17-17
18-16
20-25
28-21
27-33
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-22
22-14
30-11
170.1Avg total
88.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.978.1157.0+0.856%
Season at home (15)81.976.7158.6+5.173%
Season away (12)75.279.8154.9-4.633%
Last 10 (10)88.082.1170.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)89.682.6172.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.783.6160.3-6.920%
vs Similar (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.672.3151.9+7.380%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +5.3+5.3
BotafogoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
81.7Avg total
37.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.379.2-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.138.278.3+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)34.445.479.8-11.012%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.981.7-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.142.778.8-6.626%-
vs Similar (7)39.441.080.4-1.643%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/02
NBB
85.0Avg total
42.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.878.4-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.841.581.2-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.975.1-4.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.945.281.1-9.320%-
vs Similar (10)35.139.574.6-4.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.837.679.4+4.280%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.1
26.5%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
72.8%12.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.4
57.3%
52.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.5%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.614.9
69.0%
72.8%14.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWWLLLLLL
Bauru
WWWLWLWWLW
#16
League position
#10
-16.3
Net rating
+5.8
87.4
Offensive rating
101.0
103.7
Defensive rating
95.2
45.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.5%
3-point %
29.5%
55.8%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.4 · 101.0Defence103.7 · 95.2Shooting45.0% · 51.8%3-point %26.5% · 29.5%Ball care15.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Botafogo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Botafogo wins
6
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
13/11/25Bauru v Botafogo73-71
19/04/25Bauru v Botafogo84-85
18/12/24Botafogo v Bauru93-92 OT
21/03/24Bauru v Botafogo113-95
29/11/23Botafogo v Bauru83-80
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
04/01/18Botafogo v Bauru60-77
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/26AVasco90-70
10/02/26HMinas105-90
06/02/26HCruzeiro80-77
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
19/01/26ACaxias do Sul74-73
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL19%
HomeLLWWL42%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %19%42%0%
Points / game71.774.869.1
Allowed / game83.078.287.1
Point differential-11.2-3.4-17.9
Avg total154.7152.9156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %56%73%33%
Points / game78.981.975.2
Allowed / game78.176.779.8
Point differential+0.8+5.1-4.6
Avg total157.0158.6154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2722581%87.277.1+10.1
2 Pinheiros2621581%86.274.7+11.5
3 Franca2822679%89.475.2+14.1
4 Minas2721678%87.181.4+5.7
5 Brasilia2719870%81.972.1+9.7
6 Corinthians Paulista2719870%83.177.4+5.7
7 Sao Jose27171063%82.379.1+3.2
8 Paulistano26161062%80.776.6+4.1
9 Bauru27151256%78.978.1+0.8
10 Mogi27141352%75.869.9+5.9
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians26131350%79.081.5-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul26111542%72.277.2-5.1
14 Cruzeiro2581732%78.385.1-6.8
15 Rio Claro2681831%77.387.1-9.8
16 Pato2772026%73.679.3-5.8
17 Cearense2762122%77.086.9-9.8
18 Botafogo2652119%71.783.0-11.2
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2742315%69.379.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2313252081
Bauru1721232687
← all games of the day
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