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Murray State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-71
37-35 37-36
Position#182
Record11-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#177
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Missouri State
07 Mar 2024
MURR35
MISS60
14 Feb 2024
MURR82
MISS72
28 Jan 2023
MURR74
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
39-28
42-36
30-34
35-46
36-36
46-37
30-34
34-34
139.9Avg total
69.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.969.6140.5+1.352%
Season at home (9)72.263.8136.0+8.478%
Season away (12)69.973.9143.8-4.033%
Last 10 (10)69.270.7139.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)71.872.0143.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.073.7142.7-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.470.5139.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (13)75.462.5137.8+12.992%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
30-23
22-26
40-25
45-37
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
130.1Avg total
67.1Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)65.562.5128.0+3.052%
Season at home (10)65.857.2123.0+8.670%
Season away (11)65.367.4132.6-2.136%
Last 10 (10)67.163.0130.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)63.064.0127.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.365.2129.5-0.930%
vs Weaker (12)75.967.1143.0+8.883%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
Murray StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.564.6+1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.729.965.6+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)30.633.063.6-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.263.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.064.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.133.764.8-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.533.063.5-2.538%-
vs Weaker (13)36.229.065.2+7.246%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.9Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.565.0+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.528.763.1+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)32.634.366.9-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.962.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.059.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.930.663.5+2.340%-
vs Weaker (12)35.731.867.5+3.867%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ASouthern Illinois64-68
21/01/23HIndiana State82-73
18/01/23ABelmont65-80
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
01/01/23HDrake52-49
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %52%78%33%
Points / game70.972.269.9
Allowed / game69.663.873.9
Point differential+1.3+8.4-4.0
Avg total140.5136.0143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%11%8%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game65.565.865.3
Allowed / game62.557.267.4
Point differential+3.0+8.6-2.1
Avg total128.0123.0132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2217577%67.160.7+6.5
2 Drake2216673%73.863.8+10.0
3 Belmont2216673%74.770.0+4.7
4 Bradley2214864%71.462.1+9.3
5 Indiana State2213959%77.570.0+7.5
6 Northern Iowa2112957%70.566.3+4.2
7 Murray State21111052%70.969.6+1.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)2291341%66.670.2-3.5
9 Valparaiso2291341%68.572.5-4.0
10 Illinois State2281436%66.068.7-2.7
11 Evansville2241818%62.075.2-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2217577%74.757.9+16.8
2 Sam Houston St.2116576%76.958.5+18.4
3 Kennesaw State2216673%75.168.1+7.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.2113862%69.666.0+3.6
5 UTEP2011955%69.766.3+3.3
6 Louisiana Tech21111052%74.869.0+5.7
7 Western Kentucky21111052%73.269.6+3.6
8 Missouri State21111052%65.562.5+3.0
9 Delaware23121152%70.370.2+0.1
10 Florida International21101148%72.074.3-2.4
11 Jacksonville State2291341%69.070.7-1.7
12 New Mexico State2071335%73.871.2+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State373774
Missouri State353671
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