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Drake vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-65 (OT)
34-21 22-35 6-9
Position#24
Record14-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#177
Record9-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Drake v Missouri State
02 Mar 2025
DRAK68
MISS60
02 Dec 2023
DRAK74
MISS57
18 Jan 2023
DRAK62
MISS65
09 Feb 2022
DRAK62
MISS66
06 Mar 2021
DRAK71
MISS69
26 Jan 2020
DRAK71
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
124-48
124
48
+76
H21/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-47
27-35
41-40
34-43
23-31
35-21
59-22
65-26
24-26
44-37
23-30
26-22
30-27
19-26
44-29
38-35
30-35
31-26
45-23
41-38
134.8Avg total
71.9Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.463.6137.1+9.874%
Season at home (11)80.861.2142.0+19.6100%
Season away (8)63.267.0130.2-3.838%
Last 10 (10)71.962.9134.8+9.060%
Last 5 (5)68.460.2128.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)71.568.8140.2+2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)71.761.7133.3+10.081%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-26
25-40
29-30
32-35
32-45
45-35
40-30
39-28
40-29
39-38
30-23
22-26
40-25
45-37
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
132.9Avg total
67.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.262.8129.0+3.350%
Season at home (8)67.256.5123.8+10.875%
Season away (10)65.367.9133.2-2.630%
Last 10 (10)67.065.9132.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)65.664.6130.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.863.0118.8-7.240%
vs Similar (9)65.165.7130.8-0.633%
vs Weaker (14)75.866.7142.5+9.179%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -0.9-0.9
DrakeMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A10/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H20/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#642
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H15/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.828.263.0+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.326.062.3+10.374%-
Last 30 away (11)32.132.064.1+0.155%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.065.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.428.863.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)35.628.464.0+7.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)34.128.162.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A08/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.265.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.127.963.0+7.179%-
Last 30 away (16)32.934.167.0-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.630.664.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.264.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.230.257.4-3.040%-
vs Similar (9)33.830.764.4+3.144%-
vs Weaker (14)34.631.365.9+3.471%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
4
Missouri State wins
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HBradley86-61
11/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)76-71 OT
07/01/23HMurray State82-64
05/01/23ASouthern Illinois49-53
01/01/23AMissouri State49-52
30/12/22HValparaiso68-63
21/12/22HSt. Ambrose124-48
20/12/22HMississippi St.58-52
18/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
10/12/22ARichmond Spiders52-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
01/01/23HDrake52-49
29/12/22ANorthern Iowa79-67
18/12/22HCentral Michigan79-58
17/12/22AOral Roberts77-80
11/12/22HIPFW61-65
08/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)46-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %74%100%38%
Points / game73.480.863.2
Allowed / game63.661.267.0
Point differential+9.8+19.6-3.8
Avg total137.1142.0130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%75%30%
Points / game66.267.265.3
Allowed / game62.856.567.9
Point differential+3.3+10.8-2.6
Avg total129.0123.8133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2015575%67.460.7+6.7
2 Drake1914574%73.463.6+9.8
3 Belmont2014670%74.670.0+4.6
4 Bradley2013765%70.860.6+10.1
5 Indiana State2013765%78.269.5+8.8
6 Murray State1910953%70.769.5+1.2
7 Northern Iowa189950%70.066.2+3.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)2091145%66.870.2-3.4
9 Illinois State1981142%66.468.2-1.8
10 Valparaiso2081240%68.573.3-4.8
11 Evansville2041620%61.974.2-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1914574%75.358.7+16.6
2 Sam Houston St.1813572%77.858.5+19.3
3 Kennesaw State1913668%74.868.3+6.6
4 Western Kentucky1811761%73.568.0+5.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.1811761%70.266.2+4.0
6 Louisiana Tech1810856%76.469.1+7.3
7 UTEP1810856%69.666.6+3.0
8 Delaware1910953%69.370.5-1.3
9 Missouri State189950%66.262.8+3.3
10 Florida International1881044%71.974.4-2.4
11 Jacksonville State1981142%69.270.8-1.7
12 New Mexico State1871139%73.567.9+5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Drake3422662
Missouri State2135965
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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