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Keflavik vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 110-71
35-16 27-23 22-17 26-15
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#8
Record9-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 17· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Hottur
29 Oct 2026
KEFL112
HOTT99
09 Jan 2025
KEFL112
HOTT98
11 Mar 2024
KEFL110
HOTT71
08 Dec 2022
KEFL71
HOTT62
01 Mar 2021
KEFL93
HOTT73
12 Feb 2018
KEFL93
HOTT95
30 Oct 2015
KEFL99
HOTT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Selfoss
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
94avg 88
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 88
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 88
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 88
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 88
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
123-93
123
93
+30
121avg 88
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 88
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 88
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 88
H08/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
30-19
29-18
17-27
17-28
31-32
28-25
26-18
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
14-28
20-24
28-32
20-21
29-21
25-15
37-31
32-26
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
193.8Avg total
99.8Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)95.291.0186.2+4.267%
Season at home (9)93.987.7181.6+6.278%
Season away (9)96.694.3190.9+2.256%
Last 10 (10)99.894.0193.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)102.494.2196.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar (13)93.792.8186.5+0.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)97.190.9188.0+6.267%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 76
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 76
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 76
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 76
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 76
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 76
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 76
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 76
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 76
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
70avg 76
A07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
33-23
24-22
13-22
22-22
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
26-23
23-23
16-24
18-22
18-24
32-22
14-25
18-21
172.2Avg total
84.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.184.8168.9-0.750%
Season at home (9)82.879.4162.2+3.356%
Season away (9)85.490.1175.6-4.744%
Last 10 (10)84.787.5172.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)88.695.2183.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.493.7177.1-10.217%
vs Similar (9)83.783.3167.0+0.344%
vs Weaker (8)89.183.2172.4+5.975%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
KeflavikHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Selfoss
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
97.6Avg total
48.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.046.393.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.246.692.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)47.846.093.8+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)48.549.197.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.496.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar (13)47.446.794.1+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.246.495.7+2.844%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/03
Premier league
88.4Avg total
45.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.585.4-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.282.7-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.788.1-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.188.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.044.892.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.347.288.6-5.933%-
vs Similar (9)42.743.886.4-1.144%-
vs Weaker (8)42.138.180.2+4.062%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.2
54.2%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.3
36.4%
34.2%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
74.4%17.0
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.5
46.6%
51.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.7
37.7%
34.2%38.1
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
74.4%12.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWWWLWWLW
Hottur
LLWWLLWLWW
#3
League position
#8
+8.9
Net rating
-3.8
113.5
Offensive rating
105.0
104.6
Defensive rating
108.8
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
37.7%
55.8%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 105.0Defence104.6 · 108.8Shooting54.4% · 51.4%3-point %36.4% · 37.7%Ball care13.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds23.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Keflavik wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Hottur v Keflavik93-123
09/11/23Hottur v Keflavik83-75
16/03/23Hottur v Keflavik84-89
08/12/22Keflavik v Hottur71-62
10/05/21Hottur v Keflavik62-74
01/03/21Keflavik v Hottur93-73
12/02/18Keflavik v Hottur93-95
16/11/17Hottur v Keflavik66-92
29/01/16Hottur v Keflavik66-69
30/10/15Keflavik v Hottur99-69
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
21/01/24AHottur123-93
18/01/24AValur82-105
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
15/12/23HThorl102-103
11/12/23ASelfoss103-87
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AStjarnan82-92
15/02/24HValur83-92
01/02/24HHamar93-80
25/01/24AThorl92-89
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game95.293.996.6
Allowed / game91.087.794.3
Point differential+4.2+6.2+2.2
Avg total186.2181.6190.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game84.182.885.4
Allowed / game84.879.490.1
Point differential-0.7+3.3-4.7
Avg total168.9162.2175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1916384%92.581.7+10.8
2 Njardvik1813572%92.187.0+5.1
3 Grindavik1913668%93.387.8+5.5
4 Keflavik1812667%95.291.0+4.2
5 Thorl1912763%91.690.2+1.5
6 Tindastoll1910953%86.284.4+1.7
7 Alftanes1910953%84.282.8+1.4
8 Hottur189950%84.184.8-0.7
9 Stjarnan1991047%86.685.5+1.2
10 Haukar1951426%88.290.6-2.5
11 Breidablik1821611%85.499.3-13.9
12 Hamar191185%83.798.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik35272226110
Hottur1623171571
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