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Brave Thunders vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 79-99
19-25 24-29 21-19 15-26
Position#25
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Nagasaki
02 Nov 2025
BRAV79
NAGA99
01 Nov 2025
BRAV71
NAGA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
88-114
88
114
-26
82avg 74
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
100-65
100
65
+35
98avg 74
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 74
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 74
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
65avg 74
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-90
73
90
-17
66avg 74
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 74
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
60avg 74
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
87avg 74
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 74
H01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
18-26
15-28
24-33
26-12
22-26
27-17
25-10
27-20
18-22
16-30
17-16
17-13
15-20
21-17
15-19
7-24
22-21
26-19
17-22
21-18
19-29
16-28
17-15
13-22
17-25
12-19
21-16
15-13
22-22
12-28
14-16
17-27
22-23
18-16
26-13
19-18
8-31
19-25
25-19
160.4Avg total
75.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.585.1161.6-8.518%
Season at home (6)75.890.5166.3-14.70%
Season away (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 10 (10)75.984.5160.4-8.620%
Last 5 (5)70.684.6155.2-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.988.3167.1-9.419%
vs Similar (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
102-68
102
68
+34
92avg 72
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
67avg 72
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 72
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
107-82
107
82
+25
107avg 72
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 72
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 72
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 72
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 72
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 72
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 72
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
18-18
34-13
19-16
15-21
28-16
19-15
14-15
22-16
19-20
20-17
24-20
22-16
20-25
35-22
30-19
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
163.0Avg total
91.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.574.0165.5+17.591%
Season at home (4)89.873.8163.5+16.0100%
Season away (7)92.674.1166.7+18.486%
Last 10 (10)91.371.7163.0+19.6100%
Last 5 (5)91.670.2161.8+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.581.3154.8-7.823%
vs Similar (5)81.474.8156.2+6.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.773.4163.1+16.292%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
Brave ThundersNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H01/11
B League
81.5Avg total
37.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.983.4-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.843.683.4-3.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.283.4-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.981.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.680.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.043.583.5-3.537%-
vs Similar (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
82.4Avg total
45.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.480.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.039.179.1+0.967%-
Last 30 away (18)41.939.681.4+2.344%-
Last 10 (10)45.636.882.4+8.8100%-
Last 5 (5)46.837.284.0+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.775.7-3.715%-
vs Similar (5)44.041.285.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.538.283.8+7.292%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.4
51.9%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.411.7
67.2%
73.1%11.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.3
54.6%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.914.0
39.0%
33.7%42.0
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
73.1%11.7
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
LWLLLLLLWL
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWWWW
#25
League position
#1
-10.7
Net rating
+25.0
98.6
Offensive rating
116.4
109.3
Defensive rating
91.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
39.0%
71.1%
Assist %
72.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 116.4Defence109.3 · 91.4Shooting49.7% · 56.6%3-point %30.8% · 39.0%Ball care21.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brave Thunders wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HNagasaki71-93
29/10/25AGunma83-79
26/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-79
25/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-82
19/10/25HDiamond Dolphins73-90
18/10/25HDiamond Dolphins72-86
15/10/25HSendai68-69
12/10/25AToyama78-88
11/10/25AToyama100-65
05/10/25HHiroshima D.88-114
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76
15/10/25HSeaHorses Mikawa107-82
11/10/25HSaga85-73
10/10/25HSaga76-67
05/10/25AAltiri Chiba102-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%0%40%
Points / game76.575.877.4
Allowed / game85.190.578.6
Point differential-8.5-14.7-1.2
Avg total161.6166.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%100%86%
Points / game91.589.892.6
Allowed / game74.073.874.1
Point differential+17.5+16.0+18.4
Avg total165.5163.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1211192%84.969.9+15.0
2 Nagasaki1110191%91.574.0+17.5
3 Chiba1110191%84.171.8+12.3
4 Utsunomiya Brex1210283%85.876.6+9.2
5 Shimane129375%83.178.2+4.8
6 Hokkaido128467%83.781.9+1.8
7 Alvark117464%79.477.0+2.4
8 Ryukyu127558%81.775.5+6.2
9 Hiroshima D.127558%88.785.4+3.2
10 Sendai127558%80.379.3+1.0
11 Shiga127558%79.579.1+0.4
12 SeaHorses Mikawa116555%84.380.7+3.5
13 NeoPhoenix126650%80.577.4+3.1
14 Gunma126650%81.278.8+2.3
15 Saga115645%81.285.1-3.9
16 Osaka125742%80.681.7-1.1
17 Yokohama124833%77.983.2-5.3
18 Koshigaya Alphas124833%69.575.2-5.7
19 Altiri Chiba124833%78.585.3-6.8
20 Toyama124833%80.888.3-7.6
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya124833%73.382.8-9.4
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles123925%79.885.7-5.9
23 Kyoto123925%72.880.2-7.4
24 Brave Thunders112918%76.585.1-8.5
25 Ibaraki Robots1221017%74.781.5-6.8
26 Akita1221017%72.084.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders1924211579
Nagasaki2529192699
← all games of the day
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