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Missouri State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-59
29-30 34-29
Position#177
Record10-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#289
Record9-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Illinois (Chi.)
21 Dec 2026
MISS v ILLI
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
MISS63
ILLI80
03 Mar 2024
MISS69
ILLI59
02 Mar 2023
MISS74
ILLI57
24 Jan 2023
MISS63
ILLI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
30-23
22-26
40-25
45-37
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
133.6Avg total
68.5Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.762.7128.4+3.050%
Season at home (9)66.157.0123.1+9.167%
Season away (11)65.367.4132.6-2.136%
Last 10 (10)68.565.1133.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)62.667.0129.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar (10)64.365.2129.5-0.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.466.7143.1+9.883%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-92
54
92
-38
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
45-79
45
79
-34
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-41
35-32
21-42
33-50
33-17
22-34
13-39
32-40
31-35
40-42
28-42
32-38
35-30
26-31
28-39
36-42
33-36
33-40
38-31
34-47
140.2Avg total
63.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.070.5137.5-3.543%
Season at home (11)70.266.0136.2+4.255%
Season away (10)63.575.5139.0-12.030%
Last 10 (10)63.976.3140.2-12.420%
Last 5 (5)66.678.2144.8-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.276.2140.3-12.015%
vs Similar (10)70.669.3139.9+1.360%
vs Weaker (7)77.965.4143.3+12.4100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -7.3-7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -7.3-7.3
Missouri StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.364.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.928.663.4+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)32.433.766.1-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)33.231.464.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.462.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (10)32.930.663.5+2.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.731.367.0+4.375%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#314
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
13-39
13
39
-26
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.8-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.330.966.1+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)31.336.167.4-4.844%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.265.8-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.136.265.3-7.231%-
vs Similar (10)36.632.469.0+4.270%-
vs Weaker (7)35.930.766.6+5.186%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri State wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
01/12/22Illinois (Chi.) v Missouri State51-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
01/01/23HDrake52-49
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HNorthern Iowa72-78
18/01/23AValparaiso66-76
14/01/23AMurray State64-81
11/01/23HDrake71-76 OT
07/01/23AIndiana State60-80
05/01/23HBelmont71-77
31/12/22ABradley45-79
29/12/22HIllinois State55-51
21/12/22ANorthwestern54-92
18/12/22HNortheastern81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%67%36%
Points / game65.766.165.3
Allowed / game62.757.067.4
Point differential+3.0+9.1-2.1
Avg total128.3123.1132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game67.070.263.5
Allowed / game70.566.075.5
Point differential-3.5+4.2-12.0
Avg total137.5136.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2116576%74.858.5+16.2
2 Sam Houston St.2015575%78.059.4+18.6
3 Kennesaw State2115671%74.768.6+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.2013765%69.765.0+4.7
5 Louisiana Tech2011955%75.569.2+6.3
6 Western Kentucky2011955%73.469.2+4.2
7 UTEP2011955%69.766.3+3.3
8 Delaware21111052%70.070.0+0.0
9 Missouri State20101050%65.762.7+3.0
10 Florida International2091145%71.774.6-3.0
11 Jacksonville State2181338%68.970.9-2.0
12 New Mexico State2071335%73.871.2+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2116576%67.160.5+6.6
2 Drake2115671%74.063.6+10.4
3 Belmont2115671%74.870.3+4.5
4 Bradley2113862%71.061.5+9.5
5 Indiana State2113862%78.070.0+7.9
6 Northern Iowa2011955%70.266.3+3.9
7 Murray State2011955%71.269.7+1.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)2191243%67.070.5-3.5
9 Valparaiso2191243%68.672.2-3.7
10 Illinois State2181338%65.568.2-2.7
11 Evansville2141719%61.975.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State293463
Illinois (Chi.)302959
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