PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Botafogo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 93-92 (OT)
14-18 24-19 22-15 19-27 14-13
Position#18
Record4-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.7
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Bauru
09 Dec 2026
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
BOTA81
BAUR87
18 Dec 2024
BOTA93
BAUR92
29 Nov 2023
BOTA83
BAUR80
04 Apr 2020
BOTA v BAUR
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
BOTA74
BAUR80
04 Jan 2018
BOTA60
BAUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 64
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
51avg 64
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 64
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
58avg 64
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 64
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
54avg 64
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
78-98
78
98
-20
57avg 64
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
52avg 64
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 64
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 64
A15/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
26-16
14-29
22-18
23-23
12-19
19-19
16-27
20-23
20-20
16-18
15-19
25-15
15-19
13-17
10-18
16-22
14-24
14-18
23-27
21-11
9-19
18-20
20-16
20-27
11-20
14-25
33-26
13-25
19-21
20-20
16-29
18-33
12-27
20-11
17-18
19-27
14-18
25-20
13-17
154.5Avg total
69.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.179.5149.7-9.427%
Season at home (7)66.078.9144.9-12.914%
Season away (8)73.880.1153.9-6.438%
Last 10 (10)69.784.8154.5-15.110%
Last 5 (5)70.486.0156.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.187.9163.0-12.820%
vs Similar (4)74.069.5143.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 74
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-67
73
67
+6
67avg 74
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
68-66
68
66
+2
65avg 74
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 74
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 74
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 74
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
66avg 74
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
71-66
71
66
+5
61avg 74
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 74
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 74
H13/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
26-17
11-22
22-18
19-19
14-18
22-15
18-15
22-14
10-22
18-16
18-14
25-29
17-29
18-22
27-23
26-22
18-16
15-20
28-22
21-12
21-24
20-18
18-17
19-13
20-20
17-22
14-6
13-24
21-14
21-15
16-13
21-19
17-16
17-29
22-19
16-18
26-29
26-20
29-24
154.4Avg total
78.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.477.7157.1+1.671%
Season at home (8)79.874.9154.6+4.988%
Season away (6)78.881.5160.3-2.750%
Last 10 (10)78.675.8154.4+2.880%
Last 5 (5)79.074.4153.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.585.7157.2-14.233%
vs Similar (15)80.977.9158.8+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.176.4161.6+8.789%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
BotafogoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A30/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A13/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A28/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A15/12
NBB
77.5Avg total
33.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.780.3-7.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.544.180.6-7.629%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.279.9-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)33.943.677.5-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.245.676.8-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.245.381.6-9.124%-
vs Similar (4)36.032.568.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NBB
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.478.1+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.238.277.4+0.959%-
Last 30 away (13)40.438.779.1+1.769%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.545.379.8-10.817%-
vs Similar (15)40.136.476.5+3.780%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.637.279.8+5.367%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.316.6
42.2%
50.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.4
31.2%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.910.3
64.8%
72.7%10.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.9
51.1%
50.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.512.6
64.6%
72.7%12.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLWLLLLL
Bauru
WLWWWWLWWW
#18
League position
#4
-20.4
Net rating
+4.4
91.8
Offensive rating
105.8
112.3
Defensive rating
101.5
44.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
36.3%
65.2%
Assist %
62.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 105.8Defence112.3 · 101.5Shooting44.1% · 52.6%3-point %31.2% · 36.3%Ball care17.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
21/03/24Bauru v Botafogo113-95
29/11/23Botafogo v Bauru83-80
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
04/01/18Botafogo v Bauru60-77
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ASao Paulo71-82
05/12/24HBrasilia67-89
02/12/24HMinas68-95
28/11/24APato78-98
15/11/24HVasco68-66
13/11/24AFlamengo67-91
10/11/24HCaxias do Sul63-69
06/11/24HUniao Corinthians71-80
02/11/24APaulistano70-88
30/10/24AUnifacisa74-90
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HPato97-91
05/12/24AUniao Corinthians77-83
03/12/24ACaxias do Sul71-66
30/11/24HUnifacisa70-61
27/11/24HCearense80-71
14/11/24APinheiros87-80
12/11/24ACorinthians Paulista87-103
08/11/24HMogi68-66
02/11/24HSao Jose73-67
01/11/24HFranca76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%14%38%
Points / game70.166.073.8
Allowed / game79.578.980.1
Point differential-9.4-12.9-6.4
Avg total149.7144.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%88%50%
Points / game79.479.878.8
Allowed / game77.774.981.5
Point differential+1.6+4.9-2.7
Avg total157.1154.6160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia1511473%83.779.8+3.9
4 Bauru1410471%79.477.7+1.6
5 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
6 Vasco159660%74.571.7+2.9
7 Sao Paulo159660%79.578.1+1.5
8 Pinheiros159660%74.372.9+1.3
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Sao Jose167944%74.674.5+0.1
11 Unifacisa167944%74.876.6-1.8
12 Paulistano146843%75.973.1+2.7
13 Corinthians Paulista156940%80.481.6-1.2
14 Pato1551033%81.984.2-2.3
15 Mogi1651131%70.277.9-7.6
16 Botafogo1541127%70.179.5-9.4
17 Caxias do Sul1531220%70.778.3-7.6
18 Cearense1631319%68.377.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Botafogo142422191493
Bauru181915271392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.