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Cearense vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 52-77
10-17 17-20 11-22 14-18
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#18
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game73.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Botafogo
20 Nov 2026
CEAR v BOTA
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
CEAR86
BOTA82
27 Oct 2024
CEAR52
BOTA77
14 Feb 2024
CEAR84
BOTA75
06 Nov 2019
CEAR72
BOTA76
16 Nov 2018
CEAR65
BOTA54
01 Dec 2017
CEAR61
BOTA47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 71
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 71
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 71
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 71
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 71
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 71
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 71
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 71
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 71
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
60-89
60
89
-29
44avg 71
A22/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
20-17
10-15
17-15
26-23
20-15
20-14
27-19
23-18
25-22
14-21
17-21
15-15
15-23
21-26
13-11
17-26
18-25
8-24
21-16
21-18
15-18
18-17
25-13
18-20
19-16
11-24
18-22
22-17
11-23
15-25
19-21
15-20
149.8Avg total
72.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.778.7147.3-10.033%
Season at home (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Season away (1)60.089.0149.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)72.677.2149.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)68.081.0149.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.081.1153.1-9.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.278.3155.5-1.154%
vs Weaker (9)82.775.2157.9+7.478%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 67
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 67
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 67
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 67
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 67
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 67
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 67
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
60avg 67
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
46avg 67
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 67
H24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
32-18
21-17
17-16
11-19
17-12
12-17
18-21
18-15
15-15
15-26
11-25
17-7
13-14
8-21
31-28
15-17
160.4Avg total
76.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.573.2142.8-3.850%
Season at home (2)62.576.5139.0-14.00%
Season away (2)76.570.0146.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.484.0160.4-7.640%
Last 5 (5)66.874.2141.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)78.488.5166.9-10.228%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.279.2156.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
CearenseBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H09/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A22/10
NBB
73.3Avg total
34.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.875.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.538.373.8-2.841%-
Last 30 away (13)38.139.577.6-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.873.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.244.274.4-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.044.680.6-8.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.737.871.5-4.223%-
vs Weaker (9)41.435.076.4+6.489%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H24/10
NBB
79.7Avg total
36.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.144.182.1-6.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.644.282.8-5.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.981.6-6.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.579.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.837.468.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.844.982.6-7.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.538.275.8-0.825%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.5
54.9%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.9
31.0%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.3
70.5%
72.7%10.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.316.7
44.8%
50.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
72.7%13.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLWLLLWWWL
Botafogo
LLWWLLWLWL
#17
League position
#18
-5.8
Net rating
-9.5
99.3
Offensive rating
99.9
105.0
Defensive rating
109.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
33.6%
54.9%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 99.9Defence105.0 · 109.4Shooting50.9% · 47.2%3-point %31.0% · 33.6%Ball care19.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cearense   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
5
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Cearense v Botafogo84-75
18/12/23Botafogo v Cearense90-86
01/02/20Botafogo v Cearense86-72
07/11/19Cearense v Botafogo72-76
22/01/19Botafogo v Cearense78-69
16/11/18Cearense v Botafogo65-54
06/02/18Botafogo v Cearense70-68
01/12/17Cearense v Botafogo61-47
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24APato60-89
18/10/24HUniao Corinthians70-79
15/10/24HCaxias do Sul76-68
09/05/24HFlamengo68-83
07/05/24HFlamengo66-86
03/05/24AFlamengo71-79
27/04/24HSao Jose90-66
21/04/24ASao Jose73-70
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HPinheiros67-80
22/10/24HCorinthians Paulista58-73
14/10/24AMogi72-70 OT
12/10/24ASao Jose81-70
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game68.773.060.0
Allowed / game78.773.589.0
Point differential-10.0-0.5-29.0
Avg total147.3146.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game69.562.576.5
Allowed / game73.276.570.0
Point differential-3.8-14.0+6.5
Avg total142.8139.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo440100%82.573.8+8.8
2 Minas54180%82.870.8+12.0
3 Flamengo54180%76.064.6+11.4
4 Franca43175%81.880.5+1.2
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Pato53260%82.275.8+6.4
7 Pinheiros53260%67.268.4-1.2
8 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
9 Botafogo42250%69.573.2-3.8
10 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
11 Paulistano31233%79.078.0+1.0
12 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
13 Bauru31233%80.783.7-3.0
14 Unifacisa31233%74.379.0-4.7
15 Cearense31233%68.778.7-10.0
16 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
17 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1017111452
Botafogo1720221877
← all games of the day
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