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Breidablik vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-108
25-32 13-24 21-25 30-27
Position#11
Record2-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game89.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Keflavik
14 Mar 2024
BREI89
KEFL108
27 Oct 2022
BREI97
KEFL82
28 Oct 2021
BREI106
KEFL107
04 Feb 2019
BREI86
KEFL108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 73
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 73
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-106
84
106
-22
74avg 73
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 73
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
82-105
82
105
-23
68avg 73
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
75avg 73
A07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
22-36
23-16
22-18
22-19
30-24
20-27
20-27
14-28
21-20
22-22
25-16
22-37
12-30
28-28
24-25
18-22
21-30
17-23
21-20
32-31
184.3Avg total
85.9Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.499.3184.7-13.911%
Season at home (10)81.398.2179.5-16.910%
Season away (8)90.5100.8191.2-10.212%
Last 10 (10)85.998.4184.3-12.510%
Last 5 (5)89.4103.2192.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)87.9103.3191.2-15.59%
vs Similar (5)93.8100.2194.0-6.420%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 89
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 89
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 89
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 89
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
123-93
123
93
+30
121avg 89
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 89
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 89
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 89
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 89
H11/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
31-32
28-25
26-18
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
14-28
20-24
28-32
20-21
29-21
25-15
37-31
32-26
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
192.9Avg total
100.5Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)96.089.9185.9+6.168%
Season at home (10)95.586.0181.5+9.580%
Season away (9)96.694.3190.9+2.256%
Last 10 (10)100.592.4192.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)99.889.8189.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar (12)94.691.9186.5+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)98.488.9187.3+9.570%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
BreidablikKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A07/03
Premier league
92.5Avg total
41.3Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.452.596.9-8.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.551.093.5-8.524%-
Last 30 away (13)46.954.4101.3-7.523%-
Last 10 (10)41.351.292.5-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.251.294.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)44.452.096.4-7.626%-
vs Similar (5)43.453.897.2-10.420%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
97.8Avg total
49.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.645.893.4+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.545.593.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)47.846.093.8+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)49.048.897.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.098.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar (12)47.746.093.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.545.796.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.3
47.8%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.011.7
30.8%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.1
81.0%
74.4%14.1
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.2
36.5%
34.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.517.2
73.2%
74.4%17.2
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LLLLLLWLLL
Keflavik
WLWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#3
-15.0
Net rating
+11.5
98.3
Offensive rating
115.3
113.3
Defensive rating
103.8
47.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
36.5%
50.0%
Assist %
57.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 115.3Defence113.3 · 103.8Shooting47.0% · 54.8%3-point %30.8% · 36.5%Ball care16.6% · 12.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 23.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Breidablik   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breidablik wins
6
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
30/11/23Keflavik v Breidablik100-86
03/02/23Keflavik v Breidablik109-89
27/10/22Breidablik v Keflavik97-82
14/02/22Keflavik v Breidablik126-80
28/10/21Breidablik v Keflavik106-107
04/02/19Breidablik v Keflavik86-108
08/11/18Keflavik v Breidablik88-80
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AHamar91-104
15/02/24HThorl82-105
01/02/24ATindastoll90-95
25/01/24HGrindavik84-106
18/01/24AAlftanes100-106 OT
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
21/01/24AHottur123-93
18/01/24AValur82-105
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
15/12/23HThorl102-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %11%10%12%
Points / game85.481.390.5
Allowed / game99.398.2100.8
Point differential-13.9-16.9-10.2
Avg total184.7179.5191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game96.095.596.6
Allowed / game89.986.094.3
Point differential+6.1+9.5+2.2
Avg total185.9181.5190.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1916384%92.581.7+10.8
2 Njardvik1813572%92.187.0+5.1
3 Keflavik1913668%96.089.9+6.1
4 Grindavik1913668%93.387.8+5.5
5 Thorl1912763%91.690.2+1.5
6 Tindastoll1910953%86.284.4+1.7
7 Alftanes1910953%84.282.8+1.4
8 Stjarnan1991047%86.685.5+1.2
9 Hottur1991047%83.486.1-2.7
10 Haukar1951426%88.290.6-2.5
11 Breidablik1821611%85.499.3-13.9
12 Hamar191185%83.798.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik2513213089
Keflavik32242527108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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